Snow fell, cold came. At the end of winter came... winter. Given the energy prices, it's a good thing it's not before. A truly harsh, long winter would kill us financially. Winter, or war. Soon, in just over a week - 24 February this year (2025) - the 4th year of the Ukrainian-Russian war will begin. How time flies. Starting with 2014 – annexation of Crimea and Sevastopol by Russia is the year of the eleventh conflict. The war is going on, far from the end. What did she teach us? What lessons can and must be drawn from it in independency from the end. Although the end is getting clearer.
First motion, of general nature. There's no end to history. Unfortunately, or stets. Depending on how you look. Or else, past never ends. Contrary to what any progressive thinkers think, it seems to be, dreams or dreams. In 1898, American political scientist and philosopher Francis Fukuyama published an essay entitled “The End of past and the Last Man”. Francis Fukuyama preached in it – relying on it! on the works of Hegel, the foundation of Marxists of all ointments – the thesis that after the fall of communism passed into the past dark times of conflict between ideologies or political systems and we are facing a bright future. problem may be and will be, but the road is one, forward, advancement is inevitable and inevitable, and liberal democracy has no alternative. Hence this title last man of the end of history. Fukuyama's book and thesis became a bible of all progressives, activists, liberal thinkers, and yet politicians. If the era of conflict has gone into the past, what do we have left? Fight and Earth! The future of the planet and mankind! Fighting climate warming, saving whales, rainforests or bats. conflict against gay exclusion, lesbians, LGBTIBIQ people large plus. And progress, or progress. I'm making progress. The communes were spoken for; the wall will come and level. Interestingly, even though there have been respective twelve wars in the past 36 years, any of them long and very bloody, this has not clouded the imagination of the bright future of the progressive, liberal world. Until Vladimir Vladimir Putin came to Russia. Even the first aggression and annexation of Crimea in 2014 passed without much echo in the West. But an open, full-sized war in Ukraine for 3 years is rather different. 2 European states plunged into a bloody war resembling a live planet War I. It's a different rank than a Negro who slaughters himself with machetes or who makes out with Kalashnikovs in Rwanda or Sudan.
Russia's car – Vladimir Vladimir Putin's aggression and war in Ukraine proved, perhaps, beyond all uncertainty to Western thinkers and politicians, that reports of the end of past are greatly exaggerated. I compose conditionally – most likely – due to the fact that the ability to lie and endure in delusions, myths, dreams – with English wishful reasoning – is simply a large value for many wise and ruling people, with whom it is very hard to part, besides those at the top. Sobriety (let's hope) of the Western elite is simply a large plus to Tsar Putin; this must be granted to him, but paid at the expense of hundreds of thousands killed. The awakening from imaginary visions and the transition to reality are very dense and frequently bloody.
The second conclusion is the fall of Western weapons myth. Which was expected to be much better than Russian. The qualitative advantage of Western weapons is intended to destruct the Russian quantitative advantage. It utilized to be. Jews in American tanks destroyed troops of russian tank production during the Six-Day War (1967). During the first Persian Gulf War (1990 - 1991), American Abrams tanks shot like ducks into Iraqi russian production tanks. Were tanks or arabian crews liable for the war? It's been years. Having gained access to Western technology, the Russians greatly improved and upgraded their tanks. aircraft and another military equipment. In rocket technology, they've always been at the forefront.
Let's focus on the tanks. Western tanks were expected to be a game of change, change the destiny of the war and give triumph to Ukrainians. The American, infamous Abrams tanks, German Leopards, English Challengers, our P-91 Toughs, Swedish tanks, others came to Ukraine. Providing service and service 6 or 8 different types of tanks is simply a logistical nightmare. A truly bear's service to Ukrainian forces, but as they say to the talented horse, 1 does not look into the teeth. Especially during the war. What's the score? Of the 31 Abrams, the Russians destroyed more than half, the remainder of the Ukrainians carefully hid. The Russian dorn operators are hunting Leopards like large cows. Our P-91 tanks are most likely the best. They work perfectly in this war. Ukrainians cannot brag about them, though they are expected to be the most obsolete due to the fact that they are based on russian T - 71. Our designers added a new, stronger engine, optoelectronic systems, upgraded armor. With almost 200 pieces the Ukrainians lost only a few. This proves that on the battlefield, the equipment that has the best parameters on paper is not always the best. The best Western tanks on paper – Challengery 2 is simply a real disaster. The exercise video. Challenger 2 goes through Ukrainian steppe. It's coming and going, weighing over 70 tons. The more he wants to get out, the deeper he goes. Finally, he limps in Ukrainian black earth to the tower. It's like it's not a tank. It's a bulldozer. Happiness, it was just a drill. Although getting a 70-ton collos out of the mud is rather a play. On the front, the Russians would have finished the tank in the mud with artillery or drones. No substance how powerful his armor is.
And the predominance (allegedly) of the west in terms of thought of command, intellect? Another story in a state of decline. General American, English or German are the best of the best. The best academies, with their barbecues all over them like Christmas trees, which, in a tiny toe, they have a maneuver under the Kannami. The Russians are stupid, dumb, always drinking primitives. Western military advisors will crush the dust and dust of Russian blunts on the battlefield. They're the masters of computer games. Only Ukrainian commanders would perceive to them. If it doesn't, it's the Ukrainians' fault! Which is no better than the Russians. It's known, east European simpletons. What is the advantage of Western military thought? Just as the advantage of modern, western political or philosophical thought - see the case of Francis Fukuyama and his “End of History”.
More general. The eternal dream of being ruled by better, honest, moral, wiser ones. The best. In peace, a stupid manager will lead to the collapse of a company or factory. During the war, a dull general kills thousands of soldiers, not enemies. Hence this dream of the fresh Macedonian Alexander, Julius Caesar or Napoleon. Who will fight off the invasion, defeat the enemies. alternatively of Alexander or Julius Caesar, we usually have Melas. erstwhile upon a time, General Melas. No 1 remembers him anymore. 1 of many, from the Pleiades, in their time, celebrated chiefs, generals with a mars face, who departed into the darkness of oblivion. You're right. Losers approach nothingness, past fetes winners. Michał von Melas (1729 - 1806) even became the Field Marshal of the Austrian Empire. The highest rank not in times of peace chosen at the court of the ruler at the expense of countless humiliations, but gained in smoke and dust of conflict in the days of Napoleonic wars. Michał von Melas reached the tallness of his military career. Only the emperor stood over it. General Melas was a rather good commander of the Austrian Army, effective and victorious. He was besides fortunate – this always counts, especially in those at the top; in those decisions that depend on fate, life and death of tens of thousands of soldiers. General Melas commanded Austrian troops in Italy during the war of the alleged Second Coalition (c. 1789 - 1802), formally under General Alexander Suvorov. Yeah, it's the same Suvorov who drowned the Kosciuszko uprising in his blood. Gen. Melas had a number of victories over French troops in northern Italy, commanded by Napoleon's generals, among others, in the battles of Trebbia (July 1799), Novi (15 August 1799), or in the siege of Genoa (April - June 1800). Polish legions of Dąbrowski participated in these battles. The French did not spare the blood of Polish soldiers; they kept it so generously that after these fights they were left with Polish legions of remains. By the way, Napoleon Bonaparte acted identically. Napoleon Bonaparte himself (1769 - 1821) at the time the alleged First Consul left Italy earlier, entrusting command to his best generals to address the affairs of the full French empire and shortly the empire. He could not split, and France and Paris were more crucial than northern Italia.
Triumphs defend the Austrian under the command of Gen. Melasa over the French army brought him the rank of Field Marshal and raised the imperial court's conviction that Gen. Melas could be equal and even defeat Napoleon himself. Michael von Melas is the second Napoleon! We're saved. The confrontation of dreams with reality occurred in the bloody conflict of Marengo on 14 July 1800. The Austrian troops were commanded by Gen. Melas (about 30,000 soldiers and 100 guns), French Gen. Napoleon Bonaparte (originally 22 then 28,000 soldiers and only 15 guns). Gen. Melas had an advantage in the number of soldiers and a crushing advantage in artillery. According to the chief's plan, in the day-long conflict the Austrians broke the French's defense, forced them to retreat and (almost) defeated them. Gen. Melas even went on a well-deserved remainder after winning, as he thought the battle, giving command and task of destroying fleeing French troops to his generals. If the gene. Melas fell asleep in a triumph, his awakening couldn't have been more pathetic.
At a critical moment, at the very time, a forceful march of the division under the command of the Gen. Louis Desaix and from the march hit the trim Austrian army. General Desaix died in this conflict becoming 1 of the French national heroes. General Bonaparte regrouped his divisions and threw them to counterattack. Result? The first is the full defeat of the Austrian troops and 1 of General Napoleon Bonaparte's top victories. Another and more important: humiliating peace with France. The Austrian Empire, home of the Habsburg household lost Italy; more than 300 years of efforts, advancement and wars were lost.
The malcontents, of course, insist that Napoleon actually lost the conflict of Marengo and was won by General Desaix. On the news of General Desaix's death, Desaix, despairing Napoleon would exclaim, “Why am I not allowed to cry!” If so, why didn't General Melas have his Desaix? reasonably enough: the chief is liable for victories as for defeats. General Melas was sleeping as the 1 who defeated Napoleon Bonaparte himself and woke up as... General Melas. The 1 who lost the most crucial of the battles; the defeated, the loser, the compromised general. 1 of many, with many names lost and forgotten generals, chiefs, politicians. 1 historian wrote maliciously that Napoleon acted as if he had Napoleon as his opponent, and Melas as if he had fought... It's not just chieftains. It's our human nature. All of us, and we measurement everything with our own measure. And what measurement is that?
Returning to modern times: does the Ukrainian army command Bonaparte or Melas? What about the Russian army? Another conclusion and an easy answer. Napoleon Bonaparte will not be experienced in the Ukrainian army or Suvorov in Russian. In both armies is simply a fullness of Melas. erstwhile the Ukrainians had a general who had a purpose. General liable for the victories of Ukrainian troops in the first phase of the war. The sloppy president of Ukraine has cast his best general into ambassadors. What's he gonna do? erstwhile he himself - the elected president knows best how to command troops! The president of the hoarse voice invented the course operations, and the recently appointed General Melas obediently carried out the task. The plan was clever, with Ukrainian cunning. The Ukrainian Army occupies Russia's rags, which then trades for Donbas, Lugansk or possibly Crimea? Dream a sweet dream! At worst, they'll download Russian intel and make it easier to defend Donbas.
Result? Another sad conclusion. Plans, dreams, reality itself. The best Ukrainian units were trapped in the muds and forests at the Russian border taking up any fields, forests and meadows, respective villages and 1 town. The Russian troops finish winning Donbass. The fresh president of the U.S. closes the tap with supplies. The Ukrainians deficiency weapons, ammunition, most people, soldiers, conscripts. Ukrainian defence is falling apart. The Ukrainian - Russian war turned into a war to exhaustion. Ukraine, which lost 40% of the lutenit and its population to 28, 28 million, must lose the war of demolition to Russia, whose population exceeds 150 million. consecutive bill. What prospects? Only bad or very bad for Ukraine and the president with a hoarse voice. Who likes to beat people up and teach them. And he pretends not to know the maxim: if you can count, number on yourself. Either losing or losing. Lost in different dimensions, little or less. Ukraine has no chance of recovering Donbas, Lugansk or Crimea. The failure of 20% of the territory is the least price Ukraine will pay for losing the war. It can be worse, including the failure of Kharkiv and parts, or the full left-wing Ukraine. But of course miracles happen. Atoli is bad for those who number on miracles in life as much as in politics.
If you think about it very well, that neither Ukraine nor Russia has its Bonaparte or Suvorov. But they don't deficiency their molasses. Another motion. Happy this time. If they had this dream Napoleon, it would be worse, much worse. How fortunate that in 1920 we had our own Joseph Pilsudzki. We are besides fortunate that Ukraine and Russia are conducting a war to an end. In specified a war there are no winners, only more or little losers, destroyed. Like after planet War I. The analogy with the First War is increasing. Very good. We have a very happy position. Finally, after 3 centuries of misery and defeat. Another comforting conclusion. And don't believe what they're saying, these political strategists, these smart guys who supposedly see 3 moves ahead and alleged statists. That the defence of Ukraine is the defence of Poland. And the UPA triumph is simply a Polish victory. Nonsense. Not the UPA only officially Збройні сили України (ЗСУ); Armed Sylls of the Ukraits, ZSU. Freudian mistake. A country that places monuments to criminals, a nation that gives the names of mass, sadistic murderers to schools, factories, or streets does not deserve mercy, aid or support. Another of the fresh old conclusions. The others, another time.
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