In China's very long history, there were different stages. In this and those, erstwhile imperial power weakened or for a time fell.
As nature hates the vacuum, then the smaller players emerged, who, not erstwhile for centuries, waited for the collapse of central force and their time on the clock of history.
Numerous and bloody wars broke out between many aspirants to lead. Most frequently – and even always – it was not the best time for China. Eventually, things were kind of tidying up, and from this apocalyptic storm, a fresh sovereign emerged, carefully collecting what had broken down. It can so be said that the past of the mediate State is not linear, but any spiral, cyclical. This part of the planet was returning, in specified situations, to the Chinese's favourite alleged tributary strategy of global relations.
In large areas from the Caspian Sea to Korea and from the confederate tip of the taiga to Vietnam (Annam), and sometimes and beyond. Everyone knew where the center of the planet was. A akin thing has happened on a global scale in the last fewer decades. As we remember, the land area was divided into 3 parts, actually. 2 large systems and territories where empires could compete. It was called the 3rd planet or uninvolved states. erstwhile 1 empire collapsed, it seemed for a time that the another would regulation the continents in complete control. In the end, different signs pointed to this. The apogee of this situation is simply a war in the Balkans involving NATO and 2 invasions: Afghanistan and Iraq. All with a large number of vassals. A real geopolitical benefit. Everything was going well, even excellent. It seemed that American leadership, actually by no crucial one, was challenged. However, it yet turned out that until the time erstwhile religion in the single-polar planet with wars turned into any specifically understood criminal police expeditions, with the right to savagely execution uncomfortable leaders, is another illusion and utopian imagination of the end of the old world.
So a fresh era came. When? There were respective specified breakthrough moments, including 2 fundamentals. This is an unexpectedly fast economical improvement of China, which has undergone a sufficiently deep technological modernization. Now you can win battles with them, but wars for everything no longer! The second is to shake Russia out of unquestionable shock after the dissolution of the russian Union. Moscow has its problems, but it is already a organization of greater importance than regional powers.
Carefully interacting with Beijing creates a immense block, if not opposition is an effective protest. By the way, it turned out that Americans despite colossal means; not to know why actually wars do not win. They're just thickening. This happened in Afghanistan and Iraq. A symbolic turn came erstwhile an effort to remove Assad from power from Syria failed. In these cases, we see one more time that wars are won with bayonets, but they are impossible to sit on. They must be turned into political success, and this play is not the strong side of the Washington elite. In specified a marked framework, 2 solutions are involved: a slow drell of the United States towards isolationism or an global conflict. We'll see.
Antoni Koniuszewski
Think Poland, No. 51-52 (18-25.12.2022)
