We should have no uncertainty present that the war in Ukraine was inevitable, and if Russia had not begun its military operation, it would have been attacked in its own territory. The decision to attack so had to be 1 of the hardest for president Vladimir Putin and all Russians, but it could not be avoided or delayed. But the global aspect, even civilizational, of this war, is even more important.
War explains everything
It is rather apparent that, contrary to their own propaganda, the western financial and political elites are the main beneficiaries of the conflict, which is why with specified determination they sought its escalation. The accompanying economical war against Russia is an excellent smokescreen for the accelerated especially in Western Europe energy transformation. Although the first draconian increases in energy retention prices occurred in the early autumn of 2021, long before the Russian invasion, the widely applicable version is this binding energy crisis with war and Russia's purposeful policy, although the cut-off from Russian natural gas supply was a unilateral decision of Western, Polish governments without exception. The shift from fossil fuels is being carried out at a rate that destroys the remains of European manufacture and rapidly increases the cost of surviving of inhabitants, including an intense return to atomic power, inseparably linked to the fresh atomic arms race. In turn, the exposed shift to renewable energy coincides with the general strategy of the evolution of capitalism towards "zero growth", the departure from mass consumption to further favour higher classes, the word of state in form Global lockdown for poli, held in passive increasing condition with a virtual pension from financial turnover alienated from the erstwhile production and service sphere. In the long term, this besides means the inevitability of the Western conflict with China, which has benefited from the current globalisation model.
The foreseeable series of events so includes both the fixation of a state which is wrongly regarded as another transitional crisis of capitalism, which is in fact a fresh permanent state of the global economy, and the increasing likelihood of a full-scale planet war, including the usage of atomic weapons.
Great European Loss
With who knows or not the best chance so far, Europe did not have an impact on subjectivity during the war in Ukraine. On the contrary, the more he performs the tasks commissioned by the Anglo-Saxons at his own expense. This is surely a disaster for Europeans, all the more severe, due to the fact that it is exacerbating another negative effects of independent energy and financial policies, including the social and economical devastation of the COVID-19 pandemic period. Germany and France are to step up their integration, but only trying to decision forward from geopolitical and economical problems seems to fail. In this way neither real causes can be cured nor even mitigate the most severe symptoms of the crisis of European structures. This is mainly due to the strategical weakness – the submission of Western Europe to American politics. The euro has not gained the ability to separate itself from the dollar, and so the specified strengthening of Eurozon will not bring anything crucial in this respect, due to the fact that it is not (only) the failure of Greece or Italy that is simply a problem, but the advantage of planet debt and assets denominated in American currency. This US advantage could only be gradually balanced together, in strategic triangle of China, Europe and Russia, with the active participation of another economics of BRICS, Iran and arabian countries. However, there is no political approval for this in Western Europe and the cycle of inability is closing. Meanwhile, around the simple social economical justification for specified a reversal of alliances could easy build social facilities, to which the alienated European elites one more time turn out to be completely incapable.
The remainder are already a kind of rash, unpleasant side effects, specified as the noticeable disintegration of the EU by the Anglo-Saxons, especially with the participation of Poland, Romania and Pribaltiki. This distracts European, especially German, by making the most of the maintenance negotiations status quo for self-defence in reorganised structures, however, does not let for their real repair, e.g. by rejection of ideological superstructure based on globalisation, neoliberalism and post-humanism. By adding to this the method of managing the permanent crisis by the Brussels bureaucratic class, the inept ethnogenetic experiments (related to immigration policy), all of this puts Europe in its favourite post of determined suicide for over a century.
And since, alternatively of turning things around, Europeans are being led by stories about any imaginary plots of German monarchs, the return of COVID and the ubiquitous "putin's agency", that means that it may not be so much suicide as euthanasia...
Paviopapuga
Against this background, the more delusional are the stories about the "special position" that we will be able to address as a consequence of the current changes. Well, on the another hand, Poland is invariably full... "a peculiar role" in Europe, especially in its own view. At the threshold of modern times, and at our request, we have volunteered to service as the periphery of the West, from which we have not left today, but inactive do not see it. Back in the 16th century, with our own invention, we came up with the most inefficient and influential external system, gradually depriving ourselves of any global subjectivity that we have not yet recovered, but ignoring it lightly. By giving up our own will of all opportunities and opportunities for development, especially socio-economic ones, we proceed to blame everyone around us for real and imaginary Polish harm, loss, mistakes and omissions. However, we have always considered ourselves to be comforted, and to a large degree we inactive consider ourselves successive: the pattern and object of the envy of the world, Christ And Winkelried of the nations, eye in the head Mother of God, the homeland of Hussaria and the top of the Popes, for the liberators of Central Europe, the large slayers of all enemies (led by the Russians, of course), for superb inventors, explorers and unconquered devotees of Freedom, but someway regularly lost again. In a word, we think of ourselves as a country of incredible successes and accomplishments, but in any miraculous way inactive having to catch up with others, demanding loud praise, designation and gifts for all our splendor.
The year 2022 did not bring, and the year 2023 will not bring any views on changing this permanent Polish intoxication by itself Polish.
Peace and Democracy
Nor does it appear that the 3rd Republic will become aware of the war in Ukraine, and the only goals pursued through Warsaw will be dictated in subsequent telegraphs from Washington and London. Subsequent governments of Poland after 1989 function exclusively from abroad broadcasting and as specified have no goals of their own, and surely not those compatible with the Polish state ration.
What would be different, on the another hand, would be to consider what are, or should be, Polish national interests in relation to the Ukrainian War, or even the east issue. Of course, first The answer should be peace. Immediately and at any cost. Poland co-operates with the tremendous costs of this conflict, multiplied by the mass resettlement of Ukrainians into our current territory. Paradoxically, it could be noted that in a minute the problem of the Ukrainian majority in the Polish Eastlands will vanish spontaneously, so many of the erstwhile inhabitants have already left or are on their way to Zakerzonia. However, in a compact, nearly 6-million-dollar group, this community is presently colonizing Poland. Peace and sending this company back to Kiev or further to Western EuropeIf they're willing to have a inexpensive labour force. However, for Poles visitors are besides much burden, which should be disposed of immediately.
Peace should be the most precious to these Poles, who are traditionally distrustful or even hostile to Russia. As in the case of COVID, the feared virus besides over time had to admit that the measures applied were disproportionate to the threat and that social and economical costs were besides high. Similarly, the Russian threat to Poland: whatever – actual or imaginary, it does not justify throwing hundreds of billions of zlotys to aid Kiev.
Finally, the most controversial issue: it is clear that it would be much more beneficial for Poles if the first objectives of the Russian peculiar operation were met, i.e. the conflict would have ended quickly, with a tiny number of victims and without costs on the Polish side, and in addition, Ukraine would have been cleared of the dangerous Nazism for Poland, and yet it could have been federated, which would have strengthened the position of the local Polish population, as well as more open to Polish economical and cultural activity on our erstwhile East Ends. However, we already know that specified a affirmative finale did not happen, and it almost surely will not. present no 1 knows the answer to the question of what form Ukraine will take after the war, and so Poles must keep increased vigilance towards the situation in Kiev and (unfortunately) besides within our current borders, filled with Ukrainian displaced people. Our goal so remains not to lose more than we have already lost in a war, from which we could come out much stronger if we could form our policies sovereignly.
Worst scenario
Unfortunately, however, we can't, and the scenarios that we have sowed are divided into the bad ones and possibly tragic ones and for Poland. They're all up-to-date, or they're all gonna be none. Until the Anglo-Saxons are certain whether and how the conflict in Ukraine ends, all variants lie on the table. Newralgic may prove to be the announced expansion of the Polish Army states, including training up to 200 000 reserve soldiers. These are not only political declarations, typical saber buzzing, but a signal that Polish soldiers could be utilized to fill the increasingly severe shortages of replenishment of the Ukrainian army. It could be called any way, but it brings to the same – the usage of Polish cannon meat in the war against Russia. This is by far the worst possible scenario, unfortunately more likely.
In turn, the truly terrifying slogans of the “Polish-Ukrainian union” were clearly silenced in the face of the clear deficiency of enthusiasm of both curious nations. However, this does not mean that the task died. On the contrary, if fighting began to fade, 1 would anticipate that the most extremist Nazi elements from east Małopolska and Volyn would themselves be curious in specified a shortcut to direct membership of NATO. It is besides not essential to add that there is an apparent contradiction between specified ideas – and the real interests of the Polish nation. Well, under certain conditions the West could make UkraPolin, but only to make a reserve in it for Ukrainian Nazism. Meanwhile, Poles can and should request a worthy compensation for expulsion from the Borderlands – but 1 which would include their denasification and economical and cultural repolonisation. Although it would be an excellent minute to get specified concessions in view of the deteriorating situation at the Ukrainian front again – this option can be considered almost completely unrealistic.
Polish games
So what remains as a Polish position for 2023? An expanding energy crisis, driven by rising energy media prices, revealed by inflation and the return of unemployment on a scale unknown for a decade and a half. Ukrainian resettlements to Poland will not save the economy of the 3rd Republic of Poland, but on the contrary they will charge it further costs, while Germany and the remainder of the European Union, under any pretext, will cut back on the expenditure incurred so far in Poland, but not quit on the profits earned here and transferred to each other. The grievanced alliances with the Anglo-Saxons will not give us anything economically, but yet they can bring a direct war on us. At the same time, it will not be known who will win the war in Ukraine, but who will lose it will be more and more obvious.
The war in Ukraine is overheated as Poles.
Konrad Hand