A Confederate in a trap or on his way to power

For a long time, the roads of Grzegorz Braun and the Confederates would disperse. Grzegorz Braun himself would have sufficed for this operation, but the mystery of the polysinel is that Janusz Korwin-Mikke, the master of divisions, besides had his share. When Corwin left the Confederate, it happened in stages and within the ranks of supporters continued a turbulent discussion in not necessarily a healthy atmosphere. any shouted that it was the end of the party's existence, due to the fact that the legendary leader was destroyed, others were waiting for this replacement for a long time and applauded standing.

Time verified the assessments of the Confederate voters and they were definitely right to expel Korwin from the party, which, on the 1 hand, was indeed a legend, but on the another hand constantly jumped with the "2% protocol". The Confederacy gained polling, which means JKM was a ballast. Now we have a akin situation, but with 2 crucial differences. The fact is that Grzegorz Braun was marginalized by organization leaders: Bosaka and Mentzen. The second fact is Braun's self-centering, due to the fact that it was apparent to the bare eye that he was playing for himself, not for the team. In addition, what voters liked, specified as a cult charge with a fire extinguisher, was politically burdensome for the Confederacy.

So what are the 2 crucial differences? The first and most crucial is that Grzegorz Braun made a decision at the start of the presidential run and clearly weakens Sławomir Mentzen's candidacy. The second difference concerns itself Grzegorz Braunwhich is not JKM and can cut off much more than 2% to Mentzen. The effect of this may be that Mentzen loses to Hołownia, and Grzegorz Braun will never get into any parliament with his organization again. In short, besides a wolf hungry and sheep in shreds, but politics is simply a violent athletics and for foul play you frequently get additional points, it means that there may be an unexpected twist of action.

Grzegorz Braun was a completely unacceptable politician in the position of a possible coalition with PiS. The fact that Braun will not be speaking straight to many prominent PiS activists, including CEO Jarosław Kaczyński. There is so a very different position and there is not an excluded effect of JKM, but it will shift somewhat over time. Today, almost no 1 remembers about JKM leaving, and Braun will not mourn the Confederate voters forever, after the presidential election everything will pass. Then we will gotta seriously consider whether to proceed playing anti-systemic organization or yet cross the border for which there is simply a serious policy.

The Confederate without JKM and Braun, nevertheless brutally it sounds, has a full chance to build a strong position to the right of the PiS. They wouldn't have a major problem with it due to the fact that they keep their identity in the national wing and have a different view of economical issues. All that is needed is simply a reasonable correction, which means that the infantile slogan "PiS-PO 1 evil" should be replaced with the hard conditions for the coalition, of course without a declaration that this is expected to be a coalition with the PiS. The young leaders of the Confederates must seriously answer any questions, otherwise they will go to pieces.

In Poland, it is impossible to build 12-15% of support on specified tough radicalism as Braun or JKM presents, but if Bosak and Mentzen wear long political trousers, they have the full chance to build a organization capable of governing within the coalition. As things turn out, life will show, in any case, announcing the end of the Confederacy on a shift with the spectacular success of Grzegorz Braun, is at least careless. In Polish politics, it has never happened that the faction has been more successful than the parent party, on the contrary, it has always been a disaster, and at best a humiliation and return to the womb, specified as in the case of Solidarne Poland.

We don't believe in anyone, we don't believe in anything! We look at facts and draw conclusions!