CBOS poll: support for the Confederation of the Polish Crown increased, outside the PSL Seym and Poland 2050

In the latest CBOS survey in July (formally it is the foundation over which the Prime Minister supervises) concerning the electoral preferences of Poles, the Civic Coalition received the highest support, to which 28 percent of respondents indicated. This is simply a 2 percent point lower than the erstwhile study.

Second place was the Law and Justice with 27 percent support, which besides means an increase of 2 percent points. The 3rd was the Confederacy, which indicated 12 percent of respondents, with a decrease of 2 percent points.

It is worth noting that any of the Confederate voters changed preferences for the Confederation of the Polish Crown, Grzegorz Braun, whose support in the same survey reached 8 percent. This amendment shows a clear division among voters who have so far supported the Confederation, and rising NCCs' ratings may further influence the strength on the right side of the political scene in the following months.

The Left and Together recorded 6 percent of the support each, which in the case of the Left represents a decrease of 2 percent points, while Together retained its consequence from the erstwhile study. Under current electoral rules, these 2 formations would exceed the electoral threshold.

Among the groups that would not exceed the electoral threshold were Poland 2050 with a consequence of 3 percent and Polish People's Party, which indicated only 1 percent of respondents. specified a consequence for both parties would mean no representation in the Sejm. Poland 2050 and the PSL, which are inactive crucial players on the political phase recently, are now outside the parliamentary margin, which may indicate the progressive polarization of the electorate and the weakening of the position of smaller groups.

In the study, 10 percent of respondents declared a deficiency of determination, suggesting a crucial group of possible voters whose preferences could inactive affect the final arrangement of forces in parliament. The survey was conducted by a method of computer-assisted telephone interviews and online interviews from 7 to 9 July 2025 on a example of 1,000 adults in Poland. Declared voter attendance remained 85 percent, which remains unchanged with respect to June survey.