I have late read rose articles on various media portals: Polish, German and British. The conclusions are as follows: media in Poland gives a false image of the war and economy in Ukraine.
The situation in fresh weeks Ukraine on the front became angry, while fighting very intensely. In the West (and Ukraine itself) he is silent about the state of the Ukrainian army: morale, losses, desertions etc. - That's something to think about. Although Ukrainian successes on the front have been written since early autumn, as far as the war map is concerned, the Ukrainian side has recovered a very tiny part of this (2-5%), which the Russians occupied in the first 2 months of the war. I don't know how much she's lost lately. .
The most crucial issue in this case is the Ukrainian economy, which is barely mentioned here. 1 word is characterized by disaster. GDP decline at 40%, and so low before the outbreak of the war level (three times lower than Poland). Officially there is 30% inflation, but it is most likely much higher. Hrywna lost about 70%. Labour law has been introduced, which highly liberalises the principles of employing and firing workers "for the time of war". “It will push another wave, not refugees, but gastarbeiters to Poland and further to the West. The fresh law allows employees to pay much little than ... statutory minimum wage.
It is not hard to know that Ukrainian billionaires – oligarchs are not sad about it. Western experts agree that if the war does not end immediately, Ukraine will fall economically to specified an degree that the state will not be able to execute its basic functions as it will no longer have any means to keep its institutions, specified as: schools, hospitals, courts, offices, etc. – Long before the war broke out due to savings, heating and electricity were regularly switched off in schools/ colleges.
Serious groups already forecast the situation in Ukraine after the end of the war. It is said that this state will not be able to keep its cultural and technological institutions (not to mention the Ministry of Defence) and will gotta delegate competence in their management and funding... external entities in the West. As regards the wellness system, which is in the final phase of the collapse, it is said that the Ukrainian Ministry of wellness should replace the global Organization of Doctors without Borders (no 1 says who will replace them at work in Africa, Asia and South America). I think that's bullshit. No medical organization can service the institutions of a state the size of Ukraine, nor can any another organization or government of another countries keep in being the most costly ministries (defence, health, social policy) of another state of that size with specified gigantic corruption and nepotism.
As it seems, media lies in Poland about the real situation in Ukraine are aimed at maintaining support for Ukrainian authorities to lead “war until victory”. At the same time, by victory, the banishment of Russian troops from Ukraine and the recovery of Crimea is meant. The open issue is whether the society of Ukraine wants the same thing (I doubt) – nothing is written about it. Prior to the outbreak of the war, 20-25% of Ukrainian citizens were in favour of giving Russia to Donbas and Crimea to neutralize relations with Russia.
And there is no serious military in the West that would consider specified a imagination of "winning" possible if Ukraine were to do so by its own forces. On the contrary, the full confederate Ukraine is inactive in real danger. The business of Odessa, “the pearls” of the Russian Empire, will be the symbolic culmination of the full war for Russia. The failure of all or most of the confederate coast of Ukraine will permanently make Ukraine a state on the border of economical existence. In the crash of Ukraine's economy, there is no chance of further effective war. – Unless the West abruptly pours out any gigantic sums of cash and modern weapons for Ukraine for “free”. It doesn't look like it, though.
However, no 1 wants to accept that Putin is on his own. Consent to truce and acceptance of the de jure capture by Russia of subsequent areas of Ukraine strikes the ambitions of Ukrainian politicians, but besides in Western powers like the US and W. Britain. However, given the alleged “all-realism” and the simple realism (Realpolitik), wishing not to, Ukraine must accept what Henry Kissinger wrote six months ago: sign a peace with Russia as shortly as possible, agreeing to the irreparable failure of Crimea and the remainder of the Russian-occupied territories [1] [2], so as not to lose more land and save the remainder of its economy. For this self-economy is the eventual basis of independence, not of ad hoc and embarrassing way of taking money and weapons around the world.
Ukraine has been writing its communicative for more than 30 years, which is simply a repetition of the past of all another countries. – Among others, that after good times and mediate times, bad times come. And that no country in the planet has always full had its limits. possibly it is worth reading the past of Poland beyond the east border, so that it is understood that nothing, including any border, is forever and that no 1 in the West has always spent so much weapons and cash to defend the independency of a country another than Ukraine. They should realize it and yet appreciate it. Both economical and military aid, like borders, is never eternal and has its limits which are very clear and impermeable.
Prof. Bogusław Oct
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Photo port in Mariupolu (photo TASS)
[1] July’22 https://drzeczy.pl/.../end-war-on-Ukraine...
[2] December’22 https://news.journal.pl/.../8613024,henry...
