Sunday, May 18, 2025Poles will decision to the polls to choose the head of state for another term. This will be the first circular of presidential elections, and if no of the candidates gets more than 50% of the vote, a second circular will be necessary. Meanwhile, the State Election Commission provided key information on hours of publication of survey and authoritative results.
Exit poll – first results just after 21:00
Exit poll, i.e. a poll carried out outside the polling stations among those who have just given their vote, first estimateWhich we will know right after the vote. The polling stations will be closed by 9:00 p.m., and almost immediately thereafter major tv stations (TVN, Polsat, TVP) will print poll results exit poll prepared by a renowned investigation company Ipsos.
Exit poll is first indicator social sentiments and an indicative image of the result of the elections, but it should be remembered that this is not authoritative data – they may be corrected depending on attendance, distribution of votes in individual regions or results from abroad commissions.
Late poll – more accurate data, but later
Late poll is another step in getting closer to the final result. Unlike exit poll, the late poll is already based on actual results from selected electoral commissionswhich have been counted. This allows for a more precise estimation of the result, with a smaller margin of error.
In practice Late poll appears a fewer hours after the closing of the polling stationsusually between midnight and early morning hours the next day. The timing of his announcement depends on the rate of data flow from the regional commissions.
Official results – erstwhile will PKW announce them?
National Election Commission plans to announce official results of the first circular of the presidential election 2025 no later Tuesday, May 20. The president of the Polish Parliament stressed that all effort would be made to do so earlier, possibly already Monday nightif the rate of vote counting and the flow of protocols is sufficient.
However, PKW reserves that the deadline depends on a number of factors specified as:
- possible electoral protests,
- technical problems in committees,
- the rate of transmission of data from abroad.
Differences between exit poll and late poll – what is worth knowing?
Although both terms sound similar, exit poll and summertime poll are 2 completely different investigation tools:
- Exit poll This poll, based on voters' declarations coming out of the premises. It is subject to a hazard of statistical error, peculiarly in the event of an uneven distribution of regional votes or a sub-sample.
- Late poll That's it. forecast based on real results from a certain number of regional commissions. This data is much more precise, including actual ballot cards.
The crucial thing for the public is that exit poll gives a fast but indicative imageand Late poll allows almost certain forecastsEspecially if the advantage of 1 of the candidates is clear.
How do I keep track of the results?
To not miss any key information, it is worth:
- Watch live broadcasts on major tv stations,
- Follow updates on the authoritative website I'm sorry.,
- Use mobile applications to notify election results.
It is besides worth remembering that media can interpret exit and late poll data differently, it is so safest to trust on authoritative information provided by PKW.
Perspective: Will a second circular be needed?
According to the Constitution, if no of the candidates gain more than 50% of the vote, will take place Second circular of presidential electionsthat was scheduled for June 1, 2025. Then we'll go to the urn again to choice 1 of the 2 candidates with the best score from the first round.
Everything indicates that The exit poll on Sunday night will indicate whether the second circular will be necessary, but we will get full clarity only after the results are announced by PKW.
Continued here:
When will we know the results of the 2025 presidential election? PKW gave the schedule
