Encouraged by Europe's cold answers to its provocations Donald Trump He decides to go all the way. He demands the French to release the Eiffel Tower and transfer it to Mar-a-Lago. due to the fact that he heard she's actually American. Musk said yes, due to the fact that he was reasoning about something else, and the another colleagues were afraid to mention that the boss got a small confused – after all, the Statue of Liberty, by the same architect, is simply a gift for America from the French. Trump does not get into details, has no head, and the news went into the world: the Eiffel Tower is American.
Trump repeats a fresh slogan during all his speeches and as a result, even any French people begin to believe it. With Marine Le Pen in the lead, which in 1 of the publicist programs convinces that if she were the president, the Americans would have left the Eiffel Tower of France for longer.
The proposal meets with a tense consequence MacronaWhich, against the background of military troops, ironically encourages Trump to come choice her up. In Trump's reaction, as a race trader, after reaching the beginning of a cosmic demand, he now proposes something a small little messed up, so that, in the context of the first proposal, any begin to look like a reasonable option. The French may keep the Eiffel Tower as a gift from the Americans, but Trump expects them to shut down half the atomic power and replace them with gas power plants and build 2 gas-ports to bring more of this natural material from the US. Grace gives the French until 2030. Most commentators proceed to spin their heads with disbelief, but more and more often, there are broken voices: “Trump can be dealt with, but something needs to be given to them for this Eiffel Tower”.
Macron, however, is not in the dark bitten and again unequivocally refuses, although now in a milder tone: France is open to talks with the fresh American administration, but constructive and on a partnership basis. Unexpectedly, during 1 of his public appearances Trump praises France. He calls the French a large nation, and Macrona a friend of his. I besides thank the government in Paris that he agreed to build 2 gas-ports exclusively intended to take more gas from the US, which will improve transatlantic relations. Completely stupid already Macro decides to build these 2 gas-ports to get this curiosity thing over with. At a press conference, he convinces that this is actually his idea, and that the Eiffel Tower is even worth it.
* * Oh, * *
We have reached a state where the situation described above is no longer absurd, but only unlikely. We can inactive presume that Trump would not have started a series of pressures on Paris with specified a ridiculous proposal. After all, the force on London began only with the proposition that the British should remove windmills in the North Sea. He did not have them transferred to the U.S., he simply said not to be there so that the fossil fuel deposits there could be freely exploited.
It all started with Trump's anger over raising the British taxation on unexpected profits, which prompted the American company Apache to quit searching for deposits in that area. Thus, it can be imagined that in a somewhat softer speech Trump will ask "reasonable Prime Minister Starmer" to liquidate the taxation on excess profits so that overseas companies will be more willing to exploit the deposits under the North Sea. The windmills can stay. A change of speech may impress Starmer, who will consider the liquidation of the taxation in general a good idea, and he will point out that he has been considering it for any time. After voting on the British liquidation windfall tax In the home of Commons, the satisfied Elon Musk will halt accusing Starmer of allegedly hiding sex offenders and transfer his interest to another European politician.
One of Trump's main objectives is to change global energy trends and to curb decarbonisation. Clearly, then, the European Commission, as the decision-making centre for European climate policy, will shortly besides become a direct mark of the next "suggests" from overseas. In fresh years, the EC has cut off so wide a competence that it can de facto change or halt the operation of certain EU rights, for example by giving up their enforcement or effectively operating EU funds to associate States. Furthermore, it is the Commission that most frequently drafts EU directives and regulations, so that the force placed on it can change the situation throughout Europe in 1 attempt.
Trump can usage the war in Ukraine to force Europe. He's already announced he wants to meet Putin. It is clear that he will effort to negociate with him a peace over the Dnieprem, which will be beneficial primarily for the US.
The Americans may begin to convince that maintaining peace will require a halt to the pace of EU climate policy, which Trump personally accuses of straight contributing to the outbreak of war. Russia was afraid that due to Europe's decarbonisation, it would shortly have no 1 to sale its fossil fuels to. That's why she attacked Ukraine to dramatically rise global energy prices, so she got a powerful injection of money – especially in the first months of the war her gas and oil export revenues increased importantly compared to the period just before the aggression. Europe should so abandon its naive ideas as shortly as possible and return to the production of energy from proven fossil fuels. This will not mean US consent to reactivation of Nord Stream or withdrawal from electrification of transport – just let Tesla goes to electricity from gas and oil.
This may besides imply a partial normalisation of trade relations with Russia. Theoretically, the US should treat Moscow as its competitor in the fossil fuel marketplace and cut it off from the outlets. However, they may as well work on the request side alternatively than on the supply side – i.e. increase global request for fossil fuels. It would be all the more reasonable that Russia has lost its main gas export channel to the EU, which is to say the blown-up Nord Stream, so it will be a alternatively weak competitor for Americans in this field.
Fighting decarbonization, Trump, of course, can change most in the US. And the energy of the United States, the largest economy in the world, is crucial for global climate policy. If the U.S. starts to break out of global commitments, their lead will follow, which will trigger the general trend of returning to conventional energy. All the more so if erstwhile pressures on Europe and Canada have the desired results.
The windmills will most likely go first. Trump he feels akin to the Euro MP of PiS Anna Zalewska, who stood behind the unpleasant Wind Wind Act, limiting the construction of land wind farms in Poland. According to Trump, windmills “shattering” America, so a drastic halt to wind energy investments can be assumed. This will open up the place for conventional fuel companies, which will besides benefit from the announced liberalisation of regulations – environmental and not only.
Trump can increase oil and gas production in the US in many another ways. It can velocity up and increase the number of fossil fuel concessions issued. The same applies to drilling permits issued by the national Environmental Protection Agency, and it will most likely rapidly knock out the remainder of her teeth, which he did not have in his first term.
Finally, it can lead to changes in Biden Act on inflation reduction, which finances investments in low-carbon energy and electrical vehicles produced in the US, among others. Support for electricians at least for a time, otherwise he would gotta wipe off his main ally, Elon Musk, which he would not do in the first period of his rule. Musk is besides useful to him in spreading global alt-right propaganda and attacking leaders of another states. There will undoubtedly be a clash between Trump and Musk in any time, due to the fact that the production of electrical cars is not the only axis of possible dispute between them. First, however, Trump will want to compression as much out of Musk as he can (reciprocatedly).
Climate policy has been on the another side for a long time. specified expectations were besides expressed by politicians in the EU – of course practically everyone in Poland, but besides by the probable future German Chancellor Friedrich Merzu. Trump's emergence to power can turn climate policy completely over.
In Poland, we rightly fear, above all, the overturning of safety architecture in our region and worldwide. The possible of throwing climate policy into the basket over the Vistula river is viewed with hope. For this Trump-launched momentum we're about to pay for.
