Electoral polls in the United States consistently indicate that after almost 2 years of war in Ukraine, the Americans mostly want to end it rapidly alternatively than further escalate the conflict. Most besides like Donald Trump's approach to aid than the promises of Kamala Harris, and the subject is far off the list of priorities.
Nearly 1,000 days after Russia started a full-scale war in Ukraine, president Joe Biden and Vice president Kamala Harris proclaim 2 slogans: "support" Ukraine as long as essential and "nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine". A pre-election public opinion poll shows that specified an approach is increasingly little popular among Americans who like Donald Trump's promise to rapidly end the war.
An example is the October "Wall Street Journal" survey, according to which 50% of voters indicated that they trusted Trump's approach more than Harris (39%). A Wednesday survey of YouGov for the weekly "The Economist" shows that 31 percent of voters want to reduce support for Ukraine, 24 percent increase, and 25 percent leave it at the current level. The same poll shows that most independent and Republican voters consider Harris besides pro-Ukrainian.
As the September survey by the Institute for Global Affairs (IGA) showed, the most comprehensive opinion survey on abroad policy in the electoral period, these trends are even more clear among voters in the most crucial state election results. As many as 66 percent of these people replied in the affirmative to the question whether the US and allies should "press on a negotiated war agreement in Ukraine".
– Volodymyr Zelenski races with the American electoral calendar to implement his "win plan" to end the war on his terms. The Biden-Harris administration has promised to support Ukraine as long as necessary. However, very fewer Americans say that negotiations should be halted until Ukraine gains a better negotiating position (11%) or accomplish a full military triumph (10%). Instead, most support a negotiated solution ending the war – summarizes in an interview with PAP 1 of the authors of Lucas Robinson's research.
– As far as the United States' war objectives are concerned, fewer Americans say that the main objectives of US support (for Ukraine) should be to weaken Russia to punish it for its aggression (15 percent), or to reconstruct Ukraine's borders before 2022 (17 percent). Americans seem delicate to the human cost of war and cautious about the hazard of escalation, which could accompany endless support (Ukraine) or strategies to bring about a decisive triumph (Kijowa) – adds.
Although the issue of war in Ukraine is not at the forefront of the subjects dealing with voters – according to the IGA survey it is only 10th in the hierarchy of safety issues – the effects of changing social sentiments can be easy seen in the current election campaign. Although Harris, at the beginning of the campaign, during rallies and debates with Trump, has comparatively frequently stressed her commitment to further support Ukraine, she barely mentions it in fresh weeks. Meanwhile, Trump repeats in almost all speech and interview his promise to end the war rapidly – even before taking office. Gradually, he besides sharpens rhetoric by blaming Russian aggression on Joe Biden and even Volodymyr Zelenski.
– It seems to me that support for Ukraine is indeed beginning to be unpopular among American society. And from the Polish point of view, Trump's very fast ending of the war may seem alternatively frightening, due to the fact that we do not know under what conditions this would take place. Dr. Paweł Markiewicz, head of the Washington Office of the Polish Institute of global Affairs, says PAP. – The accomplishment of specified a "deal" without strong guarantees for Ukraine can only give Russia time to prepare further attacks. We fear that the Trump site may not read it as we signal it to them that it is simply a threat to our part of Europe. – adds the analyst.
Source: PAP / Oskar Górzyński, Washington
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