Leave, leave, but on a “dide” in this flood of unilateral propaganda, which is served by the Polish media respective sentences about the operational crisis of the Ukrainian army in the Pokrovsk operating direction, which is present the most crucial event in the ongoing war on Ukraine.
The front of the Russian-Ukrainian War, to remind you, is about 1500 km. presently (August 22, 2024) we see, strategically speaking, 2 key events. Basically, the Russian side's mastery (taking control), a crisis of operational importance caused by the continued, harassed operation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kursk operational direction. besides not controlled by the Ukrainian side by the operational crisis, in the Pokrów operating direction. We'll take care of the another 1 today.
Looking at the map (Annex 1) we see a bulge of the front at the tallness of the town of Donetsk between the villages of Pierwomajskie and Nowobahmutivka, northwest of the winter-built town-fortress of Awdievka.
If we look at the map, we can see within 14 km of the front line the 60-thousandth town of Pokrowsk, which crosses a mass of roads and railway lines. This city is simply a key communication hub that supplies the Ukrainian Armed Forces Group on Donbas.
On maps 2 and 3, 4 and 5 you can see the dynamics of the regular conquests of the Russian “Centre” group commanded by General Andrei Mordwiczov. Generally, during July and August (i.e. the period during which the Russian summertime offensive operation takes place) the front moves at a rate of 3-6 km a week.
It can be assumed that in 3 weeks, in mid-September, the Russians will scope the town of Pokrowsk. The forced evacuation of the civilian population of Pokrovsk began present and the transformation of the city by the Ukrainian army into another "fortress".
Despite the surprising, successful, superb attack of Ukrainian units in the Kursk direction, its halting was carried over by units moved from the depths of Russia, the Kherson region, from Kharkov and Lugansk. However, the “Centre” Group forces did not move.
Despite a series of successful destructive drone attacks carried out in fresh weeks by Ukrainians at Russian airports, they failed to reduce the activity of the 11th Air Force bombing to support the attack of Gen. Mordwigov.
Moreover, attempts to surprise Russian Su-34 bombers by F-16 fighters failed due to the fact that they have a strong escort of Su-35S fighters equipped with air-to-air R-37M rockets with a scope of over 200 km, effectively deterring Ukrainian F-16 pilots from attempting to approach Russian bombers.
The attack by the Russians is led by the 2nd Guarded Military Army brigade, supported by regiments of the 90th Guarded Armored Division. There are inactive 3 brigades of 41 Guards of the National Military Army and separate forces of the 1st Army Corps. There are besides reserves of Stakes. The Russians, therefore, inactive have whom and what to attack and what is in line with the principles of martial arts, increase the impact of the group conducting offensive actions on the forces of the opponent.
Russian troops in the face of the Ukrainian army's superiority in NATO supplies and drones manufactured for the Ukrainian army (mainly FPV classes) attack tiny troops of assault infantry, which, after being destroyed by aviation, artillery and drones of Ukrainian forces, occupies fortified opposition points built by Ukrainians.
The key function here is the support of Russian bomber aviation operating with gliding bombs with satellite guidance module and Russian artillery, which, despite importantly worse parameters in the scope of fire, quantity and density of fire, provides adequate support for the attack. This tactic, though not refined, works under the current conditions of the war on Ukraine.
Commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian Army General Syrian Alexander a crucial part of available reserves, poker play, directed the attack on the Kurdish operating direction. Clearly, the deficiency of these troops to support the pokrovsk defense.
If 1 of the objectives of the Kursy offensive was to draw Russian reserves and parts of forces from Donbas, then this goal has not yet been achieved by the Ukrainian side. I mark “for now” due to the fact that the Ukrainian side is developing its attack and all day it occupies further areas of the Kurdish siege.
There is simply a kind of war on nerves between General Gierasimov and General Syrian. Who will first "break" and cease their actions to counter the enemy's attack.
It seems my subjective assessment that the Syrian general underestimated the Russian army's conventional "soul" of operating depth. This is simply a large country (for learners of geography after 1989 I remind you that Russia is the largest country in the planet about 17 million km 2 and 11 time zones, for comparison Europe has 10.5 million km 2 and North America 24 million km 2). Ukrainians have occupied about 500 km 2 for present and about 700 km are fighting. The average size of the region in Poland is 700 km 2. It's so educational.
The Russians have nowhere to go and they are not guided, unlike Ukraine, by propaganda reasons. Moscow suffered a severe image damage, losing part of its territory and is forced to evacuate respective 100 1000 of its citizens. Kiev targeted Moscow with propaganda “a savoury cheek”. The point is that Russia/ZSRR has not suffered specified blows due to the fact that it is simply a circumstantial country and society.
If the Syrian general does not direct the last available reserves towards Pokrów, and specified Ukraine inactive has, the Russians will get Pokrowski or effectively by obsessing with him will destruct him as a supply knot. Thus, the summertime operation of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will accomplish its intended goal, as it will prepare a good foundation for carrying out effective offensive actions as part of the winter operation 2024/2025 throughout Donbasa.
War is simply a comprehensive action at sea, land and air, across the full front line and strategical depth and in the information space. Looking at the selected “cut-off” of the front only and drawing out comprehensive assessments on this basis is flawed, and so unfortunately the current situation on the fronts of the war on Ukraine is analysed by Polish media, with the support of “disgusting analysts”, aptly called General Komorowski “Dysmami”.
Apart from that, I leave people “damaged” or consciously disinformation, filling the contents of the “pro-Russian information bubble” and “pro-Krokiyan information bubble”. It's a waste of time and problem to have an extra-nutrient polemic. And 1 and the another have late become, especially in social media, highly active, as I inform against.
Krzysztof Podgórski
photo. izvietia
