The elections to the European Parliament have ended and the result of these elections may change the arrangement of forces within the most crucial EU institutions. Looking at general Results of the Europarliamentary factions, the Greens (G/EFA) suffered the biggest disaster, in which there were peculiarly crucial declines in support in Germany and France. They were mostly affected by changes in local political dynamics, but environmental parties besides suffered from general push Climate issues to the background of erstwhile Euro-elections. This time, safety and migration were more prominent.
The losers are followed by liberal Renew Europe (RE). In this case, the most painful results from France and Spain proved to be. The second is symptomatic of the results across the European Union, that, apart from the disappearance of the centre Ciudadanos and the tiny weakness of the left, the right has grown, both average and extreme.
Strengthening the European right
Ursula von der Leyen, who is likely to hold the position of Head of the European Commission, may be pleased. Its faction (European People's organization – EPP) has strengthened itself as the strongest group in the Euro-Parliament, announcing the maintenance of the current conservative-liberal EU course. Although the centrepiece (Socialists and Democrats – S&D) has only recorded a minimal decrease in the number of Euro MPs, the shift of the point of gravity to the right is simply a fact.
This is due, among another things, to the advancement of utmost right-wing AfD in Germany and FPÖ in Austria, to maintaining the state of ownership in Italy (where the Meloni organization replaced the Lega Salvini), but above all to the immense success of French nationalists. The Le Pen organization won over 30% of the vote, while the presidential group little than 15 percent. Even with low turnout, this is simply a shocking consequence – so much so that Emmanuel Macron announced early parliamentary elections at the turn of June and July.
France is so waiting for an highly short and intensive electoral campaign, and the European Union will face strong right-wing force in the next word of the Euro-Parliament. EPP politicians announce the continuation of the alliance with the centre parties, but theoretically it would be possible to get along with the extremist right, which von der Leyen can usage to strengthen his negotiating position in talks with the existing partners, even if the possible of a right-wing coalition seems unrealistic. This calls into question more ambitious EU projects specified as Green Deal or infrastructure investments, which are more crucial to the left.
Reshuffle in the Europarliament?
The question is, on the another hand, how the Euro-Parliamentary Right will share. There's quite a few talk about the thought of a combination of ECR and ID into 1 faction, which would be forcefully close to S&D, which would strengthen the right-wing vote in the next EP term. The individual ambitions of 2 possible leaders of specified an alliance, Giorgia Meloni and Marine Le Pen, may stand in the way. They would gotta share power, and at least their approach to Russia differs, so it does not should be easy to scope a compromise. At the very beginning, there will besides be who will be part of their alliance.
A possible faction to the right of the EPP despite the unification of the main extremist forces of the right should not be utmost adequate to accept parties like AfD and its fascism counterparts from another countries, specified as the Slovak Republic or the Polish Confederation, which will send Grzegorz Braun to Brussels. Therefore, in the case of the Meloni–Le Pen alliance, an additional faction of the far right will most likely be created around the AfD if it manages to collect the required 23 Euro MPs.
Similar maneuvers await the part of the left that is not found in any of the existing factions. It refers to groups with various ideological profiles, from average social democracy to communism, mostly with a conservative and anti-immigrant deviation—the alleged alt-left. The prim leads here. Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance and the Movement of 5 Stars, which besides combines pro-Russianity. They can be joined by the Greek Communist organization and Slovak Smer, but it is not certain whether the alt-left faction will gain adequate members to be able to formally start business.
Surprises – Cypriot tictoker and Spanish “squirrels”
A large surprise was the Euro-elections in Denmark, where Mette Frederiksen's organization premiered not only did not take first place, but was chased by the Socialist People's Party. This is the first failure in over a century of Danish social politician past with a more left-wing group, which clearly shows a critical assessment of the ongoing coalition governments with the right, characterised by the abandonment of social policy and the focus on combating immigration.
Positive news for the left is coming from another Nordic countries. In both Sweden and Finland, it improved its results – in the second GUE/NGL faction, the Left Alliance unexpectedly won 17% of the vote, which is more than twice as many as last time. In this way he overcame both the Social Democrats and the far right. With respect to the extremist left, the results achieved in Belgium, Ireland and Italy, which offset the losses suffered in respective another countries, deserve attention.
At the same time, there will be more exotic politicians in the fresh European Parliament. 1 of them is Fidias Panayiotou, a well-known youtuber and tiktoker, whose list won nearly 20% of the vote in Cyprus. Young influencer at the start of the run stated that he knew small about EU policy, but promises to address issues specified as AI or Bitcoin. More precise views have another unexpected black horse of the Euro elections – Alvise Pérez, organization leader End of the event. erstwhile associated with a liberal center, he is now associated with the far right and alt-right.
Thanks to the group which won nearly 5% of the vote in Spain, the event is to end for the establishment and the "partiocracy". Pérez became celebrated for exposing alleged corruption scandals and then defending himself in court against defamation charges. The mandate of the Euro MP is intended to supply him with the immunity essential to proceed his fight against the “deep state” supposedly waiting for him and his supporters – he has respective 100 1000 observers on the Telegram who took squirrels in Anonymous's mask as a symbol. Time will show whether this fresh kind of policy in the performance of the tiktok stars or the Telegram will prove to be an ephemeral phenomenon and curiosity, or whether it will affect the Europarliament to a greater extent, but we do not request to be afraid at this minute of the inflationist faction.
