In the latest United Surveys poll for Virtual Poland, 61.5% of respondents declared to participate in the elections to the Sejm if they were held next Sunday. 37.5% of respondents are not going to vote, and 1% have not decided yet. The poll results show that the Civic Coalition (KO) would score 34.9% of the vote, which means an increase of 3.9 percent points compared to the end of March survey.
Law and Justice (PiS) would take second place with 28.8% of the vote, which besides represents an increase of 2.3 percent points. The Confederacy with 16.4% of the vote closes the podium and the Left with 5% of the vote will besides be in the Sejm. In turn, the 3rd Road (PSL and Poland 2050) and the organization Together would not exceed the 8% threshold for the coalition and would stay outside the parliament.
The results of the poll were converted to the number of seats in the Sejm utilizing an election calculator created by Prof. Jarosław Flis from the Jagiellonian University. The results show that the Civic Coalition would not be able to regulation either alone or in a coalition with the Left. 231 Members in the Sejm are needed to get the majority.
Donald Tusk, leader of the Citizens' Coalition, would gotta look for allies in the Confederacy, which would be hard given the politicians' current approach of the far right to the KO rule. On the another hand, the alliance of the right, or the Law and the Confederacy, could take over with 247 MPs.
The survey was carried out on 4-6 April 2025 utilizing a mixed method of CAWI and CATI on a typical example of 1,000 people. The results of this survey can have a crucial impact on the political future of Poland and are an crucial origin of information for voters.
It is besides worth noting that 7.5% of voters are indecisive, which means a large decrease compared to the erstwhile study, in which 13.9% of respondents did not know who they wanted to vote for. These figures may indicate an increase in interest in politics among Poles and a greater decision in their election.
In the context of these results, politicians should take into account that elections are an chance to present their visions and programmes, and voters have the right to information and participation in the political process. Surveys like this can be an crucial tool in decision-making and policy-making.
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Parliamentary Elections 2025: fresh survey Clarifies the Future of Poland
