From February 24, 2022 it was apparent that the worst script for Poland would be The European Union's divorce from the US. In the early years of the war, erstwhile the president of the United States was Joe Biden, it seemed that any Western and Central European countries, reluctant to support Ukraine and to stand on 1 side of the conflict, may have led to this separation. Germany, Austria, Hungary and at least respective another countries did not only burn to backing Kiev, but above all to break the economical ties with Moscow.
At the time it was comforting that at least in Poland both major political camps – PiS and widely understood anti-PiS – were compatible. No 1 questioned the request to keep close Euro-Atlantic relations and the presence of Americans in the region. On the contrary, there has been a crucial increase in the second and a momentary political rapprochement between Warsaw and Washington (although powerfully exaggerated) erstwhile the top officials of the American administration came to Poland – with Biden and Harris at the head. The change of power in Poland did not change anything in this respect, as the fresh government about maintained the line of global policy of predecessors.
Moreover, the reluctance of EU Ukrainians was yet overcome. The European Union, in cooperation with the Americans and the wider G7, imposed severe sanctions on Moscow and launched permanent backing for Kiev, going into tens of billions of euros – and not counting arms. The European Union was even to launch a joint production of ammunition, and Sweden and Finland joined NATO. It was like a storm, but the West was moving in the right direction. any enthusiastic journalists from the centre-right (e.g.Igor Janke) even announced the upcoming increase in the importance of Poland in Europe, which was to become a fresh regional power, although from the beginning it looked like fairy-tale writing.
The blow came from a completely different direction and on a completely different plane. A squad of assertive and even offensive revisionists came to power behind the Ocean. The Americans began to question the order and the rules they themselves created due to the fact that they are expected to be unfavourable to the US – which already looks curiosive and after a closer look even more. Worse still, they besides began to undermine all the values on which Western states were based so far – regulation of law, equality, comparative independency of politics from large capital (even if it was rather illusory) or standards of public debate. As if this were not enough, the fresh cowboys in power besides began mocking their existing allies, ignoring them, and even completely authoritative mixing into the democratic process of Canada, Germany, large Britain, and in the close word besides Poland.
Meanwhile, there has besides been a divided in Poland, which is of large importance to almost no 1 can see. The 2 main PiS and anti-PiS camps that hated each another were inactive compatible on key issues for Poland. Both agreed to support EU membership and a close alliance with the US, even if the first ones on the EU policy were regularly grimasili. After Trump's victory, Kaczyński's organization clearly, without reflection and uncritically sided with Washington. Tied by earlier unwise statements and political connections, Tuska camp sided with Europe.
At least the second gotta admit that they have small choice and do so reluctantly, and the faces show a shadow of knowing the seriousness of the situation. An amazing detonation of enthusiasm in the PiS camp shows that the intellectual possible of this organization is devastatingly low. PiS politicians and written journalists see only short-term political benefits, completely unaware that the implementation of all that they number on will end in a nightmare for Poland. We will be the lone European bastion of the United States, which the Americans will leave without regret as shortly as it pays off. As, let's say, the Philippines in the 1940s and their capital Manila, from which they rushed, leaving its inhabitants to the Japanese. Although they recovered them a fewer years later, in the meantime the nipponese made real panic there, specified as the Bataan death march during which imperial troops murdered prisoners.
I may be a small hysterical – but only a little. Let us remind you that the Americans have already threatened Denmark with force in Greenland. In specified a situation we would gotta stand by NATO-owned Denmark if we are to take Article 5 of the North Atlantic Pact seriously. Even if it is inactive purely theoretical, the very fact that somewhere on the horizon the anticipation of clashing Polish soldiers from the marines – even at the another end of the planet and in individual skirmishes – is terrible from the point of view of Poland. It announces the anticipation of deconstruction of safety architecture, thanks to which for the first time in past it was created as specified prosperity.
In specified a situation all alarm bells should sound in Warsaw. The political class, alternatively of continuing the increasingly loud ripple of their faces, should come out together and shout: “Hey, dears, let's not exaggerate, we don't gotta like each another very much, we hatred each other, but there is no reason to demolish everything.”
The consequences of this divorce and the increasingly offensive US policy will be disastrous. Washington began a nationalist policy, as can be seen from the first actions in Mexico and Colombia. The second was simply treated with a shoe – erstwhile Bogota refused to accept further transports of immigrants, she was intimidated by economical sanctions specified that she meekly rolled her tail. This way of conducting policies deprives any principles of global law and, above all, interstate agreements on which Polish safety is based. In order to be happy in specified a situation and to look at it with optimism – as writers do – you should be either drunk or completely foolish cynic, who sees only short-lived benefits.
So far there is simply a carnival on the right, but it will only last until these fresh realities scope Poland. If someone's outraged about giving up the digital taxation that Mike Pence announced to us, or the government's approval to come. wanted for the genocide of Netanyahu To Auschwitz, let it prepare for much more painful cheeks. The reality, in which only the law of force matters, puts Poland in a not very favourable position – our strength is inactive the same, especially against the background of any neighbours. Not to mention that specified realities are terrible from the point of view of average humanism. It's not large to walk on the street erstwhile you can get punched in the face in everybody's face and get cut from your wallet and phone.
Against this background, even the collapse of global climate policy is secondary. Here are more crucial issues – whether a global order or a performance of powers will be established. I'm certain we won't be at the table in the another one, and that's the least of the problems.
