According to the latest IBRiS poll for Onetu, the Citizen Coalition can number on the support of 29.3% of respondents, which gives it to run in the race for seats in the Sejm. The second place is PiS with a consequence of 27.4% of votes, and the 3rd place is Confederation with 10.9% of support.
The survey was conducted by the IBRiS Institute for marketplace and Social investigation from 31 January to 2 February 2025 on a nationwide example of 1068 people by telephone, standardised questionnaire interviews assisted by computer (CATI). The results of the survey show that representatives of the 3rd Road with 9.6% of the votes and Lefts with 7.7% of the support can besides number on the place in the Sejm.
Below the threshold is the Together Party, which indicates 0.9 percent of respondents. another parties want to vote 0.4% of the survey participants. 13.9% of respondents do not know who they want to vote for.
Onet simulated the allocation of seats in the Sejm based on poll results. The Citizens' Coalition, 3rd Road and Left would hold the majority with the consequence of 234 mandates. The remaining 226 seats would be given to opposition representatives: the Law and Justice of Jarosław Kaczyński and the Confederation of Sławomir Mentzen.
The top beneficiary of the fresh hand would be the Confederate, expanding its representation nearly 3 times. Law and Justice and the 3rd Road would lose the most MPs compared to the results of the 2023 parliamentary elections.
The question now is, "Would you take part in the parliamentary elections if they were held next Sunday" – "Definitely so" corresponds to 41.5 percent of the respondents, and "or so" to 12.5 percent. A full of 54% are willing to vote. 32.2% of respondents, on the another hand, responds to "declaration not", and 10.4% "rather not", giving a full of 42.6% of those who do not intend to vote. The indecisive group is 3.4%.
The poll results show that parliamentary elections in Poland are very uncertain and all organization has a chance to win. The civilian Coalition and the Law and Justice are leaders, but the Confederacy and the 3rd Way besides have a chance to win the squares in the Sejm. The elections will be held in the close future and we will be able to see which parties will get the most tickets.
Current data from Poland show that parliamentary elections are very crucial for Poles. 54 percent are ready to vote, but 42.6% are not going to vote. This means that the election results will be very uncertain and each organization must take action to get as many votes as possible.
Google Trends shows that parliamentary elections are a very popular subject among Poles. The civilian Coalition and the Law and Justice are the most frequently searched parties in the network, but the Confederacy and the 3rd Road are besides popular.
The results of the survey and data from the network show that the parliamentary elections in Poland will be very interesting and uncertain. Each organization must take action to get as many votes and seats as possible in the Sejm. The civilian Coalition and the Law and Justice are leaders, but the Confederate and the 3rd Way besides have a chance to win.
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Parliamentary elections: Citizens' Coalition headed
