Every Braun ends up the same, and the more pumped, the louder the crack

OGB polling studio in six months, due to the fact that about that long-term presidential campaign, gained the most credible rank. It is actual that the OGB polls proved to be closest to the truth, but very fewer people know that this company has been operating on the marketplace for six years and at that time mostly counted spectacular failures. The OGB is headed by president Łukasz Pawłowski, a erstwhile youth associate of the Civic Platform, which in the year of the company's founding was divining the European Coalition over 42% of support, and the Law and Justice 36%. The final results were not only opposed, but the PiS received as many as 45 percent of the vote.

Marcin Palade, 1 of the most well-known analysts of the polls, claims that after the presidential election there were to be misunderstandings between Pavlovski and right-wing principals, this mainly concerns the Presidential Palace. The information provided by Marcin Palade has not yet been verified in any way by the curious parties, but it is clear to the bare eye that for respective months the OGB has been “sewing” and this is simply a cord. What's more, these are not polls, they're predictions based on a combination simulation method. Although the studio collects responses from possible voters, it is usually between 700 and 1000, which is barely a test. In the second step, the results are passed through the computer, where the parameters resulting from each batch can be changed in any way.

With specified a “methodology” no 1 can be accused of falsification, due to the fact that at this phase the results are non-verifiable, and secondly all “probably” do the same and even inform what they do, nevertheless Few people are loaded into tiny print. erstwhile it is known in what circumstances electoral simulations arise, it is easy to explain where specified absurd endorsements come from. Pawłowski was able to show differences on a two-digit level, and almost adequate added the Civic Coalition to cut the score from nearly 40% to 35%. Today, OGB published another "sensational survey" in which there was a pass between the Confederate and Grzegorz Braun's party, and the PiS returned to support for more than 30%. An extraordinary fact is that only a fewer days earlier, Łukasz Pawłowski said this for the media:

I believe that sooner or later it will come to “myanka” and Confederacy Braun will leap over the Confederation of Mentzen and Bosaka– Łukasz Pawłowski for Virtual Poland.

Without detailed knowledge, it is hard to measure what the CEO of OGB is playing, he may have already received circumstantial orders, or may be sending signals to future payers. It is besides possible that it is only about generating cheaper sensations to build brand designation in this primitive way. In any case, 1 thing is certain, namely that the last OGB election simulations match a cabaret! Just as there was no support for the KO at 40%, so there is no "faggot" between the 2 Confederations. Grzegorz Braun's group is simply a typical seasonal product for years defined as an “anti-system party”. Never in the past of Polish politics have specified works lasted more than 2 years. This was the case with the Palikot Movement, the Kukiz Movement, or the organization of Simon Holownia, and so it will be with the Confederation of the Polish Crown.

Of course, here and now no 1 will explain to supporters of Grzegorz Braun that they are victims of a primitive game, but this bubble must break. Usually, Braun's distrustful voters have regularly mocked the polls, but abruptly they believed in their power. They are convinced that these abstract results are understated! All the predecessors of the “antisystem” lived in the same maligature and the stronger they pumped their ideas of the magnitude of the final take-over power, the louder that balloon burst. Gregory Braun will simply wear out And he'll get tired of the whimsical electorate “anti-system”who will find himself another “shelmen” pretending to be “the savior of the nation”. This is due to the fact that the rights of pop culture are inexorable, and even the top artists do not always take the first position on the charts, they are always hits or years or the top of the season, then fresh ones come to the top.

We don't believe anyone, we don't believe anything! We look at facts and draw conclusions!