Rumors of the imminent dusk of duopol for the hundredth time proved premature: according to exit polls results, Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki pass the second circular of this year's presidential election.
Poles and Poles, on a regular critical eye looking at the reality and unhappiness of each other's harsh words, over the election urn one more time joined in the desire for a post-solidarity victory, a conservative-liberal right. In this respect, we are a European evenement – 20 years of alternate governments of the same 2 parties and confirmed present besides the unwavering fascination for scripts written by their 2 lifelong leaders is an anomaly.
After the election, we went to the Capitol
Despite much higher than the projected consequence of Karol Nawrocki, it seems that Rafał Trzaskowski 3 goals were achieved: not to squander entirely the advantage he had six months ago over an unknown PiS candidate, not to compromise himself yet during an unmercifully long run and to mobilize a frightened small election base difference before the second round. Similarly, it happened in Romania, where pro-European Nicosor Dan wins present in the second circular of presidential elections with right-wing George Simion.
However, it would be a cliché to point out that the government candidate's advantage over the opposition candidate is nothing, and it surely has nothing to do with winning, which could not be called into question in incomprehensible legal procedures. The script of the Polish march on Capitol and the constitutional crisis at the time of the clear xenophobic sentiment was not the least likely thought of the PiS for this summer.
Long before today's results were announced, it may have seemed that PiS politicians would gotta swallow a bitter pill – it could have been them. Karol Nawrocki's score confirms that PiS does not request to have specified aces as Andrzej Duda – Jarosław Kaczyński can anoint anyone. Łukasz Meyza and Janusz Kowalski would besides collect 30%, about just like Przemysław Czarnek or Patryk Jaka.
A lower Nawrocki score than PiS itself in 2023 would propose that the PiS electorate would not vote for anything that would slip over to him. However, looking at the consequence of subsequent candidates, it seems more likely that Kaczyński already decades ago more accurate than anyone defined the deepest Polish passions and put on a xenophobic horse long before it was fashionable.
Extreme from 1 vase
For Sławomir Mentzen, sucking uppers to Krzysztof Stanowski with an anti-duopol transmission during last debate and a consciously imminent defeat, average own score hurts more against Nawrocki's support – dividing the right-wing bankruptcy mass after Jarosław Kaczyński inactive seems distant, and there are many candidates for succession.
It hurts little – due to the fact that the separate start of Braun and Mentzen is simply a de facto reversed divided in the Together, but based not on insults thrown by each another by fanbase, but besides on sharing and multiplying. More than 3 years after Russia's full-scale attack on Ukraine, Confederate voters received a full spectrum of ideas to repair the falling world: the order to bear children from rape and assault on doctors, anti-Semitism and racism, hatred of Europe and all modernity. On the Kremlin – careful optimism.
The winner of the election is surely the Church and the network of associated global extremist organizations – SLAPP- lawyers and loosely treating the sanctity of the sacrament of matrimony sectarians from Ordo Iuris, self-inflicted and akin to power, regardless of organization colors of the Opus Dei undercovers, decades of conservative offensive to us from the US, Hungary or Russia, and perfectly described by Marcin Kościelniak, Agnieszka Graff and Elizabeth Korolczuk in books on the anti-abortionist arrangement of politicians and clergy and the penetration of radicals into the structures of power on a populist wave.
Right-wing electorate is made of rubber
Better than the results of the 2 erstwhile co-chairs I expected before I announced the start (according to exit poll Adrian Zandberg took 5.1% and Magdalena Biejat took 4.1% of the vote) confirmedZandberg's not equal on the immoral parliamentary left, so he does not should be afraid to challenge leadership by banging doors and counter-candidates.
Biejat with this consequence the fresh head of the Left most likely will not remain, but the attitude of left-wing voters to the government has not proved to be a peculiarly mobilizing electoral vehicle, in any case not as fire extinguisher attack for Khanu candles or assaulting a gynaecologist. The full left does not seem any closer to developing an thought for a possible repolarisation, and surely not as a social democratic neo-PO, a symmetrical consequence to the Confederate alt-PiS.
Selfie with holy corpses did not aid save Simon Holownia's consequence (4.8 percent). He is likely to rip the organization out of his hands or its glimmering in the PO's pitch, with a two-and-a-half year announcement period, and after only a year and a half in the Sejm, which the Holovnia period began as 1 of the possible winners of today's election. Perhaps, at least the full ineffectiveness of a jump to reduce the wellness contribution and the suck-up of entrepreneurs will be a informing or an excuse for others.
Looking at the PSL Hołownia which was pushed under the train, 1 can wonder if all those Trzaskowski's and the remainder of them into extremist right-wing electorates while embarrassingly communicating their own advancement at least to the head of Poland 2050 did not receive a fewer percent of the vote, according to the regulation of six cooks and the results of their work. Politicians in Poland seem absolutely certain that the right-wing electorate is made of rubber – and there are many indications that they are not incorrect about that.
June 2nd for any may end the day of the kid in a literal sense, but the duo lives, and the invariability of the sentences of Polish voters makes us think that we live in 1 of the happiest democracys in the world.
