The expanding crisis in the Coalition on October 15 and falling public assurance in the Prime Minister fuel speculation about a possible change in the leadership of the government. The latest survey by SW investigation for Onetu leaves no illusions – a rival appeared on the political stage, whose ratings grow at a amazing rate. More and more Poles would see the current Minister of abroad Affairs, Radosław Sikorski, as head of government.
The results of the survey are unambiguous and shed fresh light on interior tensions in the ruling camp. As many as 33.3% of respondents believe that Sikorski would be a better prime minister than Donald Tusk. The other opinion is small less, due to the fact that 31.4% of respondents. However, a large group of indecisives (35.3%) is crucial, which shows that the political carousel is just getting started. These data, combined with the government reconstruction announced for the second half of July, form an explosive mix that can shake the Polish political scene.
The Coalition crisis 15 October plunges the Prime Minister
Donald Tusk's position weakens not only in the eyes of voters, but besides inside the coalition itself. After the defeat of Rafał Trzaskowski in the presidential election, Coalition 15 October cannot regain political stability. interior friction, programme differences and the conflict for influences are becoming increasingly visible, which straight strikes the authority of the Prime Minister as the leader of the full camp.
The media reports informal contacts between Marshal Simon Holownia and the Law and Justice policies, which is perceived as an effort to build alternate scenarios in the event of the dissolution of the current majority. Sam Donald Tusk, aware of the seriousness of the situation, announced the reconstruction of the governmentwhich is to be a consequence to weaker ratings and interior problems. However, in the spheres it is increasingly said that cosmetic changes may not be enough. any coalition politicians propose that the only way to save the government and halt the decline of support may be to resign the Prime Minister himself.
Radosław Sikorski is simply a fresh favorite. Who's supporting him?
In the face of problems of Donald Tusk, Radosław Sikorski is the leader. His increasing support is simply a phenomenon of fresh months. The SW investigation survey shows that this is not just a temporary trend. Especially strong support for Sikorski can be seen among the youngest voters – almost half of respondents aged up to 24 would have preferred him as Prime Minister. This is simply a key signal that the Minister of abroad Affairs can talk to a generation that will find the future of Polish politics. Sikorski besides enjoys much more support among men than women.
It's not the only survey confirming his strong position. According to the July IBRiS poll, Radosław Sikorski is simply a leader in the ranking of trust, enjoying a affirmative evaluation of as many as 43.2% of Poles. It overtakes all leading politicians, including Donald Tusk. His image of an experienced diplomat, valued abroad and able to communicate, brings tangible results. At a time erstwhile the government is struggling with criticism, Sikorski builds political capital that may prove decisive in the coming weeks.
Why is trust in Donald Tusk falling?
A decline in assurance in the current Prime Minister is clearly seen in public opinion surveys. The IBRiS poll shows the another side of the medal – while Sikorski gains, Tusk loses. Strength 52.3% of respondents declared that they did not trust Donald Tusk.. This is simply a powerful informing signal for the full ruling camp. There are respective reasons for this. Firstly, voters may be disappointed at the pace of the implementation of the electoral promises.
Secondly, the government had to make a number of unpopular decisions, and work for them first falls on its boss. Finally, internal conflicts in the coalition affect the image of the Prime Minister as a leader who doesn't precisely control the situation. Donald Tusk found himself in the defensive, and his attempts to regain the initiative, specified as the announcement of reconstruction, are seen by any public opinion as a forced decision alternatively than strategic.
Decisive weeks. What will government reconstruction do?
The second half of July will be crucial for the future of Donald Tusk's government. The announced reconstruction is simply a minute of fact for the Coalition on October 15. There are respective scenarios on the table. The first, most likely, is the exchange of respective ministers to refresh the cabinet's image and calm the moods. However, in the light of the latest polls, specified a decision may not be enough.
The second script that is speculated more and more courageously is deeper political solstice, culminating in a change in the position of Prime Minister. Will Donald Tusk take a step back to save the unity of the coalition and its parliamentary majority? Or possibly it's his coalition partners, seeing the increasing support for Sikorski, who will force specified a solution? These questions will be answered soon. 1 thing is certain: Polish politics are waiting for a hot summer, and the Prime Minister's seat was not so uncertain.
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Donald Tusk loses the Prime Minister's seat? Poles have already pointed out his successor in the poll
