Government media, pseudo-opposition and anti-system media bring debate or after elections, unless the United Right achieves a majority in the Sejm (and many indicate so), is it possible to coalition PiS-Confederation? Let me besides talk as a political scientist on this issue.
Well, I was and am a large opponent of specified a solution, for many crucial reasons.
Firstly, in my opinion Jarosław Kaczyński is incapable to share power for character and intellectual reasons. all independent entity on the political phase treats as hostile. The opposition wants to annihilate, and being with him in the coalition eats like a boa strangler. Anyone who wants to enter the coalition with the Law and Justice should remember the destiny of the League of Polish Families and Self-defense, the destiny of Roman Giertych and Andrzej Lepper. He was previously eaten by Kaczyński to the presidency of Lech Wales, and later by Jarosław Gowin. Coalition with PiS is like going to bed with a boa strangler, where a stronger coalition first strangles (leaders) and then eats (electorate and insignificant politicians). The Confederacy-PiS coalition will be one-off and will end with the demolition of the former, making it easier that the Confederacy is not a single centralised party, but a union of 3 parties, and in addition to policies comparatively small experienced in parliamentary competitions.
Secondly, it is naive to believe that even part of the Confederate's programme, even if Dr. Sławomir Menzen were to be Minister of Finance, could be implemented in the coalition with PiS. I have no uncertainty that after a fewer months, he will find that he "drowned" in the thicket of laws and regulations. Let us remember that no finance minister will make either liberalisation or debiuroratisation of the economy, due to the fact that these phenomena are not due to the excess of officials (it is widely believed) but to the excess of legal acts that these officials carry out. Meanwhile, PiS will not be inclined to make legislative changes in which the first conviction will state that it abolishes and eliminates legal acre (and here their calculation). Kaczyński will let Confederates to occupy respective stools alternatively than dismantle the system.
Thirdly, the coalition with PiS means the dissolution of the Confederacy itself. Jarosław Kaczyński announced that specified a coalition with the Confederacy was possible, but without the participation of Grzegorz Braun and Janusz Korwin-Mikke, due to their “prorossiness” (transversing into onucovacy). In practice, would this mean that JKM would become an unattached associate in his future word and that the Crown would leave the Confederate entirely? This would mean schism in the form of the departure of Grzegorz Braun and the unknown number of MPs from the Crown today. Already today, Krzysztof Lech Łuksza, who runs a kind of amateur Monitoring Centre of Prorossian and Prochinski Behaviors, announces that activists of the anti-war movement, Dr. Leszek Sykulski and Sebastian Pitoń, would be removed from specified a coalition's electoral lists. Is that gonna happen? I don't know. But I know that in the event of a coalition with the Kaczyński party, all Members of the Crown would gotta leave. Kaczyński will then request the removal of JKM, then buy a fewer MPs from fresh Hope, and yet he will agree with the RN and as a consequence the Confederate will cease to exist, eaten by a strangler buoy. Disappointed voters will point their fingers at her politicians as they point out present those who operate on social media under the terms “Fafluna” and “Małpiana”. Remember: Kaczyński will divide you and eat you in pieces, and it will be simple adequate that the Confederacy is simply a very heterogeneous, multi-elemental entity in which there are 3 political parties, on many issues that are not compatible, but aversion to the current political system.
What, then, should the Confederate do if, indeed, in the future Law and Justice Parliament, he did not get the majority? Wait. While time does not play in Poland's favor, it plays in the benefit of the Confederate, who as an anti-system group is curious in turning the existing political strategy upside down. 2 conditions are needed for this overthrow of the political system: 1/ full economical and political collapse, which is actually on the horizon; 2/ take for this disaster simultaneous responsibility by all parties referring to the heritage of Solidarity. Let's focus on the another point. strategy cohabitation, the coexistence of Donald Tusk and Jarosław Kaczyński is about exchanging power, not allowing 3rd parties to co-ordinate. erstwhile 1 of the post-solidarity parties governs, it is both its politicians and politicians of the latter, and together with them the media, who present the image that there are only 2 “real political forces” on the Polish political scene, namely the PiS and the PO. In a consistent political-media narrative, democracy is that you can vote for either the PiS or the PO. And if the ruling e.g. PiS fails you, then you have “democracy” and you can vote for PO. And erstwhile the PO comes to power, since there is simply a “democracy” and this organization will disappoint you, then you can vote for the Law and Justice again. Thus these 2 parties exchange power, acting in the media matrix the full organization strategy in Poland. This is due to the short memory of voters and media collapse.
How do I halt this dance? Kaczyński and Tusk must be forced to enter into a alleged large coalition. Let them organize together for the next 4 years, let the political and economical catastrophe which they have led to be on the heads of both parties, and possibly even active in the war with Russia (but we are ruled by madmen). And let the PiS halt being an alternate to the PO and vice versa. Then there can only be a reshuffle of the political scene and the power of partyaries that do not belong to COPIS. The strategy must collapse from the inside first.
Adam Wielomski
