The storm around the election bait called 800+ overshadowed another crucial matters in Poland for a while, but it may be useful for something.
Calculation to the eye is simple. Power takes "always," the prices of goods and services are what they are, so if power gives something back from what it takes, then we take it and... we gain it. On a temporary basis.
If the power doesn't pay 800 per child, will the prices fall? I don't think so. Although lower request may lower any of the prices – since the price increase of children-wide articles was noticeable after the introduction of 500+. But let's not fool ourselves. Prices are rising just to the foreshadow of increases in costs (energy, wages, services, transport, production materials) or increases in demand, and usually fall only erstwhile goods rot or competition pressures heavy lower prices.
So, as prof. (!) Krysiak Zbigniew says, is this money an investment lever to improve the state of the economy?
If giving money was an investment lever to improve the condition, the PRL would proceed to flourish today. And she went bankrupt with immense inflation.
It works straight. Imagine that alternatively of 800+ PiS and PO let everyone to add ZERO on banknotes erstwhile a day and you honor this record. They're all richer for a government of greatness. They're going to the store, and... if the shopkeeper didn't put the ZER on the price, they'll buy the full store in an hour. That's what the PRL did. She was printing without cover in the merchandise, so there were empty shelves and paper for everything almost. It can so be seen that giving out “empty” money can be a lever that triggers a trap under a hangman.
So you gotta answer the question of how does the government have PLN 800 all period for a child? In general, it has two, 3 sources. It will either take people, either borrow, or print empty papers (it will make a file for whatever billions of PLN). say it does not print “on a chama”. If he borrows in our (because not in his) name, then we must return it with “percents”. Will the amount of interest be lower than the profit? How can we honestly number the profit from giving that money? They can be spent on vacation in Turkey or another Egypt and bear the power of the locals and German travel agencies.
The easiest thing to do is take people away. How? Childhood in Poland is 1.38. To simplify the calculation let's multiply this times the present 500. We will receive 690 PLN. Where can the government get it? Nothing simpler. He takes 2 working parents ‘earning’ PLN 4150 gross. The cost of their “rewards” alone is PLN 10,000 for the company. At the same time, they receive PLN 6316, and 3684 already took distant their government and spend as he wishes, although he formally takes these nearly 4,000 "for something".
It's worth stopping here. The average life expectancy of a man in Poland is about 72 years, so the earner "at his disposal" PLN 3150, a individual whose government takes 45 years of physical or intellectual labour according to the above indicators of 486,000 pension contributions (without interest), for 7 years of retirement would gotta take almost PLN 6,000 per period of retirement in order to come to zero. He's not taking, so he's brazenly robbed.
But let's go back to parents 1.38 “child”. Of these 6,316 zlotys the government will take something else. In addition to PiTu and the "contribution" it has hidden taxes in fuel prices, in the price of electricity, gas, drugs, clothing and food. Let's skip local taxes. How much longer will the government take? This depends on the kind of expenditure, but the fuel price is over 50%, for industrial products the maximum VAT rate is 23%, for alcohol and cigarettes it is over 80% of the price. It can be said that 25% of these PLN 6316 will absorb indirect taxes. Thus, with PLN 10,000 of monthly “remuneration” of parents, the government in 1 way or another took over PLN 5000. So it can give 690 PLN without much trouble. What if, after a “free” school, “hospital”, “roads”, administration, military, guard, police and debt interest, business subsidies for “foreign investors” and another “zones”, the government lacks? It'll rotation up the credit and have the 500+ beneficiaries pay with interest. specified a simple doctrine of socialist governance and buying votes.
But why “who gives and takes this” ... does not hang out in hell, as we were taught in our backyards during childhood, just waiting for a Russian atomic bomb?
For this is how experts prophesy to us...
Here, in April, for any reason (someone had to be pressed...?) it was revealed to us that an "under Bydgoszcz" honest finder hit a "Russian rocket" from the 1970s, Ch-55. Whether it was “Russian” like a rocket from Wireowa or fired by Russians, or individual kicked it in the woods – we do not know. Where it came from, and can fly comparatively low – we do not know. Did anyone point an empty tube at the NATO Force Training Center to show that they could? We don't know. What do we know? They tell us that the Ukrainians reportedly warned us that it was flying (and they knew from already flying to them, the same rockets of November 2022, that they were flying “empty”) and that ours were to “follow” it with Americans. As empty, so they didn't make larum...
We know that at least 3 signs would require reflection.
The first is the place. There are besides many forests in Poland to be random. Does anyone (Ukrainians?) want to drag NATO straight into war, or give NATO an excuse for war? Or is it Russia that dreams of NATO attacking the "invincible Red Army" with all its power? Or is Russia just showing that it has method capabilities?
Second, the deadline. The rocket was to fall on December 16, 2022. On the same day, news appears in the press that Chief Police has received a gift in the form of a commemorative "bazooka" brought in unchecked from Ukraine and like a private soldier on watch, he did not see that loaded and playing with a trigger made a "boom" in the command building. There were so many questions here that the “finding” of the Russian "atomic" rocket on the same day as the publications, i.e. on 16 December 2022, could direct the attention of the people to the right path. possibly it's just a coincidence, like the NATO site. That would be 2 cases in one.
And three. In January 2023, the text “Avoiding a Long War” appears on the rand.org website. It is worth reading to realize the natural, American-centric point of view of Americans. RAND corp is not an addition to the weekly weekly Karnowski or Newsweek Polska with Mr. Sekielski. What – even assuming that it is propaganda of American services made public – we find there, among others?
For example, the sentence: “(...) if Ukraine had crushed the Russian military and regained its full territory, including Crimea, the hazard of atomic weapons or war Russia-NATO would have gained momentum (...)”, or more interesting in the light of the ‘Bydgos’ conviction (01.2023): "(...) unintentional escalation, which leads to NATO's accession to the conflict, besides represents a permanent risk. Although the incidental of November 2022, in which the Ukrainian rocket landed in Poland, did not get out of control, showed that fighting could inadvertently decision to the territory of neighboring US allies. A future mark mistake may send a Russian rocket to NATO-native territory, possibly triggering an action-reaction cycle that can lead to a full-scale conflict (...)".
A future mark mistake could send a Russian rocket into NATO's territory... Is it, then, like that gag about a husband looking for his wife's hidden lover in the bedroom? Looking in bed – no, under bed – no. He opens the closet, and there's a lover with a gun... He's not here either!
Maybe individual from the government or the palace, thanks to Ukrainian friends or another hawks, wants to find a “lover” and generals who realize the seriousness of the situation cry “he is not here either!” due to the fact that “the hazard of utilizing atomic weapons or war Russia-NATO will gain momentum”, and we know what we have in magazines and how many tens of thousands of young men do we have – if you apologize – to convert to “mold”? Maybe.
But who would be worried about stupid things during a joyful run full of gifts bought at the expense of the gifted?
Wojciech Popiela
