Russian troops in the course of bloody battles gained ground for the attack, most likely in the coming days the main phase of the conflict of Constantinówka will begin, alongside the conflict of Pokrowsk, the main clash of the 2025 summertime run for Ukraine.
In the shadow of the struggles for the 60,000th city of Donbas – Pokrowsk, the main conflict of the ongoing Russian spring-summer offensive of the year 2025, all indicates that the second key conflict begins – the conflict for a large node of logistics city fortress – Constantinówka.
Russian troops in fresh days have fundamentally gained the grounds already provided by Stanka for the final assault and assault of Constantinówka. You can besides see many reserves drawn up, and Ukrainian troops carry out attacks on Russia's ammunition and fuel depots around Lugansk, Gorlovka and Donetsk that multiply close the front line. All this indirectly indicates that we are on the eve of most likely the second decisive phase of Krasnogorów's Offensive Operation.
For the performance of this task, the Russian General Staff, commanded by the General Walery Gierasimov, predicted the confederate Group commanded by the General Aleksandra Sanchika. It is worth staying here due to the fact that the character of General Sanchik is unusual, he is 1 of the more talented Russian commanders and he was not accidentally entrusted with an operation to get specified a crucial fortress on Donbasa as Konstantinówka.
The General was born in 1966 in Andijan in the Republic of Uzbekistan of the then USSR. From 1985 to 1989, he was a cadet of the Higher Armoured Army Officers' School in Tashkent named Marshal of the Armoured Army P.S. Rybalka. In 2017, he graduated from the Military Academy of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and in 2000 from the Joint Types of Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.
As of 2020, he held the position of commander of the 35th Military Army from the east Military District. At her head, he fought in 2022 under Kiev and distinguished himself by performing the set tasks at low losses. As 1 of the fewer Russian commanders of that period he remained in command and then advanced. He fought successfully in Zaporozh, advanced, taking command of the “East” Group in 2024. It is worth noting that General Sanczyk was the author of the operation to get a heavy fortified fortress city – Ugledar.
The general is considered master of armored maneuvers. In the conflict of Ugledar Sanczyk, he one more time proved that even in the position war a deep maneuver qualitatively would yield more than any decisive front attack, winning a city for which the fighting lasted 2 years and which the predecessors could not win.
With a large amount of probability 1 can assume, indirectly it is already evident that General Sanchik with a leading attack by subsequent lines of Ukrainian fortifications Krasnogorówka does not intend to gain. But first things first.
Sanchik for the implementation of the above-mentioned conviction assigned part of the forces of the 3rd Guarded National Army and commissioned it, after regrouping from Kurachowe, 8th Guarded National Army
On the Ukrainian side, the General is liable for defending Constantinówka Drapaty Mouse and units under the Operational and strategical Command of ‘Chortyca’. In terms of workload and thus effective command, General Drapate's staff is heavy overloaded. At the same time, Operation and strategy Command “Chortyca” is fighting for Pokrowsk, which is being invaded by the Russian “Centre” group of General Solodczuk.
General Sanchik's Russian staff supply him, at least in theory, with more efficient support in the command process, as attacks on the Siwierska section and in the 25th Reserve Military Army's action strip are of secondary importance. The logistics of the confederate Group mostly besides focuses only on supplying troops fighting for Constantinówka.
Let us now go to the conflict itself. On the right flank of the Russian assault, after almost a year of fighting, the separated forces of 3 GAO (3 Guards National Army) backed by the Russian General Staff of 98 Guards of the Air-Desant Division, fundamentally captured the town-fortress of Jar. Russian paratroopers clean up the final utmost buildings of the districts where Ukrainian soldiers are inactive present. Thus, they overlook the planned runway as the basis for a direct attack, from the hills to the valley of Constantinówka.
The heroic defence of the Jaru Times, conducted textbookally, stopped the Russians for 8 months, but slow passes into history. The defence of the above-mentioned episode, its skeletal, are battalions of the 24th Lviv Mechanized Brigade, having on the left flank 18th Slavic National defender Brigade and 56th Mechanized Brigade. There are veterans from the 93rd Mechanized Brigade on the right flank, while there is 104th Territorial Defence Brigade in the ward. These are mostly old well-trained, experienced brigades of Ukrainian Armed Forces.
The Ukrainian troops are centrally attacked by the Guards regiments of WDW paratroopers from the earlier mentioned 98 Guards' Swirska Airborne Division. The Ivanovian paratroopers on the right flank have battalions from the mercenary brigade: 3 Cossack Terek Brigade and the Redut Brigade and 88 Volunteer Storm Reconnaissance Brigade “Hispaniola” recruited on the basis of football club supporters movements.
In the retreat in the area of the captured and completely destroyed city of Bachmut, it is reformed in the 71st Division of Motorised Rifles, the erstwhile 200th Arctic Brigade and 2 battalions of BARS (the bajewoj army strana reserves), as I call the "advised infantry", men aged 50-65. These are BARS-13 "Russian Legion" and BARS-34 "Syberia".
On the left flank of 98 GDDS, there are 72 firearm Squadrons and 3 reserve firearm regiments formed as part of a partial mobilization in the fall of 2022 with numbers 1442, 1008, 1307.
The attackers have strong artillery support that provide: 333 Reserve Artillery Brigade ‘Volga’, 17 dense Artillery Brigade (operations Russian 2S7M ‘Little’ 203 mm caliber and operates North Korean M1989 170 mm caliber Boxing) and 27 and 1065 Artillery Regiments.
After capturing the village Stupoczki, the Russians decision along the T0504 road from the hills to the valley of Constantinówka.
Below the above section of the front, Ukrainians defend themselves in the village of Aleksandro Szultine, the last “split” on the road to Constantinówka, after the Russians captured the village of Biała Góra. The fortifications cast battalions from Ukrainian 28 and 42 Mechanized Brigades and 2nd Presidential Brigade Battalion.
The Russian troops are attacked by the 4th Armed firearm Brigade supported by the 89th Reserve Tank Regiment and the 77th Mechanized firearm Regiment. Among the fighters there are commandos from the 346th Specnaz Brigade. The Patriot and the BARS-7 Battalion stay in the retreat.
Around the village of Pleschevka, many Ukrainian forces defend themselves: the Presidential Brigade, the National defender Brigade “Ljut”, the Żandarmeria Brigade “Khyzak”, 117 Territorial Defence Brigade and the National defender Regiment “Charków” and respective independent National defender battalions.
These troops in the process of bloody months of fighting were driven out of the town of Toreck fortress. Due to the bleeding out of the Russian 3rd Guards' National Army units, and the success of Ukrainian counterattacks, the Russian General Staff directed regiments of 150 Guards' Idricko-Berlin firearm Division (from the 8th Guards' National Military Army) a fewer months ago.
Russian troops from the Torecka area approach Pleschejiwka (132th Mechanized firearm Brigade and independent 101, 109 and 111th Mechanized firearm Regiments) supported by commandos from the 3rd Guarded Specnaz Brigade.
To the left of Torecka is Klebanbykski Water Tank, where 2 Ukrainian brigades were presently in the semi-circular: 100 Mechanized Brigade and 20th Brigade of the Lubart National Guard.
On the right flank of the reservoir is the village of Kleban Taurus and the road and the ascendant Russian town of Szczerbinowka (defended by the 20th Ljut National defender Brigade).
The Russians wanted to shut down Ukrainian units in the lap, however, the fight entered the Kleban Bull Battalion of the elite 12th National defender Brigade “Azov” and halted the attack of the Russian 103rd defender firearm Regiment Mechanized and 163rd Armored Regiment and 174th Reconnaissance Battalion of the 150th defender Squadron of the Mechanized Rifles.
Currently, the “Azovs” counterattacking hold a narrow “throat” through which soldiers retreat from the “pocket” below the kibanbyt reservoir.
These retreating Ukrainian troops are powerfully pressed by regiments from the 20 and 150 Guarded firearm Divisions of the Mechanized 8th Guarded Military Army (68 Armoured Regiment with 150 GDSZ, 242 firearm Regiment Mechanized with 20 GDSZ, and 20 firearm Regiment with mechanized, 1465 and 1194 Reserve firearm Regiment). Additionally, the presence of the 10th Armored Regiment from the 6th firearm Division was noted here.
On the left flank of the Klebanbycki Water Tank is the village of Jabłoniwka and Aleksandra Kalinowe, through which the H-20 road passes. They were captured 2 days ago by the 33rd firearm Regiment Mechanized with the 20th defender firearm Division Mechanized and 1219th Reserve firearm Regiment Mechanized.
To the northeast of Jabłoniówka, a broad front to Popławka is approaching the Russian 20th defender firearm Division. In the assault region of the 8th Guards' National Army and around Toreck, artillery support provides attacking 385 Artillery Brigade, 268 Light Artillery Regiment and 238 Artillery Brigade.
In order to halt the Russians who in days clean the ‘bay’ around the Klebanbykski Water Tank, The Ukrainians are concentrating considerable force.
These are the 36th Marine Brigade, the 109th and 111th Territorial Defence Brigade, the 44th Mechanized Brigade and the 125th dense Mechanized Brigade itself in Constantinople.
On paper, these are powerful forces, but many of these individuals have been through dense fighting, and they are besides affected by many desertions, and their individual condition is importantly lower than those of the staff.
Both militant parties have evidently gathered immense forces and are preparing for a general clash this summer. The key to breaking the Russian army's Ukrainian defence is to be Russian bomb and storm aviation and massive drone strikes of all types.
Looking at the map, it is hard not to see that the Russian Army Corps, a neighbour on the left flank of the 8th Guarded Military Army, and the 51st Guarded Military Army from the Center Group are inactive pushing Ukrainian troops. Russian troops are already rather far northwest of Constantinówka.
Thus, the anticipation of entering the rear of the garrison defending Constantinówka and bypassing its fortifications from the back, which seems to be General Sanchik's intention.
The Russians have in the second throw 8 GAO respective infantry regiments and units of the 6th Mechanized firearm Division that can direct there.
In general, we will witness a very interesting clash. It remains a mystery how much the Russian side has actually gathered forces and means of combat, supplies and reserves. Will they be adequate to proceed the conflict of Pokrowsk and launch a parallel decisive assault of Constantinówka. Or, not excluded, Russian logistics will fail, and Rate will gotta choose which clash with the Ukrainian army is crucial. Whether to direct everything to the subordinates of General Solodczuk (Centrum Group) or to support General Sanchik and to quit the confederate Group to storm Constantinówka.
Krzysztof Podgórski
