For a long time, we have seen many signs of another serious conflict with the United States coming. Major U.S. Navy forces are arriving in the Persian Gulf region, and crucial U.S. aviation forces are deployed in its bases. All this large armada is coming to tame the insubordinate against the Americans of Iran. planet media besides study on plans for precise attacks on Iranian authorities. So are we heading for a large war?
It seems that everything is going to go there, but it may turn out that this impression is incorrect due to the fact that Donald Trump He has already shown earlier that he has the habit of withdrawing as he stands on the brink of a real conflict with Iran. Trump may know the saying, "Don't hit the king unless you intend to kill him," due to the fact that if you hit him and he survives, he will kill you. Iran is surely the king of the Persian Gulf region, and possibly even of the full mediate East, and possibly Trump counts on the fact that the “king” cannot be killed.
America's not that strong.
Iran presently has adequate force to halt all energy production in the region at any time. It besides has the possible to origin terrible harm to American military bases in the mediate East, leading to the death of hundreds, if not thousands, of American soldiers. It's possible they're taking this seriously at the Pentagon.
Also in Israel, after the June crowbar that Iran did to them, it is alive to know that this country is able to do harm to Israel that threatens the continued existence of this country. According to media reports, Israel has informed the United States that it is prepared to withstand the impact of as many as 700 Iranian ballistic missiles, provided the United States guarantees that a possible military action against Iran will lead to the overthrow of the Iranian regime.
Meanwhile, the fact is that the Americans deficiency the essential possible to destruct Iran's military and civilian command, especially now that Trump has revealed his intentions towards this country. This will not be a repeat of June, erstwhile the vigilance of the Iranians was lulled, telling them that negotiations on their atomic programme would continue. They went to sleep, and in the morning many of them woke up dead due to the fact that at night they were attacked by United States-supported Israel. If then the effort to head-free Iran failed, the more will neglect now erstwhile Iran expects it.
Iran's not so weak
The Iranians have been preparing for a decisive conflict with Israel, the United States and the West for over 20 years. In preparation, they divided their country into self-sufficient military and administrative districts, assuming Tehran could become the mark of a paralyzing blow. This would not gotta destruct central power, but could deprive it of its ability to communicate with different regions of Iran. Therefore, the Iranians built underground cities and command stations capable of independent control of designated territories. This enables them to effectively defy both interior enemies and external enemies of Iran. The Iranians would be unreasonable if, in the face of the aggressive plans of Washington and Tel Aviv, they failed to implement all the essential plans to guarantee the nation and the state survive.
From the point of view of the Americans, it is complicated that they openly revealed their criminal intentions towards Iran. They broke the same rule that if you're going to launch an attack, then do it abruptly erstwhile the opponent doesn't anticipate it. In a situation where this rule was broken, even if the United States utilized atomic weapons (they would most likely not do so), they would not be able to overthrow Iran's leadership. In consequence to specified an attack, the Iranians will strike a retaliatory blow against Israel, which can put an end to Israel's ability to last as a state.
In turn, Iran's continued demolition of the capacity of regional energy producers to get them will have disastrous consequences for the global economy, including the United States, which is already facing the anticipation of a full collapse of the dollar. In fact, the prices of energy carriers have already gone out of control a fewer years ago, and all it takes is simply a small impulse to make them shoot up. In this situation, all we have left is the hope that there will be people smart adequate and brave adequate to tell Trump not to. At the moment, however, he is acting like he is preparing for a major military attack on Iran.
Trump Plan for Iran
In justifying their military actions against Iran, the United States presently does not even mention a atomic programme. In fact, it is even logical, due to the fact that – as Trump stated – it was destroyed. There is now talk of targeted attacks on Iranian government members for alleged mass killings of participants in fresh protests. In fact, however, it is about the planting of a Jewish-American marionette in Tehran Cyrus Reza Pahlavi, boy of deposed 1979 chess Rezy Pahlavi. And if this doesn't work, the main nonsubjective will be to decompose Iran on a permanent basis by breaking it down into many smaller, easier to control through endemic regional chaos. Although this would consequence in a real hazard of civilian war and the taking over of power by a highly authoritarian opposition like the jihadist Americans installed in Syria, it does not substance to Americans.
The White House's excellent strategy towards Iran has been put in conversation Prof. Glenn DieselScott Ritter, erstwhile UN Military Inspector, US Marine Corps intelligence officer. In his view, the plan is to destruct Iran's ability to exercise effective control at national and regional level and to paralyze the regional safety strategy and then instigate and fuel the rebellion. It is no secret that the CIA actively supports the Balochistan Liberation Army, the arabian liberation movements in Chuzestan, as well as the Kurds and Azerbaijanes. According to American planners in all these regions, uprisings are about to erupt.
According to Ritter Trump, who “He is not the smartest man in the world”, he believes he can reconstruct the monarchy, bringing the boy of chess to power. Trump “is highly susceptible to the nonsense that whispers into his ear. And now they're showing him something that looks like a united front for the anti-regime Iranians. (...) there are people throughout the United States who say that it is time for the government to fall and that the monarchy is ready to return. So I think Trump believed in this nonsense and believes that this plan could work”.
Iran's possible Trump Plan
What can be done to advise the Iranian government? How should Tehran react? In the case of the Israeli attack of June last year, Iran's main nonsubjective seems to have been to show its strength, resilience to blows, chance to retaliate, strengthening its possible for deterrence, making certain that the aggressor's actions were repulsed and discouraged from repeating akin actions. But this time the goal of the US and Israel is not a limited attack, but the demolition of Iran, which is an existential threat. And even if they inactive neglect this time, after regrouping they will effort again until they do.
If the Iranian authorities are aware of this threat, they may be motivated to act differently this time than in June 2025, which means they will not refrain from attacking Israel and Western military targets in the region. possibly even the Iranians should consider conducting a preemptive attack if they are assured that American warships and aviation will take positions for the attack. The first time they were attacked, they didn't anticipate it, but if the Iranians were amazed again, it would be their fault.
Scott Ritter stated explicitly that if he had made the decisions in Iran, the aircraft carrier “Abraham Lincoln” would have been sunk, American bases in the region destroyed, and Israel annihilated. Besides, "I would carry out large-scale operations against Kurds in Iraq, the Belujs, the Azerbaijans, killing all fishy of Mujahideen ties. I would send assassins' teams all over the planet to destruct the boy of chess”. Of course, there is no indication that Iran has taken specified preemptive action, due to the fact that the Persians as a civilized nation inactive hope that war can be avoided.
However, the most crucial thing is that Iran has the full right to take preemptive action, as this justifies Donald Trump's open threats and Benjamin Netanjah. They leave no uncertainty as to the imminent threat to Iran. In this situation, Tehran should declare a state of emergency, asking the United Nations to convene the safety Council urgently, requesting global intervention. The Iranian authorities should at the same time inform the global community that if the threats from Israel and the US neglect to destruct within a well-defined time, Iran will have no choice but to apply preventive self-defense.
None deali with the devil
However, the restrained attitude of the Iranian authorities may consequence from another reasons. most likely the Russians, as well as the Chinese, advise the Iranians to stay patient, bearing in head that Donald Trump has stepped back at least twice from the brink of war. Perhaps, not without foundation, they hope that this time it will be akin and it is not this phase of escalation to go further than necessary. Especially since the preemptive attack would should be devastating for the United States and Israel, which is not so certain, and 1 of the consequences of a very effective preemptive attack would be vulnerability to atomic retaliation, which would mean the end of Iran.
The Russians and the Chinese have grounds to urge restraint to the Iranians. erstwhile the American armada was heading for Iran, Donald Trump said the Iranians wanted to make an agreement (deal). Of course, his words should not be taken seriously, but they may indicate that Trump is aware of what a disaster it would be if he went further in his aggressive actions. And this is in line with his approach and spirit of the fresh American National safety strategy to not engage in large military actions. Donald Trump always prefers what we could observe in Venezuela, a fast and cost-free action to boast more of success than to exposure ourselves to massive losses on the American side.
Donald Trump is not seeking an agreement with the authorities in Tehran, but is seeking a gangster deal (deal), i.e. the Iranians would completely disarm themselves and agree to a voluntary government change without getting anything in return. The deal Trump wants is simply a one-way street – all for the US and Israel and nothing for Iran. Plus, he can break it up at any time due to the fact that he'll just call it bad and say he's looking for a better one. That's what gangsters do, which is why the Iranians shouldn't be looking for any deals with Trump, due to the fact that that means they'll gotta lower to his level and play by his rules.
Iran must prosecute a comprehensive, negotiated agreement based on global law, which is very problematic in the current situation due to the fact that Donald Trump said he does not believe in global law. We can so have contradictory ideas about what the resolution of the conflict between Iran and the United States should look like. In order to close the atomic case and the ballistic rocket issue on terms set by the American administration, Iran would gotta voluntarily quit the only component that secures its existence. If the Iranians had agreed to this, Israel would have killed them immediately.
Trump and Netanyahu do not know peace until the Ayatollah governments are overthrown, and unfortunately most American politicians share this desire. fewer Americans advocate good, standardised relations with Iran. That is why the Iranians should not compromise with the Americans at all, due to the fact that the minute they do, it will be the end of them. As Scott Ritter rightly said in this context: "No deal with the devil, no deal with the mafia and no deal with Donald Trump".
Iran is not Venezuela.
Whether the Americans force this dealWhether or not a Jewish-Angloss marionette in Tehran remains a key mark for Donald Trump. However, Iran is not Venezuela – it is much more important, for example, due to the fact that it is simply a associate of BRICS and its strategical relation with it is maintained by Russia. There is simply a military agreement that has already been ratified by both Russians and Iranians. It is besides no secret that the Chinese are cooperating with the Iranians.
The United States is not as clever and cunning as they think. A June B-2 bomber attack revealed the maximum capability of the American war machine. erstwhile Americans talk about precise strikes, they mean penetration of Iranian airspace utilizing B-2 bombers and rockets fired from F-35 and F-22 aircraft. However, this profile of actions is already known and all aspect of it has been carefully analysed by the Iranians, Russians and Chinese. Now all you gotta do is put an Anglo-Saxon camel in the face of a Persian tent, so that it does not go in all. To this end, 1 or 2 B-2 bombers should simply be shot down to prove erstwhile and for all that the concept of an American advantage – the thought that America is untouchable and can do whatever it wants – is fundamentally wrong.
The Russians will not sit idle and let the Americans and Israelis bomb Iran. Although Russia will not respond directly, it will do everything in its power to guarantee that the Jewish-Anglossian military brawl ends in complete defeat. In addition, the Iranians now have the ability to attack American ships in a way that no another country has always had that had previously struggled with the criminal practices of Americans. We're talking about rockets that can't be intercepted that could sink an aircraft carrier, for example, causing catastrophic human losses and destroying another ships that are part of an aircraft carrier's strike team. The Russians and the Chinese will do their best to aid the Iranians beat the United States hard.
In Trump's madness, only hope
We have come to the point where we request to ask ourselves an crucial question: why is Trump doing this? And even more appropriate is the question: why does everyone pretend that Donald Trump's egotism is the origin of the Iranian brawl? The fact is that fresh events in the mediate East are primarily linked to the control that Israel has over American abroad and national safety policies. Is there, then, at this point any way to deescalate the tension of the Persian Gulf?
As you know, it is very hard to retreat after specified a powerful show of strength, unless there is any measurable consequence behind it, confirming that the force tactics worked and you can go home with a shield. Meanwhile, for the minute Trump has not achieved specified a success, and there is no indication that Iran is prone to concessions in vital to its existential endurance of issues. In problematic issues specified as atomic program and ballistic missiles, Iran will surely not quit and the Americans know it. And yet there is simply a shadow of hope.
As we have seen many times, Donald Trump is simply a man who has no problem lying. If he wants, he can come up with something like, "I got a telephone call saying Iran's going to be good," indicating that one more time the American military power forced the Ayatollahs to retreat or something. And this will be a way out of this dangerous situation for Trump too, due to the fact that this war has no legal basis. He can also, as if nothing had always happened, study that being aware of the scale of the demolition that the possible attack would cause, he realized that the Iranian people had already suffered adequate due to the Ayatollah government and did not intend to contribute to further suffering. So alternatively of attacking, it will exacerbate sanctions and work on further isolation of the regime. And if anything, the American army will always be ready to attack.
Donald Trump is simply a shameless liar and creates his own reality. He can say what he wants, and part of American society is stupid adequate to believe it all anyway. Paradoxically, this pathological tendency to juggle lies may be an advantage in the present situation, due to the fact that it does not make him a prisoner of his war rhetoric. And that is the bright side of this grim reality that allows us to keep a note of optimism. We are faced with an different situation, erstwhile it is not diplomatic talks, and the deficiency of moral backbone in the leader of the American superpower can actually prevent a serious and objectively unnecessary war.
Krzysztof Warecki
