On 12 March, following talks in Saudi Arabia, the media reported that Ukraine is ready to accept the US proposal to implement an immediate thirty-day ceasefire in the war with the Russian Federation.
According to the US proposal, negotiations would take place at this time to bring about lasting peace between Russia and Ukraine. Russia does not evade talks, as the Russian abroad Minister assured Sergei LavrovBut is this truly about peace?
Information noise
The news about Ukraine's adoption of the U.S. truce proposal, although powerfully electrified the Internet, however, now has the value of information noise, due to the fact that from the Russian side this US proposal does not bring anything to the matter. The only measurable effect of Ukraine's adoption of it (as if Ukraine had anything to say here) is the immediate restoration of US support for Ukraine, which besides applies to equipment transferred by the US as part of packages inactive passed by the administration Joe Bidena.
Unfavorable truce
Secretary of State of the United States Marco Rubio He said after the gathering he hoped Moscow would agree to a truce. You don't know who delivers to him all day. Box concerning peculiar Military Operations, but it seems that he is misinformed on this issue. If not, he would know that the Russian Federation would not agree to any temporary ceasefire. The president has said this many times. Vladimir Putin, as the head of the Russian MFA Sergei Lavrow and his spokeswoman said Maria Zacharova. Russia will not agree to a ceasefire due to the fact that it aims to accomplish lasting peace, not to frost the conflict at the borders of Russia, even for a short time. And this is simply a position from the point of view of Russia that is completely rational, due to the fact that the conclusion of the truce would destroy, in addition to territorial acquisitions, the most crucial objectives that Russia has set itself by starting a peculiar Military Operation, that is, the elimination of any possible threats coming from the direction of Ukraine and the conversion of it into a friendly country of Russia.
Proposal not acceptable
In June last year, president Putin stated the following conditions for halting the war, from which Russia will not depart: 1) Ukraine's withdrawal from the 4 incarnations to Russia's circuits; 2) Ukraine's renunciation of Ukraine's aspirations to join NATO and the EU; 3) the designation of Russian as a state language and the granting of any form of autonomy to the circuits where the Russian-speaking population is simply a majority; 4) the denazification of Ukraine. These are the conditions for the current Ukrainian authorities that are unacceptable, but Russia will most likely not give in and Rubio knows this very well. So what is the intent of his proposal for a truce, since at first glance it is unacceptable for Russia?
Americans do not want lasting peace
It seems that by pushing a truce without taking into account Russian conditions, The Americans supply proof that they do not truly want to have lasting peace in this part of Europe. In turn the ruthless pushing of the natural material contract, shows that they want to get to Ukrainian minerals as shortly as possible, and this will be possible only if the Russians refrain from subjugating to the part of Ukraine that they have not yet mastered. So the war must proceed and it is only to pass on its costs to Europeans. most likely the president. Donald Trump and his squad realize that the Russians will not let the Americans to plunder Ukraine with impunity, which they should alternatively pay reparations for implicating it into their war. It is possible, therefore, that the U.S. truce proposal is simply an effort to set a trap on Russia, to present it in the eyes of the world's public as a robber who enjoys force and does not want peace.
Conditions long known
Of course, 1 might say that it would be possible to suspend the war effort for the proposed 30 days to discuss in peace the conditions of lasting peace. Why should Russia not accept specified a proposal? The reason is apparent – the Russian side wants specifics before war is discontinued, due to the fact that in the past it was deceived by the West and Ukraine many times. The Russians fear that this thirty-day truce may be utilized not to build peace, but to prepare the Ukrainians for a further war with Russia that will not be blackmailed by Washington. The terms of Russia's agreement to the truce are long established and the Ukrainian-American side can only accept or reject them.
It's not about territories.
The Americans make a mistake reasoning the Russians only care about territorial conquest. For the Russians, it is essential to permanently remove all threats from Ukraine and NATO to their statehood. Therefore, the 4 conditions mentioned above for a truce and peace from the point of view of the Russians are not negotiable, as failure to fulfil any of them undermines all Russian intentions. From their point of view, the scope of autonomy for Russian-speaking circuits may be negotiated, for example, but not the autonomy itself. The subject of the negotiations may be details of the course of the fresh border and how far the US and NATO are to retreat from the borders of Ukraine and Belarus. surely an crucial point of negotiation should be the designation by the Americans that they started this war, making Ukraine, through its flagrant, tool of anti-Russian politics. And here we have another serious problem, due to the fact that if the Americans had officially admitted to it not only their natural material claims would have become irrelevant but they would inactive gotta pay war reparations.
Krzysztof Warecki
