In the shadow of the main conflict fought for a seat in the White House, the fight to take control of the White home is decided on the occasion of presidential elections
Congress. According to the leadership of the Republican Party, they have a chance to gain an advantage in the home of Representatives and the Senate. In the case of Congress, the decisive fight will settle in 12 races.
The legislature is presently under democratic control. However, as polls suggest, Republicans have a chance to take over if they get tickets in Montana, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Ohio.
According to computer modeling, predicting vote results based on 538 erstwhile races, out of 1,000 simulations Republicans have a chance to win in 916 attempts. All they gotta do is get 3 out of 5 tickets to get the majority back in the advanced chamber of parliament.
The Republicans have the best chance of winning in Montana, where Tim Sheehym competes with politician Jon Tester. Most polls show that Sheehy has an advantage over the Tester. This advantage is 4 percent points and it ranks beyond the margin of mistake of Emerson College's poll.
The erstwhile two-time mayor and West Virginia politician Jim Justice, who competes with Glenn Elliott, besides has a good chance of winning. Justice has a 99% chance of winning. The polls show that 62% of the population will be happy to vote for him, and only 28% for the Democratic candidate.
A somewhat harder Republican candidate will have in Pennsylvania. Democratic Senator president Bob Casey competes there with Dave McCormic. Computer simulations indicate that he will win the Democrat, but due to Casey's very tense run and Casey's disengagement from Biden-Harris administration policy and Trump's support for the economical and immigration agenda, Casey's advantage fell to just 2 percent points over McCormic before election day. 1 poll even pointed to the Republican candidate's victory.
Similarly, only 2 percent points divide the candidates of both parties in the state of Wisconsin. Senator Tammy Baldwin of the Democratic organization and Republican Eric Hovde compete there. According to Charles Franklin, the polling manager of Marquette Law School Poll, the race will most likely depend on whether Trump can win in Wisconsin and on attendance. If Trump wins, Baldwin has problems.
W Ohio's fight between Republican organization candidate Bernie Moreno and Senator Sherrod Brown is even. Moreno only has half a percent point over Brown, and in computer simulations, Senator Brown wins more often. Trump's triumph can aid the Republican candidate again.
As for the home of Representatives, Republicans presently have a tiny majority. Democrats request only 4 mandates to take over the House. Computer simulations show that Republicans will hold an advantage in the lower home of Parliament, although respective races are very fierce. Democrats have the best chances of getting tickets in: California, fresh York, Washington (state), Michigan and Alaska.
W California Republicans presently have 12 tickets and are fighting to keep them Democrats want to bounce back 3 districts where the differences between parties are small.
An highly fierce conflict and at the same time the most costly run takes place in fresh York City between incumbent Republican Mark Molinaro and politician Josh Riley. The candidates spent over $45 million to get a ticket. Riley is expected to have a 4 percent advantage over Molinaro, and the election simulation indicates Molinaro lost to Riley 54 out of 100 times.
In Washington, D.C., Maria Gluesenkamp Perez faces Republican Joe Kent, who is the favourite in this race.
In Alaska, the incumbent Mary Peltola (Democratic Party) competes with Republican Nick Begich, who is to have a four-point advantage over Peltola and a 60% chance of winning.
It is worth noting that neither organization has a decisive majority in the legislature or the home of Representatives. Therefore, each of them has a chance to reverse control. However, Republicans have a better chance of winning the legislature and could not only keep the current majority in the home of Representatives, but besides somewhat enlarge it.
Source: dailycaller.com, thehillnews.com
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