The momentum of the Ukrainian attack clearly expires in 2 directions. Despite the strong Ukrainian information blockade (the alleged information cover), combined with the Ukrainian 72th Centre for intellectual Operations and Information peculiar Forces Ukraine's disinformation operation carried out through the influence agentry, mainly through "kind media" and alleged "independent military analysts", we already have a clear image of what is going on.
The Ukrainian Winter Controfensive is carried out at the interface of the dynepropetrovsk and Zaporosian circuits. The Ukrainian forces active in this operation are the reinforced 17th Army Corps and the deployed and concentrated Assault Corps. A full of about 14 mechanized brigades, assault landings, national defender and territorial defence, and 6 assault regiments
Operation on the Ukrainian side is led by the General personally Syrian Alexander – Commander-in-Chief of the Ukrainian Army. Colonel Valentin Manko, Commander of the Assault Corps, was stripped of command on the 3rd day of the counteroffensive.
On the Russian side, the attack is repelled by East Group units, commanded by the General Andrei Ivanaev. 6 mechanized firearm brigades, 1 armored brigade, 1 division of mechanized shooters, and a specnazu brigade.
The control is carried out on 3 sections: – northern – western northern – under Ternidae - western confederate on the axis of the town of Ternidae fortress
Situation after 7 days of fighting
The biggest successes were achieved by the Ukrainian northern group, which, by attacking from the line of the river Vowcza, defeated about 12 km and came to the forefield of Ternove village, Bierezove, Kalinivskie. On the premises of these villages, the Russians stopped them 3 days ago. The Ukrainians here recovered 7 villages of Tiche, Orestopil, Sosnówka, Olekiwka, Hai, Wolcze and Nowoaleksandrivka.
The west-north stretch, the Russian army of the 36th National Army lost its foothold on the Ganczur River around the village of Ternovate and withdrew behind the river. Thus, Ukrainian troops regained a line of their own fortifications built on the hills of the western bank of the Ganczur River. Attempts to attack fresh Zaporozhye and Dobropilia resulted in Russian demolition of attacking columns of Ukrainian vehicles. However, the Ukrainian side continues its operations on this section at night, utilizing a method of penetration. dense fighting continues.
West-south section at the tallness of the town fortress of Hulaypole.
After the success of Ukrainian soldiers for the first 2 days, including after the capture by the 225th Storm Regiment of the village of Staroukrainka, the Russian command of the 5th Guards of the National Military Army successfully introduced to the conflict the collected reconnaissance and many artillery passing into controversy.
The Russian 127th firearm Division Mechanized by the forces of the 114th Guarded firearm Regiment The Mechanized firearm Regiment captured an crucial communication node of the village of Zaliznicze, and the introduced 218th Armored Regiment on 14 February captured the village of Cwietkowoje.
The Russian side signals the many strong fire of Ukrainian artillery supporting Ukrainian troops attacking in the northern belt of the attack.
The Ukrainian side signals strong Russian bombings performed by Russian aircraft of the 11th Air Force.
In summary, utilizing the surprise factor, morning fog and crucially, excluding Russians from access to Starlink terminals, Ukrainian shock groups, utilizing penetration tactics achieved any success in the early days of the offensive, but they were tactical and did not lead to a week of fighting breaking the Russian front line of the East Group.
The Ukrainians achieved their top successes in the north, where the attack continues and Ukrainian troops effort to break up Russian garrisons defending villages: Kaliniwskie, Berizowe and Ternowe. The Ukrainian Command did not bring about the fight of about half of the forces gathered here, so the staff have at their disposal the forces and resources to carry out the attack operation and to increase the possible involved.
On the west-north long of the Ukrainian winter offensive, after the liquidation of the Russian wharf on the right bank of the Ganczur River, the further attacks on the second bank of the river resulted in Ukrainian failure and failure of people and equipment. Ukrainian command leads the regroup, introduces the second throw into the fight, and next week will effort to proceed the attack.
On the west-south section of the Ukrainian winter offensive we can talk about the impact failure.
The Russian 5th Guarded Military Army rapidly recovered, the staff successfully introduced the reconnaissance that went from march to controversy. This led to a series of encounter battles and detention of Ukrainians, then forcing them to retreat to their starting positions, and the Russian 127th firearm Division to capture the Mechanized villages of Zalizyczne and Cwietkowe.
After 7 days of fighting, the Ukrainian side won about 10 villages for the price of about 1,000 wounded and killed soldiers and demolition of about 60 vehicles including gros are wheeled and light vehicles and only 20 tanks, combat infantry cars, armored transporters and 2 guns.
Krzysztof Podgórski
