Will the war decision to Russia or Belarus? I mean combat operations, not neat filigree flights exclusively over military facilities of the Russian Federation
The "X" origin in the Russians continues to surprise. They're not as dumb as they look. They're a small dumber. The immensity of stupidity and slander in Russians is simply a magical origin that escapes rational cognition and is not measurable. This rally on Belgorod will have far-reaching repercussions for Russian capabilities in certain areas in the Q3-Q4 2023 perspective.
But Putin's bunker has a large problem. He has already had a world-wide embarrassment over the impact of drones on the Kremlin and its disastrous 3-day invasion of Ukraine lasting 15 months.
Now Russia is under attack.
The turmoil in the region of Belarus opened a period of interesting events in Russia
Russia has spawned so many private military companies that after events in the region of Belarus, there may be a confrontation of regions with the national centre. Events in the region of Belarus are an information bomb that exploded in both Ukraine and Russia. The comments of Russian propagandists evolved in an interesting way: they initially called for non-dissemination of counterfeits, but in a fewer hours they talked about the request to make a buffer region along the Russian border in Russia, and, if necessary, resettle any settlements. If the Russians on their channels They talked about the request to make a safety region in their own territory, this is simply a very interesting change of opinion.
However, it is improbable that these events in any settlements of the Belarusian region will take on a crucial scale. There's no reason to anticipate that right now.
It is interesting to respond to these events both in the local population and in the local authorities. The population is completely confused, and it turns out she's only capable of 1 thing - hiding and not leaving the house. About the same position is taken by representatives of local authorities, for example the chief of 1 municipality called for no opposition to save the life and infrastructure of the settlement. I will remind you that representatives of the authorities of the Kharkiv territory issued akin calls during the Russian invasion, but were later convicted of collaboration. We'll see how the events unfold in the Russian Federation.
First of all, the events in the region of Belarus overturned the story that “the border is at the castle” and that “we do not abandon our own”. Finally, local residents have already recorded a video appeal to the Primogyn, in which they ask: “Uncle Geniu, come to us due to the fact that the military makes no sense.” Everything will depend on how this information will spread in Russia, but it is already known that national channels will diminish the meaning of these events and now call them simply "invasion," avoiding mention of Russian - Russian Legion of Liberty and Russian Volunteer Corps operating there. It may be assumed that this was a joint action of Russians from these organizations, but they were surely not Ukrainians in disguise. The Russian Federation is now under attack by its own citizens.
In this way, a powerful information-propagand blow was struck into the inviolability of the “Mother of Russia”.
There is simply a likelihood that akin events will start in another regions of the Russian Federation after the Belarus region, as interior dissatisfaction with the financial and economical crisis and the repression of the Russian authorities towards citizens for public speaking, in home work, etc.
Action to show the presence of an active part of Russian society willing to argue Putin's government is rather a good sign. We will see how these actions will be taken in another regions of the Russian Federation. The most separatist regions are Siberia and the Far East. If something like this starts there, it won't surprise you.
And if we besides take into account the fact that present more than 40 private military companies have been established in the territory of the Russian Federation, any of which belong to the governors, interesting events are possible there. Given the number of armed formations formed in Russia, very interesting clashes between regions and the national centre may begin there. This means that problems can start in Russia itself.
According to the latest, not yet confirmed information, the forces of "Free Russia" are most likely moving back towards the border with Ukraine. This does not change the fact that the action was a large propaganda success.
