In the erstwhile text, I wrote that in fresh events I saw 1 landmark and 2 signs of time. I wrote about 1 of the signs. I don't know if I'll compose about the other, due to the fact that I'm afraid I may not have anything interesting and first to write, and it's about the coronation of the King in Britain. So I am going to carry out the threat, and I am describing that breakthrough.
After I was mistaken to believe that the war in Ukraine would not erupt, I tried not to talk of the war itself. I'm the least curious in military warfare. I besides believe that it is not as crucial as the political and economical aspects. In addition, I don't have access to reliable, verifiable sources, and given that all the militant parties to power are lying, so tracking down who, what they got, what weapons they utilized or how many enemy soldiers killed is simply a waste of time. At least in my case. And so from what is happening, you can see that from the military side Ukraine does not win the war and most likely has less chances. I wasn't incorrect about that. I besides felt that it was actually the Russian-American war. I wasn't incorrect about that either. But this is what I request to verify. Well, this landmark is that this war ceases or ceases to be a Russian-American war, and transforms politically and economically into a Chinese-American war.
So far, the Russians are shooting and killing themselves with the Ukrainians. However, the political and economical management of this war from the Ukrainian side has long since been taken over by the Americans, and now on the another side politically and besides economically – although I find it hard to find to what degree – China is removing Russia. In the actions of the Chinese I see the realization of 1 of the teachings of their large strategist Sun Zi, according to which the biggest triumph is to defeat the enemy without military clash. So far, in a global rivalry with the US, the Chinese win without a direct military conflict. The question is, how much longer? Americans besides diligently survey Sun Zi's teachings and draw conclusions. They can't afford to play Chinese for besides long. I believe that they will have no choice but to halt China's expansion militarily before later. The question is, at what point and where will an open clash take place? Will it be any escalation of war in Ukraine? Or is it Taiwan? Or in another part of the planet will there be a fresh inflame, where the Chinese-American conflict explodes? I don't know, though I say it won't be Ukraine. The war in Ukraine will stay a replacement war.
The intent of the Americans in the war in Ukraine seems to be the same all the time, that is, the largest military, economical and political weakening of Russia, most likely to a state in which they can impose their will. For the same reasons, the Chinese cannot let Russia to be besides weakened by Americans. most likely due to this, against the Americans, they can effort to halt this war. Are their fresh proposals of something like Marshall's plan for Ukraine a manifestation of this strategy? Maybe. Above all, however, I believe that the entry of Chinese into the war in Ukraine turns this conflict from regional to global and accelerates the outbreak of the military clash of Chinese-Americans, although inactive the war in Ukraine is simply a substitute war.
What will this breakthrough have for Poland? I don't anticipate anything good. Due to the terrible policy of the government of the Law and Justice in relation to this war, the transformation of it into a political and economical dimension into a Chinese conflict will make Poland worse. The policy of the Law and Justice Government is consciously aimed at deteriorating relations with China. There are besides completely idiotic voices calling for the break-up of diplomatic relations with Russia. This policy, aiming at any kind of disaster, complements the intention of creating a state union with Ukraine. Consider now the most probable improvement of events, which comes down to the fact that Ukraine is losing the war, and in another part of the planet there is simply a military Chinese-American conflict. Will the Americans proceed to support not Ukraine but Poland?
I don't think so. All of their possible will gotta concentrate against China and will most likely inactive request aid from NATO allies. After breaking diplomatic relations with Russia, and besides due to this, actually at war with Russia, and besides disarmed, what and who can he number on? The PiS government has already taken care of the worst relations with Germany, which are not a military power and are incapable to change it in a short time. I can imagine that Germany will communicate with the Russians and safe their companies in Poland. However, I cannot imagine that in the current political realities Germany will act militarily to defend Poland. We can inactive question whether France or the United Kingdom will give us safety guarantees, but in the historical context it is alternatively a very sad joke.
The large Chinese – American conflict is imminent. Poland, destroyed internally as a state, disarmed, truly deprived of allies, who, in the event of an imminent clash with Russia, will be able to effectively support it, like a drunk podskakiewicz at a agrarian party, abandoned by his fellow soldiers, is waiting helplessly for punches and kicks from angry thugs from a abroad village, whom he insulted and poked. I wonder if it's possible not to turn around, but even to halt this crash?
Andrzej Szlezak
