So-called progress: Apocalyptic forecasts for 2024.

krytykapolityczna.pl 1 year ago

You can bet on everything going well, but why? It's simply impractical. Optimism is simply a conviction of constant disappointment. Even if a peculiarly successful year happens, at least a fewer things won't go our way. That's why it's best to presume that everything goes wrong. Pessimists can rejoice even in the incorrect turn of destiny due to the fact that they expected something much worse. Only by adopting a pessimistic attitude can man appreciate the fewer charms of life.

That's why I've prepared a list of events this year that could be truly bad. Of course, not all of them, due to the fact that there are besides many of them to be described even in a book, let alone in a column. Let's make a deal, this year's gonna be ugly, punches can come from all sides. Even if you are surrounded by good and proven people, the planet will inactive be able to hurt you well.

Negative visualizations were warmly recommended by the founder of the Jesuits Ignacy Loyola in the 16th century. True, he went so far as to even propose imagining things that he was ashamed to compose about, but I promise we will not get to that in the following text. Let's respect each another more than Jesuits.

Poland will be nothing

The situation in the country will dominate access to housing, which will not improve, and most likely make it worse. After all, in the fresh year we entered the accompaniment of the advice of a liberal economist and a permanent resident of TVN24 BiŚ prof. Marian Lega, who He appealed on RMF radio to wealthy people to invest surplus in housing.

The deficiency of social work of the Polish professorial staff is legendary, but the Leg inactive stood out. Unfortunately, Poles and Poles will undoubtedly like specified advice. The influx of speculative capital into the housing marketplace will proceed to pump prices so that little wealthy people will have no place to live. They'll learn humility, Ignacy Loyola likes it.

The government's housing policy won't improve things. Pisowski safe Credit 2 percent caused specified price increases that it was extinguished. Unfortunately, the only seriously considered thought of a fresh coalition is simply a 0 percent credit, announced by Mr Konrad Frysztakwhich will have even further effects. Although there is simply a good chance that specified a solution will be protested by Lewica, then we will have the housing policy of Krzysztof Kononowicz, which means there will be nothing.

The cherry on the cake would be The war waged a fresh ruling squad by Adam Glapiński. The head of NBP and his allies in the RPP could abruptly be passionate about the advanced interest rates, to make Tusk angry and to strangle the expanding economy, and by the way completely cut off from the mortgage loans of Poland and Poles. That would be a perfect combo. Look for any cozy deserts.

It can besides be assumed that the class with the funds to charge money in the apartment, as the fresh majority will not quit liberal taxation reforms. By restoring the flat-rate wellness contribution, the fresh government on its knees will bring PLN 7 billion to the higher class so that the NFZ will learn to save money. The effects of these reforms will most likely only be felt in 2025, but their origin will be the mistakes (or alternatively crimes) committed in this.

Of course, there will be a distribution of state institutions and respect for the law. president Duda, angry at the government, will veto respective laws, due to the fact that “because he is”, so the fresh government will completely waive the bill and begin to regulation by resolutions.

In this way, they will effort to take over the Constitutional Court and the National Judicial Council, which they will only win in half of, due to the fact that the erstwhile authority will go rogue in any buildings and convince that everything is the same. We will have the unrecognized by KO-TD-L "The Przyłębska Tribunal" and the unrecognized by PiS "neo-TK". Neo-KRS and neo-neo-KRS will besides function, so counting with the company registry we will have 3 KRSs. An average man won't understand.

We inactive don't know on which side the ultimate Court will stand, which unexpectedly went to start with the current TK. However, it can be safely assumed that 2 parallel legal circuits will be created, not only unrecognized but besides fighting each other. In order to settle anything on the basis of any documents, an average citizen will gotta keep her fingers crossed to be accepted in a given office.

Judgments will not be worth much – at any time a court will be able to competition them due to the fact that they were issued by a neo-judge or a non-patriot judge. The execution of debts, including maintenance debts, will be even more hard as debtors will flee to the protection of the “second” legal system. The emergence of specified a immense chaos that the political crisis in Belgium will appear on this background as the organization Renaissance.

The world, which is what the Polish fascists disagree

Meanwhile, the global situation will not be conducive to specified a degrengolade. This year, elections will be held to the Lands of Saxony and Brandenburg, where big chances for the triumph has a fascist alternate for Germany, which is not only far right but alternatively despises Poles. erstwhile AfD creates the Land governments in Saxony and Brandenburg, we'll have the browns right behind the city. And German browns, who disagree from Polish ones, are able to implement their concepts on a truly large scale. At the level of the lands, their capabilities will inactive be limited, but with real power they will begin to gain comfort and confidence.

We'd feel safer if we were sheltered under Uncle Sam's umbrella, unfortunately it's not much better beyond the ocean. The fact that Biden will gotta compete in the election most likely against Trump's wave will consequence in a far-reaching a revision of the politician policy. It already does: change, for example narrative from “help Ukraine as long as it takes” in “as long as we can”.

Trump won't even interfere use From the services of the elite pimp Jeffrey Epstein – in the highly polarized USA he will be able to present this as his advantage and "providence of justice". Trump's triumph will not full materialize until next year, erstwhile it takes over the President's seat, but we will have a ricochet in it, as the American administration will gotta adapt its policy to its message in order to hold the chance for a second term. Even more so, Biden will gotta execution his blocking Senate.

The political stalemate will besides drag on in the EU, where Orban will do anything to poison Ukrainians. Non-financial and armed support from the US and the EU Ukraine will be put in an even worse position, but Russia will rise its head. The confusion in the West will prompt China to intensify trade with Moscow's dual-use goods, of which Russia will construct thousands of tools for mass murder. Half of them will detonate in the face of launchers, but there will be 4 more to replace them.

Ukraine's anti-missile protection will be able to knock as much as 99 percent off the another half, only if 200 others arrive and sow death and demolition over the Dnieprem and panic in Central and east Europe, whose eyes will be on the threat of losing support from across the ocean and "weary of war" in Western Europe.

So-called progress

Technological improvement will service to discipline citizens alternatively than improve the quality of life. Maciej Panek, who has already said a lot about the fact that he called his carsharing company “Panek” (in total, my “company” is called “Peter Wójcik”, so possibly I should not mock). "There is simply a regret to workers who, for example, are working, looking for work in the meantime" – stated Chairman.

So, among another things, cheap and commonly available algorithms analysing on a regular basis the performance of tasks and reacting immediately as shortly as they realize that an worker is reasoning about something else. Constant “please work” messages will be more annoying than voice information from the Ladybug box office.

Uberization will choice up the pace and start taking over another areas of the economy. Platforms to find workers for short replacements will push employees, and possibly by next year more people will be working on 1 shift in the discont than those employed permanently. During 1 week, the worker will gotta jump a cleaning night in Lidlu, an afternoon in Ladybug, 12 hours of transportation of InPost packages and a shift in safety on Fiat, and by Friday he will find nothing, due to the fact that everywhere will be full.

Public services will besides be utilized to increase efficiency and strive for a inexpensive state. Urban transport facilities will start utilizing the passenger creek monitoring app, which will enable flexible network connections to be introduced, so that fixed course hours will vanish and the current "travel proposals" will appear on the screens.

At the end of the year, we will inactive be hit by Mantikora coronavirus, with which she will gotta face a solid thinness by Minister Leschina Polish wellness protection. We will gotta choose either a complete lockdown, with mandatory closure not only in apartments, but even rooms, or to reconcile with 300,000 excess deaths during 1 sick season. The Indian vaccine purchased by the NFZ will prove to be far little effective than its western counterparts, but officials will not have a real choice anyway, as fresh improvements in the public sector will make the "price criterion" liable for 80% of the attractiveness of the offer.

Of course, many of these forecasts will fail. But all they gotta do is 2 or 3 of them, and it's gonna be bad. So it's better to focus on everyone, so we can at least be pleasantly surprised.

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