Fate has given Donald Tusk's government respective situations that have caused him to jump into the safety ground during the final phase of the electoral run to the European Parliament. Contrary to appearances, it is not so easy to sit on it and alternatively of reaching the winning election, it can rapidly drop both the KO and the full ruling coalition.
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It started with escape Tomasz Szmydt to Belarus, which gave emergence to reasonable suspicions that the justice of the provincial administrative court, who ruled, among others, in matters concerning State security, had been working with the Belarusian and Russian services for any time. Donald Tusk immediately appeared under a border fence, precisely in the kind of Kamiński and Błaszczak, and rapidly decided that he would launch the PiS-initiated committee on the survey of Russian influences.
The day-to-day political discourse entered the full war, changed by all cases, and the presentation of the assumptions of the Shield of the East, or fortifications and fortifications on the border with Russia and Belarus, coincided with the attack on the Polish soldier, which occurred in late May on the Polish-Belarusian border. Unfortunately, a soldier stabbed to death.
In this case Donald Tusk besides reacted rapidly and already over the second day of the morning called a press conference in the Dubich church on this issue, on which he announced, among others, the introduction of a "buffer zone" along the border. For now, her destiny is uncertain, due to the fact that Donald Tusk missed the fact about her area, which caused the solidarity of the local community.
The Prime Minister utilized strong words, about migrants he said they were bandits, not any asylum seekers, that the services were to usage all available means, defending the border and that there would be no negotiations, without specifying who would be the another organization to these negotiations. Meanwhile, the news of the 10 billion allocated to the Shield East appeared on run graphics with the smiling Tusk. KO's message in this run is that the PiS is Russian agents, and if Tusk's people don't win the EP election, it's war.
Perhaps, as the politicians of the ruling coalition say in the courts, this madness will end after the election. But, for example, the plan to build a “grid”, which is precisely 1 term, shows that the Tusk government will focus its policy on safety for the next 4 years, finging activities in another areas where its government is incapable to carry out effective reforms.
Meanwhile, the list of structural reforms for which there is social request is truly long. The giant crisis is concentrated in housing today. The advanced cost of providing shelter – whether by credit or by rent, due to the fact that these are closely linked in Poland – is present a origin of large frustration and fear for the future in Poland, especially among young people.
When the Platform electorate, or mediate class, buys flats in the south of Spain in fear of war, for the majority of society any apartment, even a microcavalre on the outskirts of a large city, remains a luxury. The coalition government proposed in this area treatment of cholera plague, introducing another version of mortgage funding. So he did the same thing as the PiS, making the price emergence even more and throwing money at developers.
Donald Tusk likes to present himself as a European politician, but most likely only in Europe. In Poland, he becomes a silent conservative who takes water in his mouth erstwhile it comes to legal solutions as common in Europe as access to abortion. Politicians of the current ruling coalition fed on the energy of women's civilian protests for years, and present they act as if nothing and isolated cast something about a referendum.
Another issue is the partnerships that we are looking forward to in Poland with at least as much time as we are in the Union, which is equal to 2 decades. It's besides the silence and spread of hands.
The policy of the United Right in the field of nature has besides created a immense social request for reform. Meanwhile, the ministry of environment and climate does not present decision-making in this area, and Donald Tusk openly goes against the needed and about his assumptions to the right Nature Restoration Law. The Green Łódź, on the another hand, is afraid to launch an open public debate due to the fact that it has been auctioned by farmers' protests.
Nor do you feel the wind of changes in education at which it is headed, it would seem progressive Barbara Nowacka. She besides joined the organization run for the EP, thundering about the war. As a substance of fact, with respect to the dangers arising from misinformation and intellectual influence operations, to which Russia is eager to resort, the Ministry of Education has a large field of display. Meanwhile, Polish education continues to plunge into a deep structural crisis, and the minister has so far only come out with a controversial ban on home work and declarations of withdrawal of HiT lessons. There was inactive a simplification in the number of spiritual lessons, but this case someway spread to its bones.
A panicked society doesn't ask questions
Especially after the local election, Donald Tusk could have realized that he needed a large leaf to cover the weakness of his government and coalition. The consequence was ambiguous. The PiS won more votes, but lost power in any local governments. But the coalition besides failed, due to the fact that in respective places, where the elections won, it could not agree, for example, on the selection of the provincial boards, while undermining assurance in the efficiency of this mosaic political agreement at national level.
A good example of the fact that politicians of various parties within the coalition are incapable to cooperate is the last situation from Podlasie. Podlaskie voivoda from PO invites entrepreneurs from the tourism manufacture from Białowieża and its surroundings to its office in Białystok on 12. In the course of the meeting, it appears that Minister Płczyńska-Nałęcz from Poland 2050 is to meet them in Białowieża at 16 o'clock, but those who are present at the gathering with the voivode do not have a chance to reach, unless by helicopter.
Lovers of Tusk and the cut-up repost of Simon Holownia will say that this is simply not adequate time, due to the fact that the government is only six months old. But it is adequate to callback the momentum of reforming the country for its fashion in 2015. And besides, even if the coalition parties were not prepared to regulation before the election, they had 2 extra months to make a plan. You can't? The largest defence project, the Tusk line, was developed in little than 2 weeks after 1945, as Kosiniak-Kamysz and his Deputy Minister Tomczyk granted the beginning at the presentation. So if you truly want to, you can.
And it's not about any immediate spectacular effects. The problem is that there is no plan, no vision, not even after all the elections and possibly with its own president, who does not put a stick in the spokes constantly. Although the fact is, we don't know if the coalition government will make it to the presidential election. We know for certain that they will be an even more violent game of polarisation, due to the fact that the fight will be fought from the beginning between the 2 candidates from the largest parties, who are mutually feeding on the another party's hatred.
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Given the diverging and sometimes conflicting interests within the coalition (the most exotic is the coalition in the coalition, or 3rd Way, whose 2 forces have radically different views on nature conservation), the temptation to commit themselves to safety matters and build a word on them is very strong.
The war in Ukraine is as real as the threats from Russia and Belarus, which have late been revealed in the fires and betrayals of Szmydt attributed to the Russian diversions, and the crisis on the Polish-Belarusian border is besides real. And a panicked society that has been proceeding for months that we are surviving in the pre-war state will support any initiative in this area without asking any further questions.
The hazard of War Narration
Donald Tusk and his men, however, seem to forget the risks. After all, the Law and Justice Department tried to get on to the safety ground, instrumentalize the humanitarian crisis on the Polish-Belarusian border, and after a full-scale invasion of Russia into Ukraine he hoped for the effect of the flag, which was to bring a 3rd word in 2023. And yet, despite the fact that in patriotic declarations and wet politicians, the members of the Law and Justice organization look much more organic than Tusk, Holovnia and Kosiniak-Kamish, they did not make it to the win on this woman.
Nevertheless, Tusk decided to radicalize in this area. From pre-election humanitarian declarations, corrections at the border went on to shoot migrants and full approval of the activities of services that are contrary to the law. For any reason, Tusk concluded that the escalation of violence, which only Lukashenko would enjoy, would solve a problem that had not been solved by force for 3 years.
Instead of looking for ways to master the organizational and procedural chaos at the border, the government is now dealing with rulings on matters conducted by the Military Gendarmery and the prosecution. But impunity of services, which the Prime Minister orally decreed, in peculiar to people with different skin colors and tossing all people crossing the Polish-Belarusian border into 1 bag with "bandits" combined with hostility directed to people who have gained immense experience on the border in humanitarian work for 3 years, is simply a simple recipe for even greater chaos and even more dangerous situations.
Another serious hazard that lies in the coalition's about-war communicative is the hazard of destabilising its own society. We can already see that people in Poland are willing to make vital decisions under the influence of fear of war. besides north-eastern Poland, especially Podlasie, where the government locates all threats, for years it becomes, in the opinion of most Poles, a region which, in the name of its own fears, can be simply written off. And the situation with the Prime Minister's visit to the border, another one, erstwhile he ignored the residents, clearly showed that in this "war" civilians were at most a sack of potatoes.
The long-wave hazard of bringing all politics into the war, to which Tusk will not let and security, which Tusk will provide, is precisely specified that Poland will not urgently modernise in the face of many another challenges of modern times, specified as the climate crisis, energy transformation, universality and improvement of artificial intelligence, which will turn the labour marketplace upside down.
Instead, the interior crisis will deepen, the policy will be brought into action by investigative committees whose sole task is to supply the content to memes and produce radio-television hundreds, because, in fact, who has informed whom it is, is most important. However, the settlement of the Law and Justice is simply a pure spectacle, since we have just seen that restoring the regulation of law is about utilizing unconstitutional legal bublis for a violent policy specified as the introduction of a wife in Podlasie.
Who's recording who today?
After my series of entries on the situation of border regions, and especially the territory of Hajnovsky, which about the war, learns media and statements, I have read hundreds of stupid but aggressive comments. However, I remembered a fewer discussions. They expressed knowing and support for Tusk's actions, due to the fact that "most" and "normal people" want precisely what Tusk is doing. So if most of them want to shoot migrants at the border, then the government better agree. You know why? For as Tusk and his government will not meet the needs of this “most” consisting of “ordinary people”, then the Law and Justice organization will return to power.
What, then, was the sense of the autumn electoral mobilization of civilian society, since, in order to keep power, the current government would deepen the policies of the United Right? If the Russian Influence Commission is all right, and the application of the Wąsik Regulations is all right, and migrants should be shot, how do we know who and who is recording Pegasus today?
Mutual accusations of work for a abroad state and depolitization caused by utmost polarisation of the political scene and peculiarly noticeable among young people make it possible, regardless of the low level of social trust, for populists – whether from Kaczyński or from Tusk – to keep power for years or decades. In the background of inertia, sometimes state systems, specified as the education system, are degraded, corruption is spread, social solidarity is lost due to the fact that in hard times everyone saves himself. This is simply a completely real script for Poland today.
We were expected to go to a democratic paradise, and at most we are stuck in any populist Purgatory, from which the prospects of exit stay vague.
