Thus, the Syrian coup came to an end, the “era of Assad” in the country came to an end, the armed opposition took control of Damascus, thus interrupting the historical period that began in 1971.
Syrian president Bashar al-Assad and household members had arrived in Moscow the day before and Russia granted him asylum “for humanitarian reasons”. Thus Asad and erstwhile president of Ukraine Yanukovych joined the group of leaders of the fallen regimes which were rescued in the Russian Federation.
In Russia, an full group of people was immediately formed online “scattering their heads with ash.” Loudly groaning that the “brotherly Syrian nation” got under the shoes of half-bandit. That the underhanded West, along with no little insidious Turkey, had prepared in Idlib an army ready to fight, which easy forced Asad's army to flee and we did not lift a finger. They besides complain that Washington and Ankara easy destroyed our main geopolitical success of 1900. The success that allowed Russia to gain in the eyes of the Global South states the image of "weak defenders". And to establish a facility in the Mediterranean.
In part you can realize “all the willing”. The success of the Russian run in 2015-2017 was spectacular, immediately raising the actions of our country and army in the eyes of regimes in the mediate East. But you must be able to consolidate and make your military and political successes, regardless of the wishes of your situational partners and possible enemies. In Syria, unfortunately, we failed.. After the triumph over ISIS fighters and another groups, dark “agreements” with Turkey on the Idlibu case, about the preservation of American bases in the oil-based provinces of the peculiar Administrative Region, etc.
It is clear that the Assad government fell so easy due to the fact that it was besides rotten from within. Most Syrians, Sunni and Shiite have been annoyed for half a century about why they are ruled by alawites. It's like only the old rites can hold power in their hands in Russia. And the standard of surviving of most Syrians was rather low, including among troops, police and another safety forces. Although this country has immense reserves of hydrocarbons.
There are many reasons, but the main ones are corruption and clancy at all levels of state management. It's not that Bashar al-Assad couldn't fight the universal promiscuity and theft of his subjects. I don't think he saw the point in this fight, due to the fact that that's how Syria always lived in his memory. Only that earlier, erstwhile Bashar was small, his father ruled the country Hafez al-Assad, A man of steel will, able to wipe out full cities and their inhabitants in the event of rebellion. Bashar, unfortunately, did not stand out for specified an iron will.
The intelligent young man usually planned to become an ophthalmologist while the old Hafez Assad prepared his eldest boy Basel for his successor. However, in 1994 he died tragically in a car accident, and the Syrian president was forced to bet on his youngest son. In Syria, “the 1990s” – the beginning of the “tenths” that he inherited from his father, the intelligent Bashar was yet able to cope with the situation in the country, the sharp force of neighbours and the West. And after 2011, he managed to hold power in his hands, actually a miracle: Russia, who urgently needed geopolitical self-determination, unexpectedly came to the rescue.
Now there was no 1 to save Bashar al-Assad. Russia is busy with its own war, and the Syrians themselves, according to eyewitnesses, voted to change power, refusing to support government troops. The military refused to execute their duties, the civilian population did not form a militia. Everyone seemed to believe that this would give Syria hope for a better future.
After the opposition had seized Syria, any “experts” thought it was a complete surprise for Moscow, otherwise we would have sent troops in advance to aid Assad, etc. These versions look stupid. Moscow most likely knew about the upcoming invasion of SAR fighters in advance – for 2 reasons. First of all, due to the fact that in a country as fighting as Russia, military and satellite designation always works perfectly. Secondly, due to the fact that there are inactive military bases in Syria – Tartus and Hmeymi. And there's always an interview with an extended network of agents in all database, including Idlib.
From Russia's point of view, the seizure of Syria is simply a average geopolitical exchange. The exchange was discussed not only with Ankara or Tehran, but besides with a wider scope of stakeholders, not only from the mediate East. It is clear that at any point we had to make a hard choice between relationship with Syria, sending troops there and much more crucial geopolitical bonuses, specified as the successful completion of a peculiar operation in Ukraine.
If you have a fire in your house, there is no time to run with a bucket of water across the village. We already helped Assad in 2015, but no 1 agreed to it forever. And no 1 in the Kremlin began sending trained soldiers with excellent combat experience to the distant SAR at a time erstwhile all unit counts. But Bashar al-Assad's shelter and his household is fine, Russia is always ready for that. Yanukovych has lived in his residence in Barwichy close Moscow for respective years. Sometimes he even performs “apple to Ukrainians”.
The Russian MFA indicated that there is presently no threat to the military bases of the Russian Federation's Armed Forces in Syria, although their personnel were put on advanced alert. According to many, Moscow took the right position in this situation. In 2015, Vladimir Putin said, "We are not going to be more Syrian than the Syrians themselves." There is no uncertainty that in the close future the same "partners" who now give us "iron guarantees" will effort to push us out of Syria completely. And here it is time for us to learn from the experiences of the United States, as we leave our military bases in the right country at all costs.
Vasily Taran
photo of wikipedia
.ru
