The insistence that “Trump = peace” sins naivety. But much more interesting is why nobody develops Trump equations = costs?
What truly Leads Donald Trump this is different, but it surely has wider and better quality facilities than in its first term. It is inactive not, of course, counter- or all the more anti-systemic, but it gains importantly from the presence of known protesters and outsiders how to Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and especially Tulsi Gabbard. In any case, it gains in the eyes of voters for whom the younger RFK is simply a symbol of opposition to Big PharmyWhile erstwhile congresswoman From Hawaii, her opposition to American intervention in Syria is credible. The 2 democratic secessionists have a good chance of becoming part of the fresh administration, which will not increase their interior coherence.
Reagan or Keynes?
Password “Make America large Again!” had adequate capacity for the election run as any good slogan meant nothing in fact and did not oblige anyone. Indeed, however, and paradoxically, the interests of American capital, mediate class and (post) working class are temporary converging, in any case in the point concerning the reindustrialisation of the USA. The point is that Trump voters can tell each another about reaganomics, but in fact they long for a state of prosperity and fordism whose demolition has just begun by the squad RonaldReagan. The basic weakness of Trumpism is this interior contradiction. Trump and his facilities are promising to make America again a large neoliberal method, namely the ones that made it inferior to the interests of global capital. The first among the subordinates – but inactive the minor.
Meanwhile, the withdrawal of globalization by globalist methods may prove to be a task beyond Trump's horizon. Especially since at the same time he can't renounce the American hegemony, even though it was carried out in a performance of powers, due to the fact that in specified a case the planet precedence would be in Chinese hands. For Europe, the Trumpian conflict with China is the end of consumerism in the pre-COVID version and (against the ongoing conflict with Russia) besides a threat to the adopted direction and pace of energy transformation. What if Europe has to step up its anti-Chinese commitment (which is already happening), while taking over most of the costs of the conflict with Russia?
Our dear Trumpism
Let us besides have no illusions, reindustrialization of the USA, if it actually happens – will be held, among others, at the expense of the allies of America. Don't we remember the European first word of Trump? erstwhile he encouraged the UK to turn distant from Europe, he returned a 25% refund on Scottish work whisky. erstwhile he pressed on German car manufacturers, he revolted their Polish subcontractors, but did not bring any American investments in return to compensate for possible losses. The American president has already performed not only as an American energy salesman but as a second Arturo Ui, forcing laborers on the cauliflower market. Why shouldn't we have a rerun of the entertainment? After all, Trump seemed to talk his own text at the time, which was no different from the strategy. Deep StateThe kind we could have guessed...
This is not over; for the government Benjamin Netanjah announcement "maximum force on Iran" It's just... carte blanche to complete the genocide in Gaza, attack the alleged atomic installations of Iran, and yet most likely a full-scale war for control of the mediate East. In the meantime, all increase in tension in this area of the planet is more immigrants, and thus more and more racial conflicts in Europe. For now in Western Europe, but shortly almost surely besides in Poland. Trump may be playing games with illegals in America, but his policies may lead to an increase in their numbers on our continent.
Paying the cost of fighting Beijing, paying for the continued fight against Russia, paying for increasingly costly "American protection", co-financing reconstruction of the US interior market, expanding migration problems – Trumpism can be very, very costly for the remainder of the world.
Internal paralysis
The fresh administration will so face major dilemmas both in internal/economic and foreign/financial policies. This can consequence in either wedge and paralysis, or zigzag between contradictions, which in both cases will usage the opposition wisely. American politics may be based on the legend of an independent sheriff, but in fact it is simply a rivalry of cameras representing the interests of circumstantial oligarchic groups. Expressed especially by Trump's abroad fans, the establishment of Trump's control of the Republican organization (and by it over Congress) is far besides optimistic. Again, very heterogeneous and ideologically supportive of the president-elect are stronger than 8 years ago, but they inactive do not regulation indivisibly Republicans. Trump so remains a certain slogan, a mention point, besides on a global scale, but is he himself able to fulfill conflicting hopes?
Peace, but at what price?
For Poles, Trump's presidency is primarily connected with the desire to rapidly end the war in Ukraine. Author of the peace plan, and in any event the negotiating basis for maintaining status quo, the creation of a buffer region (perhaps supervised by the Armed Forces of the Republic of Poland) and a 20-year punishment for Ukrainian NATO membership would be Richard GrenellApparently, 1 of the candidates for the fresh Secretary of State. Well, just starting open peace talks would be a step forward, but whoever agreed to specified conditions on the Russian side would should be mad or suicidal. According to Trump/Grennel's plan, the Russians would refrain from killing Kiev, give him time to rebuild the reserves to most likely return to the starting point in 2 decades. Even leadership Vladimir Putin It might not last the marina on specified conditions. So if Americans truly want to distract Russia from working with China – they will gotta effort harder. It is not essential to add, regardless of who would hold specified a truce – Poles should not push to participate in any peacekeeper forces, due to the fact that anyway it would be sticking fingers between doors.
RP policy column III
Polish state ration remains peace in Ukraine and the deukrainization of Poland and as you can see, although the fresh administration can bring us closer to at least the first of these goals, there is no "Trump = room" automation. Of course, alternatively of considering whether and how the situation of the Republic will change as part of the fresh dynamics of global relations, the local political class usually deals with home kindergarten. Of course, what politicians of the Law and Justice have been doing late is typical of the 3rd Republic of Poland blackness and chick, but remember, everything that the Law and Justice do in relation to abroad – it does only for national needs. It is so about creating an impression of power "ours win in the world" due to the fact that it works on voters who always want to vote for those who win. In turn to those (in their opinion) smarter is the message "Let's get along better with Trump". It's like voting for this mayor who has better incomes in the province. In both versions it is so an absolute embarrassment, but in the presumption someway there calculated for election earnings. And due to the fact that any people get active and just like to grovel like that – well, that's the party...
As part of the duople III of the Republic of Poland, the another side traditionally accepted the ball put on the leg, so for a week it only takes to bid screenshots alternately with declarations who truly appreciate Trump. There is no 1 who would seriously address the ideas for peace in Ukraine, and we do not know what about our economy, erstwhile Trump strikes Germany and all Europe again, about any imagination of Polish-Chinese relations. Supporting the U.S. presidential election is simply a Polish national sport, but it is simply a pity that it replaces us with a full political idea.
Konrad Hand
