The planet economy is entering a hard year of 2025 and the warnings of the United Nations leave no illusions. The global recession is taking on momentum and the slowdown in the world's largest economies threatens the economical stableness of millions of people. What are the consequences? What does this mean for Poland? Check the forecast details and prepare for hard times.
Forecasts for the world's largest economies
The strongest economies in the planet – United States, China and Western Europe – they already feel signs of slowing down. According to data published by the UN and the global Monetary Fund (IMF):
- USA: economical growth will fall from 2.8% in 2024 to just 1.9% in 2025. Effects? Possible mass redundancies in the IT sector, financial services and real estate. The value of pension funds can increase by up to 15%, which will affect millions of citizens.
- China: Forecasts say GDP growth decline to 4.8%, which is the lowest level in decades. This consequence can origin bankruptcy of tiny and medium-sized enterprises, redundancies in the industrial sector and increased social tensions.
- Europe: The expected GDP growth of 1.3% is stagnation which will hit countries specified as Germany, France and Italy the most. Poland, although developing dynamically, will besides feel the effects of slowing down in global trade and limiting abroad investment.
Poland in the face of a global crisis
The Polish economy, although immune to erstwhile shocks, may be 1 of the countries peculiarly susceptible to the effects of the global downturn. GDP growth projected for 2025 is 2.5%, which is inactive better than in many EU countries, but represents a slowdown over 2024.
Threats for Poland include:
- Increase in unemployment – especially in export sectors specified as automotive or machinery industry, which depend on orders from abroad.
- Inflation – although in Poland we are seeing a decrease in the rate of price growth, global supply disruptions may one more time origin force on the increase in natural materials and food prices.
- The decline in abroad investment – in 2024 Poland attracted investments worth $8.5 billion. In 2025 this could be up to 20% less.
Situation of employees and savings of Poles
In 2025 there may be more difficulties on the Polish labour market. In particular, workers in sectors specified as construction and transport services are exposed, where employment is already starting to slow down.
Experts shall indicate:
- Over 200 000 Poles could lose their jobs in the first half of the year, peculiarly in little developed regions.
- Savings of Poles collected in investment funds may be threatened. The value of units of public funds has already fallen by 7.2% in December 2024 and further declines are forecast in 2025.
Who will benefit from the recession?
Despite the grim image of the planet economy, there are sectors that can benefit from it:
- Technology industry: Investment in artificial intelligence and automation can gain momentum due to the fact that companies will search ways to reduce costs.
- Gold and another safe assets: Poles are increasingly investing in precious metals. In 2024, sales of investment gold increased by 35%, and this trend is expected to continue.
- Renewable energy: The energy crisis in Europe will accelerate the improvement of green technologies, which could be an chance for Polish companies specialising in solar panels or wind turbines.
What can you do to prepare for the recession?
1. Diversification of savings – avoid keeping all capital in 1 kind of investment. Consider placing parts in gold, treasury bonds or defensive funds.
2. Construction of an emergency fund – it is recommended to have savings to cover at least six months of cost of living.
3. Expanding competences – investment in professional improvement can aid safe employment in a time of economical downturn.
The global recession in 2025 will be a challenge for economies, societies and individual citizens. The key to surviving hard times is knowingly making financial decisions and adapting to changing marketplace conditions. Poland, although comparatively resistant, must besides prepare for the hard year.
Continued here:
Recession 2025: savings melt, millions lose their jobs!
