We know that the environment of the Confederation of the Polish Crown and the Foundation of Pre-entrepreneurs of the Right took up cooperation with Indian partners having controversial Russian connections. That suggests the Kremlin controls it. What, then, did Putin have in head to order specified an action?
This cooperation was open. This was detected by a blogger who had publically available information. Russian intelligence is not stupid adequate not to know that it could detect the first better blogger and announce it. So they planned it.
Such cooperation compromises the environment of Grzegorz Braun. There can be no another effect. It's the conclusion that Putin had a purpose. Braun was the mark of the operation, and his environment was lured by an attractive business cooperation proposal. These are naive people without their own counterintelligence services, so they were easy to approach.
Why, then, does Putin conduct actions that harm Braun? Consider various options:
- Weakening the self-player. The convergence of any views with Russia's interests does not mean obedience or predictability. The Kremlin could like another politicians it has under control, and cooperation can effectively be classified.
- Calling conflict on the right. The harm caused to Braun may have been a means to disrupt the wider environment and hinder cooperation between its parts. For example, the obstruction of the creation of an effective Pact of the legislature Right.
- Compromise the wider set of postulates. The link between certain passwords and Russian contacts could undermine the credibility of people who are not connected to the KKP, but who preach akin demands. For example, all opposing culturally alien immigration.
- Transfer of support to competition. Braun's weakening enhances the importance of another environments that the Kremlin considers more useful, predictable or more likely to gain real power.
- Deepening common suspicion. The affair launches the search for traitors, inspirers and partners in the environment. As a result, activists would deal with common accusations and further proposals for cooperation would make distrust. The organisation can besides be weakened by the demolition of trust among its members.
- Fearing entrepreneurs and donors. The association of cooperation with KKP with the hazard of Russian connections discourages people who would like to support this environment financially or organizationally. For an entrepreneur, the possible of losing a reputation, clients or partners can be more crucial than a sympathy for a political program.
- Pushing Braun into more isolation. The failure of average sympathizers and possible partners increases the importance of the most extremist environment. The Kremlin could calculate that a weaker politician would be more useful as a destabilizing origin in the debate.
- Time and resources consumption. Clarifying contacts, resisting charges and repairing relationships will long distance the environment from building structures and implementing its own initiatives. The operation would not gotta bring the organization down in order to importantly reduce its efficiency.
- Calling for greater chaos. Braun is only a direct victim, while the intended consequence was another war on charges of agenthood, deepening distrust of politicians, media and institutions.
Grzegorz GPS Swiderski
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