Aleksander Kwasniewski returns to the political podium – with momentum. According to the latest IBRiS trust poll for Onetu, the erstwhile president is ahead of all active politicians, including erstwhile leader Rafal Trzaskowski. The poll shows deep shuffle and increasing voter uncertainty before the second circular of the presidential election.
Kwasniewski, the unexpected leader. Back from the Political Shadow
In the latest trust survey by IBRiS in June 2025., Aleksander Kwasniewski He scored 44.4 percent trust. It's not just historical debut in the compilation, but besides return to the summit of social sympathy after years of absence in active politics. This consequence consists of:
- 16 percent the declaration ‘I firmly trust’,
- 28.4%. ‘I trust you’,
- concurrent 33.9%. He doesn't trust the erstwhile president,
- a 21.7 percent. remains neutral.
The emergence of Kwasniewski's popularity can be explained by his media activity during the presidential campaign and Social nostalgia behind his presidency. Although he does not run for office, his voice in the public debate proved so expressive that he attracted the attention of a wide electorate.
Trzaskowski falls from the position of leader. Bad run moment
Rafał Trzaskowski, the erstwhile leader of trust rankings, falls on second place with a score of 43.6 percent. This. a drop of 6.4 percent points to the end-April survey. These include:
- 18.7 percent. ‘strongly trusts’,
- 24.9 percent. ‘in a way he trusts’,
- However, 48.1 percent. respondents express a deficiency of confidence.
For the president of Warsaw this serious warning At the end of the campaign. Falling can be a consequence fatigue of his media transmission and lack of a clear consequence to the political crises of fresh weeks.
President Duda and Sikorski gain. Nawrocks in front of Tusk
He's number three. Andrzej Duda with consequence 40 percent, which means an increase of 6.2 percent points This is the best ex-president's performance in months. Following him:
- Radosław Sikorski – 39 percent. trust,
- Karol Nawrocki, the current President-elect – 37.4%.
Especially Karol Nawrocki notes symbolic successOvertaking Donald Tusk, which may indicate a change in generation and fatigue of electorate with dominant figures in fresh decades.
Tusk and Kaczyński in reverse. Leaders of distrust
Donald Tusk get 36.7 percent trust, which means a fall by 3.3 percent points. But it's worse. Jarosław Kaczyńskiwho not only loses in the ranking but stays leader of distrust – 59.6% of respondents declare distrust.
These results propose a clear fatigue of the bipolar PO-PiS scene. Both leaders become symbols of the era, which the increasing part of the electorate wants to leave behind.
Mentzen on the wave. The Confederacy gains space
The biggest win of the June survey is Sławomir Mentzen. His trust has increased until 11.3 percent points, to the level 35.1 percent.which allows him to overtake both Kaczyńskiand many opposition leaders.
Such strong growth can be linked to:
- his active participation in presidential debates,
- presence on social media,
- clear an anti-system transferwhich attracts voters dissatisfied with the current political agreement.
A hoard with a dramatic decline. He even loses to erstwhile presidents.
Simon Holovnia, leader of Poland 2050, noted the largest decrease in the ranking – by 6.8 percent points.Which gives him only 26.8 percent trust and Only 15th place in a combination. What's more, he does. The worst balance of confidence – negative responses outweigh affirmative ones by as much as 30.6 percent points..
Not only did active politicians overtake him, but besides Adrian Zandberg, Lech Wałęsa and Bronisław Komorowski, which is evidence of a deep Holownia image crisis.
Changing social emotions? Solstice before the second round
The June IBRiS poll shows that voter assurance is becoming more dynamic. Poles are not only increasingly expressing a deficiency of assurance in the main actors of the political scene, but are besides inclined transfer support to non-mainstream figures – as proven by results Mentzena, Nawrocki or Kwasniewski's return.
You can talk about symptoms of emotional solstice – the importance of individual transmission and authenticity grows, at the expense of organization structures and old agreements. This phenomenon may even accelerate the run in the following weeks
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Poles were asked who they trusted most. The answers are surprising.
