Central Statistical Office (GUS) reported that at the end of 2023 the population of Poland decreased by 130 1000 compared to the erstwhile year, falling to 37,637 million inhabitants.
Last year, the failure rate of the population was -0.34%, which means that 34 people fell for all 10,000 inhabitants. The CSO notes that the trend of population decline has been observed since 2012 (except for a slight increase of little than 1 1000 in 2017).
“The situation in 2023 was affected by a very low birth rate and at the same time advanced death rates. Their number exceeded by nearly 35 1000 average yearly values since 1970 over the last 50 years (409 1000 to 374,000). The advanced mortality rate of the Polish population in 2023 affected both women and men to a akin extent" – it was written.
“The mediocre mortality and fertility situation in 2023 contributed to a low level of natural growth. Its negative value was nearly 4 times higher than in 2019, erstwhile a failure of 9 people per 10,000 population was noted. For comparison, during the 1950s demographic boom, about 200 people were present for all 10,000 people, while in the 1980s – about 100" – the CSO said.
According to the Central Statistical Office data, a group of people aged 65 years and older is growing. In 2023 its population increased by 197,000 people, reaching over 7.5 million.
“Watched demographic changes indicate that the population situation of Poland has been hard for respective years. crucial changes are not expected in the close future to guarantee a unchangeable demographic development. The very low birth rate, the advanced number of deaths, the lower than in 2022 the number of married couples concluded, deepened the unfavourable situation of Poland's population. In this context, crucial changes to guarantee a unchangeable demographic improvement are not expected in the close future," wrote the CSO.
Previously, the Central Statistical Office reported that out of about 272.7 1000 children born in Poland in 2023, Polish citizenship had 257.3 thousand. The vast majority of the others, or 12.8 thousand, are tiny Ukrainians. The number of children born with citizenship another than Polish has reached the highest level in many years.
In 2023 the number of births in Poland decreased by 33 1000 (11%) compared to the erstwhile year erstwhile 305 1000 children were born. In 2021, the birth rate was 331,000, 355,000 in 2020, and 375 1000 in 2019.
The breakdown of demography in Poland is more complex than the number of births suggests, as the share of children born by foreigners increased to 5.5%. inactive in 2021 with 331,000 children, 2% were children born by foreigners (7,000). In 2 years, the birth rate fell to 272 000, but the number of children born by foreigners doubled, reaching over 15,000 and representing 5.5%.
For the first time in history, the fertility rate in Poland has fallen below 1.20. In 2022 it was 1.26. The country is so among the lowest fertility rates in the world. Although we have not yet reached the level of global depopulation leaders, specified as South Korea, fewer countries have a lower fertility rate.
Over the last 6 years, the number of births in Poland has decreased by more than 30%. This crucial decline is partially due to a change in the age structure of society. The number of Poles at the highest fertility age is decreasing. Women have the most children in their 30s. 10 years ago there were over 660 000 Polish women, now it is only 475 000, and in the next 10 years the number of about 340 000 women is expected.
According to CSO data, the population in Poland will proceed to decrease. In 2060, the population is projected to fall by 4.8 million (12.7%) to 32.9 million people.
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Poles are down! The CSO provided frightening statistic for 2023
