The fresh diamond in the Braun Crown and the old poll bubble

Parliamentary elections will not be held for a year and a half, and although time runs faster in politics, 1 thing worth keeping in mind. During this period published polls effort to make political preferencesInstead of reflecting them. The second crucial point is that about 10% of voters here and now cannot indicate which organization they will vote for. Only for these 2 reasons can the next election surprise many parties, and it has never happened before that any poll from a year and a half ago reflects the final support for all parties.

If we consider these apparent corrections, the trends outlined in the polls do not necessarily have much to do with reality. The first trend concerns the declines of the largest opposition organization and there is much uncertainty here, apart from the scale of declines. There is no uncertainty that the PiS is in crisis and polling declines have been confirmed to any degree by elections. Of the 44 percent of the support that PiS achieved in 2019, 29 percent remained, as confirmed by Karol Nawrocki's election consequence in the first circular of the presidential election. Only that in the polling bubble we have already seen the results of the PiS at 20%, which seems neither real nor probable. A akin crisis has been passed by the Civic Platform, but it has never fallen to specified a low level, and it may not be a precise analogy, but clearly premature political competition hangs up the PiS hourglasses.

The second trend, this time growing, is driven by further sensations, scandals, and excesses of the leader of the group who performs as a black horse. Only 1 politician and only 1 organization fits this brief characteristic. Of course. It's about Grzegorz Braun. and the Confederation of the Polish Crown. After the first circular of the presidential election, Braun's large success was announced, and it is unusual adequate that Braun obtained only 6% of the support, or 1% more than Simon Holovnia considered a large loser. On this totally unjustified euphoria and constantly heated sensation, the polling and political attraction of Braun's organization is built. many court proceedings broadcast live by the media "real right", intertwined with curiosity bilateral meetings with Hindus and Iranian Islamists, are the frames of the same spectacle, supplemented by fresh actors.

Grzegorz Braun is the undisputable leader of the Confederation of the Polish Crown, but even specified a "outstanding" figure alone will not fill the electoral letters. The fact that Braun's organization has not built any structures and is based solely on the feats of its boss, it is known not from today, and time is urgent. That's why the act of human desperation has been multiplying lately! quite a few confusion was caused by Braun's encounters with recidivists: Olszański and Sadowski, about Ryszard Czarnecki, who accompanied Grzegorz Braun respective times and organized a celebrated gathering with the Indians. In November 2025, Janusz Palikot claimed that he had been invited to talks by Grzegorz Braun, but with specified a low credibility of 1 and the another politics, there is no way to find how much fact in this. However, it is certain that another scandalous politician will join the Confederation of the Polish Crown, although the biggest scandals involving it took place more than 30 years ago.

Stan Tymiński appeared in Kanele Zero, came without the celebrated black folder and was terribly bored, besides leading Krzysztof Stanowski. The revival took place only erstwhile Tymiński declared that he intended to run from the legislature list of the Confederation of the Polish Crown. In this way, around this niche game it became loud again, and specified a "sensation" is conquered by a poll drum. How long can this method keep the attention of “sondage” and, above all, voters? Political practice suggests that the life of “anti-system” parties based on scandalous leaders and members is up to 4 years, but that the highest period is the first 2 years. In 2027 the Confederation of the Polish Crown will be a two-and-a-half-year stand-alone on the Polish political stage, and I will besides have 2 years since the election success of Grzegorz Braun, then the polls will be verified and this may be a very brutal verification.

We don't believe in anyone, we don't believe in anything! We look at facts and draw conclusions!