The effort to gain the Russians' attack for 9 months led to the closeness of rival factions in the Russian elite leading the war in Ukraine and the comparative strengthening of patriotic forces at the expense of Putin's bureaucracy. Traditionally, the conflict occurs between the sponsor of the Private Military Company Wagner Yevgeny Prigożin and the Minister of Defence of the Federation of Russia Sergei Shojg and the head of the Russian General Staff General General Walerij Gierasimov.
On Sunday, April 16, 1 of those liable for operations in Ukraine was to be the commander of the Russian Air-Dessant Army Gen. Mikhail Tepliński, considered as J. Prigozin's ally, who supported him erstwhile he was removed in January, after a conflict with General W. Gierasimov.
The Russian WDW components are now to cover the northern and confederate flanks of the Bachmut PKW Wagner. The 106th WDW division is most likely operating close Bachmut. The Russian Ministry of National Defence complaining earlier about the supply of "vagners" ammunition is now to usage modern T-90 tanks in Bachmut.
There is besides an intense run of criticism in the Russian blogosphere against J. Prigożin, associated with president Vladimir Putin, Liberal politician of Sankt-Petersburg Alexander Białowski, which shows that the founder of PKW Wagner gains support in Russian patriotic circles.
However, the Russian position on the front remains weak and seals the general defeat of the invasion of Ukraine. Battles fought on the Swatowe-Kreminna line, in Bachmut and on the Donetsk-Awdijiwka line have not yet brought a breakthrough favourable to Russia – the front line has remained almost unchanged for months, so Russia's winter offensive actions have failed. According to Semyon Piegow (blog on the WarGonzo telegram), The Ukrainians, on the another hand, concentrate their forces on the western shore of Dniepr before the expected spring offensive.
The Russian WDW, whose importance is rebuilt by Gen. M. Tepliński, was to lose 40-50% of the state in Ukraine (according to another sources of 1,669 soldiers by April of this year) and the replacement of losses by inexperienced recruits does not give a chance to regain the strength of this utilized in violation of their destiny for linear assaults of a kind of military. Wagner's group carried out an exchange of prisoners of war with Ukrainians on 16 April, regardless of the Russian MON, which most likely proves the problems of staff formation (and comparative weakening of Russian MON's position).
Launching a “special military operation” in Ukraine W. Putin was most likely counting on a script resembling events in Czechoslovakia in 1968. In fact, he repeated the script from planet War I. It is known how the “war to exhaustion” ended for Russia with an organizational and technologically superior opponent. It is besides known that after the fall of the inept Tsar in Moscow the formation of much more passionate, much more efficient implementation of the Eurasian mission of Russia came to power.
But if then the revolution had a modernization-left face, present it would have an Eurasian-patriotic face. Eduard Limonov's will be fulfilled by possibly no longer members of the National-Bolshevik Party, young lumpenproletarians from the suburbs of Russian cities, but criminals and rejected by bourgeois Russian veteran society.
There's no 1 more hated by a quirky bunch bourgeois than fired criminal prisoners. There is no more hateful bourgeois and his supported group strategy than despised veterans, returning from war with the feeling that “politicians betrayed them”. There is no group with greater revolutionary possible than those who have nothing to lose but their (prison) shackles.
In 1917 the Russian bourgeois was most afraid of a dirty and degenerate worker. In the 1990s, he was most afraid of a dirty and degenerate juvenile bum from collapsed blocks. presently he is most afraid of the criminal and veteran “aggression on Ukraine”. It is in these “barbarics” most feared by the West and being a local imitation of the West by the Russian bourgeoisie that there is simply a possible for redemption corrupted by the liberalism of Saint Ruth. As always, Russia can only save anti-Western barbarians from westernization and liberalism.
Ronald Lasecki
