What future of Moldova?

The political past of the erstwhile imperial space of Communist Russia since at least 1988 is mostly attempts to establish national states based on political supremacy of the dominant ethnos in them.

West-oriented national states in most cases (with fewer exceptions like Serbia) were built by liberal elites as counterprojects against russian Marxist-Lenin internationalism. However, it is worth noting that today's anti-Russian nationalisms of the countries of the erstwhile communist bloc were mostly possible thanks to Marxism-Leninism, dividing the erstwhile Russian imperial space into national and national political-territorial units based on the titular people.

Concepts of Moldovan identity

A peculiar case against this background is the Republic of Moldova, where the debate on who Moldova is and whether they have their own national past and language has inactive not been resolved. According to the census of 2024, 49.2% Moldovan as its native language indicates ‘Moldavian’, although in March 2023 Parliamentary Republic of Moldova adopted a law establishing the authoritative Romanian language, thus abolishing the "Moldavian" provisions of the 1994 Constitution. The same is actual of teaching past in schools, where the subject in question is referred to as ‘the Romanian history’, although many people in the country opt for the old name ‘the past of Moldova’. In the public debate, 3 concepts collide with the identity of the people of the country between Dniester and Prut.

The first chronologically is the “Moldavian theory” (moldovenismului theory) of russian ethnology. According to her, the ethnogenesis of Moldavian was to consist of the mixing over centuries of the Latinized daccal population of Besarabia with the Slavic population (Bołochowce) of the northern shore of Dniestra. Moldovan historian and linguist born in 1939 is the promoter of Moldovanism. Vasile Stati, the author of specified works as the loud "Dicţionar molodovenesc-românesc" (2003) in which he points to the more archaic and organic character of the Moldovan language in relation to the "Romanian" language, artificially constructed based on the Italian dialect and imposed administratively after 1859 by the authorities in Bucharest. Partidul Comuniştilor din Republica Moldova, PCRM) and president of the State from 2001 to 2009 Vladimir Voronin and leader of the Socialist organization of the Republic of Moldova (mold/rum. Partidul Socialiştilor din Republica Moldova, PSRM) and president of the State from 2016 to 2020 Igor Dodon.

The other of “Moldavian theory” is the explanation of “one nation, 2 states” (mold/rum. “un por, două state”), negating the ethnolingual distinctness of Moldovans and recognising them as part of the Romanian ethnolinguistic group, at the same time legitimizing the separate Moldovan statehood. This explanation was raised between 1989 and 1991 by liberal activists of the anti-Russian People's Front (mold/rum. Frontul Popular din Moldova) for the secession of russian Moldova from the USSR.

After 1991, this explanation underwent radicalization into the form of the unionist explanation of “one nation, 1 state” (moldold/rum. “unpopulated, unstat”). Today, it is supported in Moldova by a large part of liberal intelligence that recognizes Moldovans and Romanians as 1 nation. The political nonsubjective here is the Unirea – political union of the Republic of Moldova and Romania.

Berlin takes over Moldova

However, the content of the Moldovan public debate has in fresh years been heavy transformed by Germany. In January 2018, a fifty-page paper entitled "Strengthening social cohesion and collective identity of Moldova". It was a memorandum for governments in Chisinau to abandon the ethnolinguistic criterion for the benefit of the citizen-state. The "Practical Recommendations" to the "Key Issues" came to the conclusion that the Moldovan people may be and are legitimized by the very existence of the Republic of Moldova.

The paper echoed a loud echo in Moldova, raising opposition to the majority of erstwhile participants in the debate on the identity of the country. For the PSRM, "Cross Recommendations" is simply a textbook example of "Western Interference". Da unionists documentary Auswärtiges Amt hit the thought of cultural identity and the proximity of linguistic, historical and cultural residents of Besarabia and Ţara Românescă.

Berlin Under Government Angela Merkel By 2022, he favoured the maintenance of the Republic of Moldova in the "gray zone" between the Atlantic camp and Russia. Moldova was a buffer between the US and Russia. Berlin did not advance either the European integration of Chisinau or its Romanian integration. The non-extension of Western influence on Besarabia was intended to calm Moscow, sustaining the illusion of maintaining its sphere of influence in the russian space, despite Russia's deficiency of conceptual and material possible to preserve its influence.

The Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, and above all the revealing weakness of Moscow its failure, persuaded Berlin to change its position. Germany has decided to fill the political vacuum, which it has shown apparent since the spring of 2022 the deficiency of geopolitical legitimacy of Russia. The national Republic of Germany has since actively supported the European integration of the Republic of Moldova, but at the same time trying to neutralise the Pan-Romanic tensions in that country. Smaller countries with ungrounded identities are simply more easy manipulated.

Berlin put on the Liberal organization of Action and Solidarity (mold/rum. Partidul Acţiune şi Solidaritate, PAS) and the face of its leader Mai Sandu, who took office as president in January 2021 – a fewer months before the end of her last word Chancellor Angela Merkel. Since the spring of 2022 Berlin has invested any 270 million euros in Moldova. EU programmes specified as Future Leaders and Europe Day are funded by the German Association for global Cooperation (German Deutsche Gesselschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit, GIZ).

Civil Moldova

Moldovan identity task Mai Sandu, which will stay head of state until 2028 in full compliance with Auswärtiges Amt's recommendations of January 2018. The authorities in Chisinau, despite the opposition protests, changed the name of the state language from “Moldavian” to “Roman” and the past lessons from “Modavia” to “Roman history”. However, Maia Sandu maintains a distance from the unionist sentiments, stressing that the changes introduced are intended to "fulfill technological rigors" and "ensure the political credibility" expected by the institutions in Brussels. erstwhile a monument to Queen Mary of Romania was unveiled in Chisinau on 27 March, whose presence at the peace conference in Paris in 1919 enabled the unirea, the event was ignored by both president Sandu and the country's organization Prime Minister Dorin Recean.

The Auswärtiges Amt project, whose face and performer is president Sandu in Moldova, does not negate Moldovan distinctness, but simply based it on the ethnolinguistic criterion. Moldovan nationalism in the liberal communicative of PAS is to be based on political criteria specified as citizenship, constitution, state history, and Republica Moldov institutions. This character was given by the “president” of this year's Sovereign March organized with its inspiration on the thirty-fifth anniversary of independence. The birth of the Republic of Moldova and the Moldovan people was celebrated. On the March banners were the Moldovan state, its democratic institutions and civic patriotism. However, there were no references to the past of Besarabia and its inhabitants before 1989.

European Moldova

For more than 2 years, a immense flag of the European Union has been flying on the facade of Casa politician in Chisinau. And this is just the most awesome of the EU's countless flags hung in the centre of the capital of Republica Moldov. Blue colours float alongside Moldovan tricolore at all government and presidential appearance. In all of their speeches, president Sandu and Prime Minister Recean item the "historic proximity" of Chishinev and Brussels. European integration has become part of the process of building the civilian people of Moldova.

In past curricula, according to the government's recommendations, the past of Moldovan has been embedded in the context of the past of the Europeans. The PAS government's decision to celebrate the end of planet War II was moved from 9th to 8th May. On the day of the anniversary celebrated in the russian bloc, however, the GIZ celebrated the Europe Day to commemorate Schuman's 1950 Declaration.

In the German electoral project, the results of PAS, European integration and the building of the civilian people of Moldova are interdependent elements. The breakdown of 1 would gotta origin the another 2 to fall. In an perfect variant, the fresh Moldovan identity should be based on a prosperous country, with strong and credible liberal institutions and a population with advanced civic thinking, capable of forming a political community despite ethnic, linguistic and historical diversity.

Lack of support for fresh Moldovanism

The German plan for Moldova is simply a projection of the identity of Germany itself, built “from scratch” after 1945, on the ruins of the country's since rejected and combated historical identity. However, Moldova is different from post-war Germany. According to a fresh IMAS poll, 57% of Moldovan respondents associated Maia Sandu with European integration, and only 4% with national sovereignty. At the same time, 49% of respondents did not consider European integration to be in the national interest of Moldovans. The link between the national thought and the European idea, built by Germany through the Moldovan government, has not yet occurred in Moldovan awareness.

However, it is hard to have a strong sense of belonging to a country and of citizenship in the poorest country of Europe, from which, with 2.4 million inhabitants, about 130 000 people emigrate each year. The implementation of the Werderscher Markt task so requires "hand-held control", illustrated by the "elections" of 28 September.

Based on the Western Diaspora

Let us start with the function of the diaspora, whose votes have decided to win the Western orientation already in the Constitutional referendum of 20 October 2024 on the anticipation of country integration with the EU and in the second circular of the presidential elections of 3 November of the same year. Only 2 polling stations (both in Moscow) were organised in the 11 time zones of the Russian Federation, with around 500,000 migrants from Moldova, 10 1000 ballot cards and no correspondence vote. In the West, 301 polling stations were created; in the United States where very fewer Moldovans lived, 20 polling venues were organised and correspondence voting was possible, more polling polls (75) were organised in Italy than in Romania (23).

This means that the destiny of Moldova will from now on be decided by emigration in the West, influenced by western liberal indoctrination of civilization and anti-Russian propaganda. In another words, pro-Russian forces based on voters surviving in the country have no chance of winning. In the foreseeable future, remaining within the scope of Moscow Besarabia will not become Russian again since 1812.

Border on the Dwarf

The consequence will be the political divorce of Chisinau and Transnistria. In the current election, the Central Election Commission (mold./rum. Comisia Electorală Centrală a Republic of Moldova, CEC) reduced the number of seats available to residents of the left bank of Dniester from 41 (in the 2021 election) to just 12. 2 days before the election, 5 polling venues were moved by respective kilometres, making it hard to usage them to vote. The day before the vote began "road robots" on the bridges on Dniestra, slowing down traffic on them. On the day of the vote, a "bomb threat" was announced, completely blocking traffic for hours. In this situation, many of the no-string voters, among whom the Pro-Russian Patriotic Electoral Block (mold/rum. Blocul Electoral Patriotic al Socialiştilor, Comuniştilor, Inima şi Viitorul Moldovei) had been decisively victorious, returned home without speaking.

At a press conference on 29 September, president Maia Sandu stated that she wanted to introduce the “reintegrated” Republic of Moldova “in 1 stage” into the European Union, but if this is not possible, it is besides possible to join “in 2 stages”. It is easy to see an analogy with the "temporary" solution for divided Cyprus, whose Greek part (de facto English protectorate) was incorporated into the EU in 2004, while the northern part controlled since 1974 remained outside the Union. In this variant, the Nistru River would become an component of civilization's limes, separating Eurasia from the liberal world, while in the dimension of the local Russian planet from Romanian space.

“Fix” liberalism

Before the "elections" of 28 September, the authorities in Chisinau and the western European Liberal block behind them were not peculiarly hidden from combating everything they associated with Russia's influence. A week before the election, respective twelve people were arrested all over the country on charges of "invading elections" by buying thousands of opposition organization votes for "dirty money". The action coordinated by the MMA became an excuse to be excluded by CEC 48 hours before the election of the “Moldow Heart” organization (mold/rum. Partidul Republican “Inima Moldovei”, PRIM) of the erstwhile Gagauzian baskan Irina Vlach (whose author had the chance to meet personally a fewer years ago) and the large Moldovan organization (mold/rum. Partidul Moldova Mare, PMM) of the erstwhile prosecutor Victoria Fortune.

The CEC does not, of course, have the power to arbitrarily delete the groups moving in elections respective twelve hours before the vote – for this a decision of the court is needed. So both groups took part in elections, even if their names were on ballot cards. However, the mass media have suggested to the public that it is not worth voting for marked parties, as their representatives will most likely be removed from parliament after the elections.

Also, the western Liberal block did not hide with support for the PAS, which yet won 55 seats in the 101-member Parliamentary Republic of Moldova, providing itself with facilities for a single-party government. On the same day CEC declared that PRIM was excluded from the election, the entry ban Irina Vlach Ministry of abroad Affairs of Poland, Latvia and Estonia announced on their territory. 29 September German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, president of France Emmanuel Macron and Prime Minister of Poland Donald Tusk, in the context of the reactivation of the "Weimar Triangle", they issued a joint message stating that "Moldavian society powerfully expressed its desire to join the European Union". At the 7th European Political Cooperation Summit in Copenhagen on 2 October UK Prime Minister Keith Starmer He congratulated Mai Sandu on "the triumph of Moldova, but besides the large triumph of Europe".

Complications for Antisystem

There were no complaints from Russia about the elections in Moldova despite the persecution by the authorities in Chisinau of Kremlin allies in that country. Moscow seems to deficiency not only material strength, but besides intellectual and moral strength to build the Eurasian empire, and it simply took note of the banishment of Russian influences from Moldova, just as they are being rejected from another countries of the erstwhile east bloc and erstwhile USSR.

The course of the "elections" in Moldova of 28 September should make us aware, first, of what Germany is now. The author of this text is simply a definite Germanophile in relation to historical Germany, but this does not change the fact that after 1945 Germans were broken by the spiritual spine and present the country is not even so much under business of Western liberalism as it has become the hiding place of its most destructive forms. Thus, the concept of giving the German opposition "Drang nach Osten" is regaining the right of existence – not due to what Germany was, but due to what they are now.

Secondly, the fact is that the Liberal strategy is being tightened to the expression of physical combating counter-system environments. The precedent for actions taken by the Liberal block in Moldova was the cancellation of the first circular of the presidential election in Romania on 6 December 2024 and the conviction Marine Le Pen in March 2025 for a five-year ban on applying for public functions.

Thirdly, all those who hope to aid Russia or intimidate liberals with the threat of action from Russia are deceived. Since the 1980s, the Russian Empire has been undergoing a progressive disintegration, which now included the negation of Russian influence from even the outermost regions of the erstwhile USSR. The military blamage of Russia in Ukraine takes on the geostrategic credibility of Moscow. The Kremlin does not care for the support of those who know about it, and erstwhile the pressures of the strategy increase, it leaves them to itself.

We must so realise that we are acting towards a stronger and more aggressive opponent than before, incapable to number on the support of our natural allies.

Ronald Lasecki

Photo X Mai Sandu profile