Galloping Major: Better Law and Justice Government with Holovnia than Confederation

Perhaps even the top optimists are slow losing religion that the ruling coalition has a chance not so much for re-election as for the adoption by 2027 of something that will not be PiS light, but for the implementation of its own electoral promises. This has been the case for over a year, and the losing presidential elections have only illustrated the government's mesmerity and the deepening political process of degrengolada.

What is electoral Gierty's conspiracy theory? What are the ideas of a circumstantial coup, i.e. not convening the National Assembly and thus taking over presidential powers? What is the absence of any coherent and thoughtful Information policy on immigrants At the border? Finally: what is the thought of a multi-month reconstruction, which is not only another signal, that power deals mainly with itself, but besides generating additional frictions in the already shaking coalition seams?

If individual were to drop Tusk off a mole, it would seem that he would be aiming at precisely what he is now doing internally quarreling, conspiracies and visions of a coup d'état coalition. I'm amazed these people have late gained power.

Holownia game makes sense

A increasing number of politicians sense the sad end of the coalition on October 15 and effort to escape this mattnia or at least reverse their fate. That's what Simon Holovnia was expected to be, not for the PiS, but for Tusk. It was meant to be the 3rd Road, thanks to which voters disappointed in Tuski will return to the bosom of the alliance of democratic parties.

And it worked. Together with PSL, Poland 2050 crossed the coalition threshold, scoring a very good 14.4 percent. So many people believed that another liberal policy was possible. It shortly turned out to be not. The closer Holovnia got to Tusk, the little his support was. In the presidential election, the 3rd Road compared to the election in 2023 lost over 2 million voters. Holowna's strategy proved to be a flop, and the PSL in consequence to the defeat actually broke the coalition.

The holovnia yet realized that the closer Tusk is, the closer to political death, so in the presidential run he started the charge, among others torpedoing the debate in Koński. At times, this desperate effort may have saved him from falling below 4% and gave him a small hope of saving the full project, which is only possible by peeling off Donald Tusk – whether symbolic or real.

From this perspective, the gathering with Kaczyński and the full game taken by Hołownia makes sense. Leader Poland 2050 Not only does he push himself into the coalition and threatens Tusk to overthrow his government, but he besides shows voters that he inactive wants to be the “third road” and not just the Bis Platform. but in all this challenging game, he lacked skill, imagination, cunning and experience. So everything that Kosiniak-Kamysz has, who personally did not go to the meeting, but in a unusual coincidence, Senator Michał Kamiński was selected there from the PSL letter.

A large asset, but besides a paralyzing responsibility smaller coalition parties It is possible to deprive Tusk of the majority. This could be an excellent component of political bidding if not for breaking up the coalition liberal media will eat anyone who does it. Therefore, the decision together, which did not enter the coalition, proved clever, but at the same time its opposition did not overthrow Tusk's rule.

First stages of political mourning

The exit of Holown or the Black 1 would have already led to specified overthrow, so their parties were afraid to bid so far. Nobody wants the traitor's odium hanging over it, especially since unlike the voters Together, present already immune to the eternal "guilty of Zandberg", Holowna voters inactive appreciate the argument of various talking heads of liberal side – theoretically independent experts, in practice always going through analyses along the line of the current Prime Minister.

That's why the full thought of Holowna burned down: to make specified a large volt, first you had to prepare the propaganda ground, then find a reliable (for voters) reason to throw papers in the coalition, number the swords at the club. Above all: to send a trusted negotiator to negotiate, not to meet the enemy himself at night, which for many voters is increasingly Confederate Kaczyński.

The holovnia did it in the worst possible style, without any media cover, and that's at the minute erstwhile his alleged objection to giving up the march is taken on the wallpaper. In a sense, he acted precisely as the full coalition has been acting for over a year: unsuccessfully to the limits of comicism.

The funniest (or most tragic) is, however, that from the position of the functioning of the state it may be worth to cheer for it to be Hołownia with Kosiniak to get along with Kaczyński. If Kaczyński is actually going to win, it is better for his coalition to be moderately right-wing Poland 2050 than the extremist Confederation.

However, this would mean accepting defeat. However, the coalition audience is only in the second phase of political mourning. Until the last, or acceptance, there is inactive any time left.