“Poles did not get frightened of the large France”, “Poles wiped out France’s nose” in “the conflict for honor”, which must be saved, due to the fact that the Polish squad was the first to fall out of the games.
I'm not a large football expert, but I can see that just 1 Iga of Christmas is rather enough, 1 Lewandowski It's just not adequate – due to the fact that the game is teamed and the opponent has a squad too. Looking at Lewandowski's loneliness on the field, at how his charisma and position do not strengthen, but he seems to paralyze and embarrass the remainder of the players, wanting to not want to think about Donald Tusk's loneliness. And I'm afraid if the game doesn't change, we'll lose. The threat of the PiS coming back is real.
The wave of enthusiasm that allowed the populists to be removed from power in October 2023 collapsed immediately after the election. It turned out that the agreement between democratic parties was not strategic, but simply tactical, for a moment. Immediately after jumping over the first of a number of obstacles, the winning coalition politicians began to argue with each other, and publicists explained that coalitionists are doing this to separate themselves. However, Local elections and Europeans have shown that this method is not working. Voters are little and less, and the distance between Democrats and PiS is not increasing.
In interior fights the 3rd Road and Left lose, only the Civic Coalition gains, but slightly. Yes, she managed to outrun the Law and Justice by little than a percent point in the European elections, but if they were national parliamentary elections, the government would not be able to create.
The European and parliamentary elections are different, but how will the results of the June 9 elections be imposed via IBRiS for OnetuIt's hard to have any illusions about trends.
Today, 59.8% of voters would go to the parliamentary elections, of which only 42.1 percent would definitely go. 33.8 percent would vote for KO, 32.1 percent for PiS – this is only a somewhat larger difference than in the European elections, where KO received 37.1 percent and PiS 36.2 percent.
As in the European elections, the third-place poll included the Confederate, ahead of the 3rd Road, whose support fell to 8.7 percent (in the Euro-TD election she got 6.9 percent). Support for the Left besides falls, the poll of which gave 6.9 percent (in Euro-elections it claimed 6.3 percent).
The Confederate, which won 12.1 percent in the European elections, has 9% support in the Onetu poll. With this result, she could bring as many as 38 Members into the Sejm.
The democratic calibration at best would have had 15 less MPs, or 233, out of 248, which gives only 3 votes in favour of the United Right and the Confederacy, and creates a field for dragging more conservative KO or PSL MPs. At worst, if the poll were to prove imprecise, the 3rd Road would fall under the electoral threshold.
Are 26 more Members for KOs truly worth it? Should Donald Tusk's weakness of coalition partners be a reason for joy? Yeah, he's on phase almost alone.
Populism to populism, or more populism
Of course, the decline in support of the 3rd Way and Left is not the responsibility of Tusk, but above all the leaders of these groups. This is not due to Tusk either, due to the fact that the votes of voters of these weakening parties do not crowd into KO, but they either stay in their homes or join the increasing pool of undecided. They're disappointed.
After 8 years of emergency, which was given to us by the government of the Law and Justice, the Poles declared to reconstruct the regulation of law, the European state, the rational state. alternatively of fighting without the rules, he had a political dispute – was the advanced turnout not only a consequence of fear of the 3rd word of the Law and Justice, but besides a bonus for approval on the democratic side?
The government has changed, populism has remained. The only clearer thought for a state is to build the east flank of the fortress of Europe, a country of endless emergency, where civilian rights are increasingly little and less, as are human rights.
Other conferences against the background of soldiers, political interference in the activities of institutions, which were to be yet independent, organizing changes in laws between Friday and Monday, on the Prime Minister's phone, races for racist slogans, brake roles in the European Parliament on migration and climate issues. The second – as the Green MP Urszula Zielińska explained in the morning of Tok FM – to convince farmers that they were not in danger, and the PSL that they were in the coalition.
Everything, but for the memes and spots produced by the Confederate and the PiS. Which means that the game is inactive played on the written field, it is reactive, defensive, and besides based on 1 star. Does that remind you of anything?
The next ministers seem to be in the light of Donald Tusk to go nowhere, to fade, everyone repeats the same, no 1 dares to say, "Holy, holy President..." What am I writing here! – Prime Minister, of course.
Lewandowski's loneliness on the field brings no victory. The loneliness of Tusk in politics too. due to the fact that along with the weakening coalition, the figures that were expected to be the guarantor of national consent are weakening, even if the road to it is simply a twist. Meanwhile, the Left is weakening, the Holovnia is weakening, Bodnar is weakening, Trzaskowski is increasing more predatory and hungry for power Roman Gierty and Radosław Sikorski.
Gierty clearly throws Adam Bodnar a glove. Whether he wants the full kingdom, or the portfolio of the lawyer General and Minister of Justice, or only half, you can see that the legal node – a trap set by the PiS and Solidarna Poland, which were RPO gradually, but with respect for the law it melts, Gierty wants to cut, responding with a populist movement to the dreams of the toughest part of the PO electorate.
Next to the left-wing, gentle Trzaskowski, Radosław Sikorski grows – who, although talking about security, seems to think of war as an adventure, which in the case of politics should seriously disturb. He can besides respond to the needs of only the Strong Together.
And the next election shows that the toughest electorate PO is not enough.
Coalition October 15 game Ode to Joy
What is needed to assemble a wave of social enthusiasm, so that it sweeps the populists for longer, so that the Democratic coalition wins not by a hair but decisively?
Jarosław Kaczyński at a conference in Pułtusek has already announced that he will be having fun and together with the presidential run he will propose a referendum run to unilaterally break the migration pact.
Tusk in this game He won't win. For PiS voters, she'll be a fake anyway, and her own sober electorate will be discouraged.
We request an immediate resuscitation of the Coalition on October 15th, a revision of the coalition pact, the ending of embarrassing skirmishes of the 3rd Way and the Left, and a callback of the priorities, with whom and what the game is about. It will be a representation that will not fall out of the games.
Instead of going to the front, can he usage his opponent's strength? A clear merit of the Law and Justice Office, commonly felt are: 500 plus and minimum increases, i.e. mostly a somewhat better state of wealth of Poles, and an increase in aspiration.
For this increase in aspiration, the power is now promising belt tighteningWhich will surely not bring her popularity. More likely, the fears of the PiS that Tusk is unemployment are poverty.
Since the PiS hits on fears, let the Coalition play on aspirations, reaching for programs of all parties: from the Left flat to the rental, from Holowniak and Kosiniak-Kamisha support entrepreneurs, from the PO European ambitions.
Kaczyński could not answer the awakened aspirations. The coalition can: unblocked money from the KPO, led to the abolition of the procedure with Article 7, fixing the regulation of law – it is truly a fresh phase of Poland in Europe, it is simply a leap of civilization. Just tell it and show it in all municipality. The populists will vanish like a mara and it will be the planet championship.
