Although no final results have been announced, Donald Trump's election triumph seems certain. Newsmax portal was the first to decide to study at 1:23 am that Trump would become the 27th president of the United States. Then another tv stations besides felt that the Democratic candidate had no chance of recovering key states. At the same time, it is already known that the Republicans have regained a slight advantage in the Senate. They will so influence the nomination of candidates for leading positions in the state, including judges. The question of maintaining Trump's organization advantage in the home of Representatives is at stake.
As it turned out rather quickly, the erstwhile head of state gained an advantage in Pennsylvania, which, along with his triumph in another states, gives him the key 270 electorate votes essential to become the 47th president of the United States.
Despite her fierce rivalry, Harris was incapable to defeat her rival. Then, as data came in after calculating more votes in different states, Trump's advantage became increasingly apparent. So much so that the newsmax editorial board, followed by another media, decided to talk – before announcing authoritative results – that Trump won the election.
Republican candidate defeated Harris in the key states of “hailcraft”: Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan.
Republicans in Georgia have won all second election since 1996. In 2020, Joe Biden had a slight advantage in this state. To better forecast the candidate's triumph – and 1 can't forget that the presidential race was rather even – for Trump and Harris the key were successes in 7 states: Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan and Nevada.
Trump first occupied North Carolina, then Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
With the resulting election results, the moods in the Democratic candidate's staff grew worse. Co-president of the Harris campaign, Cedric Richmond, told the audience gathered at an election night at Howard University that the current vice president would not speak, but the staff does not quit the fight against Trump.
Earlier American ambassadors in the European capitals, but for Rome, had cancelled election events during which diplomats, journalists and politicians met pending results.
Republicans can besides be satisfied with the recovery of the advantage – albeit insignificant – in the Senate. This will influence the appointment of judges and advanced officials to key positions in the state. It was decided to win 2 candidates in West Virginia and Ohio. The issue of maintaining the majority in the lower home of Representatives is at stake, although the Republicans have besides noted the first profits. They won in Pennsylvania's rival-controlled district, which includes Scranton, president Joe Biden's hometown. They besides took over the mandates in North Carolina, whose boundaries as a constituency were changed in favour of the Democrats. These, on the another hand, have obtained mandates held by Republicans in the northern part of the state of fresh York and Alabama, whose boundaries have been changed in connection with the United States ultimate Court order requiring the formation of a territory with most blacks. At least six mandates are needed to take control of the lower home of Democrats. The results on the home of Representatives will be known in a fewer days. The differences between the parties are insignificant and in the event of the Democrats taking over the House, the Trump administration may have difficulties in ruling.
If nothing extraordinary happens, Donald Trump has a chance to be sworn in for a second term, almost 4 years after leaving the White home in an atmosphere of scandal and with an uncertain political future. any commentators "buried" him while he was alive, reasoning he was politically "finished".
Not only did he face many accusations and trials, but he was besides tried twice to take his life during the presidential campaign. He was besides regularly segregated with access to mainstream media. Trump has a chance to be the first president in over 120 years who lost the White home and then returned and won it again – after Grover Cleveland in 1892.
Voters are curious in migration, safety and advanced costs of living
The Americans, choosing Trump, hope to address inflation, advanced life costs, migration, as well as increased crime and instability abroad.
Interestingly, despite the strenuous efforts of the Harris campaign, trying to gain absolute support from the colored population, the Hispanics – including many young men – as well as blacks and Islamists gladly voted for Trump.
Trump undertook to carry out the largest deportation operation in the past of the country. He's going to proceed to cut taxes, fight ideology. gender, including in peculiar the privileges of transsexuals, which motivated many communities to initiate cultural counter-revolution. It is to close the Department of Education and impose universal advanced duties on goods imported from abroad. At the same time, he promised to reduce environmental and climate protection regulations.
During the campaign, he performed volts, acknowledging that the delicate issue of the freedom to kill unborn children should be decided by the states themselves. Currently, on the occasion of the presidential and complementary elections to Congress, 4 states voted to keep the alleged abortion rights. These include Missouri, Colorado, Maryland and fresh York. In Florida, life defenders were victorious, and in 5 another states where amendments to the state constitution were voted on, the results are not yet known. Abortion supporters now gotta ask the courts to repeal or adjust anti-abortion regulations to the results of referendums on this issue.
Orban: "a beautiful victory". Trump: “Golden Age of America”
Hungarian Prime Minister Victor Orban, to whom Trump has always addressed first, if he wanted to know what was happening in Europe, rejoices at the "beautiful victory" of the Republican candidate. Orban pointed out that Europe would gotta rethink its support for Ukraine, due to the fact that Trump would surely search to reduce it, and Europe would "not be able to bear the burden of war alone." On Sunday before the election, the Hungarian leader said: – We [in Europe] request to realise that if there is simply a president in America who advocates peace – which I do not only believe, but besides read data that way – if what we anticipate and America becomes pro-peaceful, then Europe cannot stay pro-war. The Ukrainian issue is to be given precedence at the European Political Community gathering in Budapest.
Orban's squad helped Trump's staff with migration and pro-family policies. Moreover, the erstwhile European Commissioner for the Single marketplace Thiery Breton spoke about this, threatening that if Trump wins, he and Orban will be leading a "terrifying policy in the defence of a conventional family". Eurocrat added that this choice will mean a "catastrophe for Europe".
The Republican presidential candidate himself spoke, promising that America would be "a golden age". Turning to his sympathizers at the West Palm Beach Convention Center – after Newsmax announced him the winner of this year's election – he promised to “fight for all citizen, for all household and for your future all day.”
Trump has promised that he will not remainder until he has won a strong, safer and prosperous America. He appealed to sympathizers Harris to join him to unite a divided country.
He'll defend freedom of speech?
Trump's triumph has another crucial dimension. It was recognised that it could fight and defend freedom of speech in America, so badly violated by the Biden – Harris administration, which committed scandalous actions to censor messages in the media, while leading a pushy propaganda of vocalism and genderism, initiating operations to influence perception.
Among another things, the defence of free speech attracted sympathizers to Trump, and “toxic femininity and awakening” repelled men, Jews, Muslims, and billionaires from Harris. Trump was to gain large sympathy after an interview given to popular youtuber Joe Rogan, during which a number of taboo topics were addressed. Among another things, there was talk about the feelings of Whoopi Goldberg and the women from The View that Trump had before moving for president, killing whales by windmill farms, revealing papers concerning the assassination of president JFK, which Trump promised to print and many another issues.
Harris' desperate actions taken in the end of the presidential race – erstwhile she accused Trump of fascism and sympathy with Hitler – did not aid her. Like another scandalous mainstream media violations.
Towards Trump, Sundar Pichai, Google's CEO, besides turned to congratulate McDonald's action. Similarly, Apple CEO Tim Cook called him to complain about the censoring activities of the European Union regulators. The leaders of the arabian and Muslim community in Michigan supported Trump due to the fact that he "promised peace alternatively than war."
And what will happen erstwhile the fresh president is sworn in?
Concerns about customs, slowing down trade and climate policy
Certainly Trump's victories are feared by supply chain and trade specialists in general. According to Dimerco's latest study on air freight, maritime freight and widely understood logistics from the Asia-Pacific region, many companies have concerns about the possible 200 percent increase in customs duties on Chinese goods. ‘If these concerns persist, companies may rush to finalise deliveries before the inauguration on 20 January 2025 or experience delays until fresh tariffs are announced. Stakeholders must be alert and adaptable in this uncertain atmosphere," advises Dimerco, which at the same time indicates a slowdown in production. The PMI for the planet manufacture fell from 49,5 to 48,8 in September, below the levels of the same period as last year. India recorded a reading of 56,5 compared to 57,5 in September 2023. However, the highest rates among the monitored regions propose that global economical growth in the financial year 2024 is likely to be around 2.5 percent, which is little than the average GDP growth before the alleged pandemic, which was 3.1 percent in the erstwhile decade.
European logistics is in a hurry to import many goods. You wait longer for packages. Freight costs are rising to Europe and the United States from northern and confederate China. In addition, conflicts in the mediate East and Ukraine distort the air cargo capacity between Asia and Europe, which translates into shortages of certain goods.
The Chinese are besides afraid about the disruption of trade due to Europe's planned introduction of a carbon taxation at the border. That is why they have already asked Washington and Brussels to launch talks at the UN COP 29 Climate Summit on border carbon taxes and another "restrictive trade measures" which, according to Beijing, harm developing countries.
The Turkish "Daily Sabah" pointed to the future US policy towards African countries, which are facing fresh economical opportunities and which are threatened by fresh safety challenges and increased global competition between the US and China. Africa is undoubtedly the main object of global interest, frequently creating competition between powers fighting for influence. Without the engagement of the countries of North Africa in supplying hydrogen to the EU, there is besides no chance that the European Green Deal will succeed.
It was for African leaders and citizens that the U.S. election rate was enormous, as Trump's second administration or president Harris could have brought a distinctly different approach to US-Africa relations.
Given the 3 critical areas in which the fresh US administration could importantly influence Africa's policy trajectory: economical commitment, safety cooperation and the rampaging of Africa in the US-China rivalry, the Turkish paper predicted that if Trump was elected, its administration would focus on stimulating American business investment in Africa by removing regulatory barriers and creating more favourable conditions for US companies. A "Trump's business experience suggests that it can implement contracts with immediate profits, specified as resource extraction and infrastructure projects, with clear benefits for American companies".
Trump's administration would support more private sector investment and little government aid schemes. Private capital and bilateral agreements will drive faster growth, but hazard leaving smaller economies or those without crucial resources at a disadvantage.
In terms of Trump's approach to trade, it favours bilateral agreements with strong partners. The fresh president would support, as during his first term, the African Growth and Opportunities Act (AGOA), which has been facilitating exports from the Black Land to the American marketplace for 2 decades. Support for the improvement of infrastructure and investment in education and technologies that are essential for sustainable growth remains uncertain.
There is simply a good chance that the fresh administration will want to deal more rapidly with the terrorist threat in regions specified as the Sahel, the Chad Lake basin and the Horn of Africa. Therefore, military engagement through the United States Command in Africa (AFRICOM) is likely.
At the same time, US competition is expected to intensify – China for resources, infrastructure and telecommunications. "Trump's willingness to impose duties on Chinese goods and restrict access to Chinese technology can force African countries to choose between strategical allies, which can lead to more polarisation on the continent," the Turkish diary diagnoses. It advises African leaders to "take control" and "determine the continent's improvement paths with greater autonomy and vision", uniting through the African Union (AU) and regional organisations in a dynamic change of power.
The Canadian “Global Times” is primarily afraid about Trump's more protectionist trade policy than the politician crews. In 2026, the Trump administration will again receive a review of Canada-US-Mexico contract policy. The Canadians fear the promised 10% rate imposed on all goods imported to the US. The study of their National Chamber of Commerce suggests that these duties would shrink the native economy, causing economical costs of $30 billion a year.
American economists warned that Trump's plan could origin inflation or even recession, which would almost surely have negative effects in Canada. Over 77 percent of Canadian exports go to the United States, and trade covers 60 percent of Canada's gross home product.
The consequence of the election can besides redefine the function of America in the world. Trump is critical of providing assistance to Ukraine, attacking the UN and another global organisations. He repeatedly claimed that he would not defend NATO members who would not accomplish defence spending targets of at least 2% of GDP, and Canada intends to accomplish this goal only in 2032.
Just before the election, scientists who besides dealt with global relations from American universities and universities were asked about the consequences of Trump's or Harris' choice for American abroad policy. They considered that the Democratic candidate would be more effective in dealing with global challenges.
The survey was conducted in mid-October as part of the Teaching, investigation and global Policy task at the Global investigation Institute William & Mary’s, with the support of Carnegie corp from fresh York City. The results were published in a progressive magazine "Foreign Policy".
These “experts” clearly favored Harris. The surveyed scholars feared that there was an 80% chance that Trump would retreat again from the Paris Agreement on Climate Change mitigation and management. In accordance with the 2015 agreement, countries have been presenting their National Climate Action Plans since 2020, called national contributions (NDCs). Each subsequent NDC is expected to reflect an increasingly higher level of ambition compared to the erstwhile version. Trump has repeatedly pointed out that "climate change" is simply a "mystification" and the problem is not global warming, but "nuclear warming", given what 1 tiny atomic bomb can origin havoc on human demolition and harm to the environment. Trump, however, will have difficulty repealing the inflation simplification bill, which includes extraordinary support for "green technologies" of $370 billion.
Experts do not anticipate America to be withdrawn from NATO. Similarly, they believe Trump will prosecute a consistent policy towards Iran without allowing this country to gain atomic weapons. However, the United States will surely rise customs under the fresh administration. Experts besides anticipate to increase military aid to Israel, but only 16% believe that Washington will strengthen the Ukrainian army in the context of specified a result.
For the question which candidate would "more frequently usage military force abroad", 26 percent of respondents chose Harris, compared with 14 percent Trump, whom they see as a "non-interventionist".
However, on an highly crucial issue of China, scholars have seen similarities between Trump and Harris, including in terms of assessing the likelihood of intervention in case Beijing uses force against Taiwan. The probability is 32 percent under Trump and would be 25 percent under Harris.
Experts besides foretell that regardless of the winner, defence spending will increase. The chances of involving more countries in direct armed conflict in the mediate East will besides rise.
She peculiarly shocked 1 consequence regarding the ability to lead the U.S. Army and to be an effective chief commander. As many as 87% of scholars stated that they were either “very confident” or “enough confident” of Harris' ability. But only 6 percent said the same thing about Trump.
Similarly, 92% of the experts asked said that Harris would be the 1 to deal with the problems of abroad policy facing the United States today. And abroad governments would be more willing to cooperate with the Harris administration than Trump.
The Republican president can surely thwart the plans of European politicians to federalise Europe if any countries enter a strong alliance with the US. It will surely make trade with China more difficult, which will translate into the condition of the German or French economy, and consequently the full EU economy.
French and German leaders promised “stronger European unity” after Trump's victory. Macron claims that France and Germany will work for a "more sovereign Europe", while maintaining cooperation with the US in the defence of common interests.
The French president has already called the German Chancellor and agreed that they will act "for a more united, stronger and more sovereign Europe in this fresh context", "working with the United States of America and defending our interests and values."
With Trump's victory, fresh hope entered the ranks of the United Right.
Agnieszka Stelmach
