The 3rd planet War is on the line and it can spill across Europe. There is no point in specified spells as “it is already on” and “we are taking part in it”. I compose about the real participation of the military bloc, which we are part of in the war with the Russian Federation. War in our country. The scale and results of this clash would weigh on the destiny of mankind for generations. There is no warrant that our nation would last specified a biological clash. We're just a thick provocation of 1 of the parties involved.
Everyone is very tired of the conflict in Ukraine. This war, whatever the minute it begins, is longer than planet War I. Head of the French National Unity Marine Le Pen She warned that NATO's direct entry into the war in Ukraine would mean planet War III, while the alternate could be a conflict that lasted decades, which she called the 100-year war. The French sovereigns have called this conflict a "real slaughter" and I hope that they have overestimated that 2 million people have already fallen into it.
Practically in Poland nobody talks about the necessity of peace, but practically everyone talks about war. In my opinion, for the vast majority of the establishment in Poland, “war has become obvious.” What does that come from? In my opinion, to a large degree they pay off debts. Western scholarships, trainings, grants and acquaintances enabled them to do their careers in the 3rd Polish Republic. Nothing is free – he says Janusz Gajos in the ‘Executer’. Thus, no 1 practically disputes the unreasonable debt of our country for generations to buy weapons for astronomical money and to hand it to Ukraine.
Few critics of non-reflective arms and peace supporters with Russia are referred to as traitors, malcontents and “Russian onuc”. That's what happens to the erstwhile prime minister. Leszek Miller, prof. Grzegorz Kolodka, Prof. Anna Raźny, Prof. Maria Szyszkowska, ed. Jan Engelgard, Euro MP Grzegorz Braun, MP Roman Fritz, analysts Leszek Sykulski and Krzysztof Podgórski or Nestor of the Polish right Janusz Korwin-Mikke. Even without pro-war engrossing athletes and artists.
This has continued continuously for over 4 years. But the rhetoric of the rulers and the media has late intensified. The war takes place on respective levels, including propaganda-information. And both sides usage these tools, though completely disproportionately. However, I think this time it may be something much bigger than the application of a socio-technical strategy called “the management of fear”. Speeches by leading politicians in Europe, and especially in Poland, rise concerns about the real conflict between the European part of NATO and the Russian Federation. There is no uncertainty about what state is the main weapon metastatic base in Ukraine and where the crushing region is located. Poland is simply a country that should blow on the ground.
The fact that the founder arrived in Poland is worrying Geopolitical Futures and architect of the modern concept of the trim George Fridman. State Secretary Chief of the Office of global Policy in the Chancellery of the president of Poland Marcin Policz he arranged to meet with representatives of the media, politics, think tanks and the planet of discipline and business. The discussion concerned, according to his account, the future of transatlantic relations, European security, US policy, and the function of the region in the global order in connection with the Russian-Ukrainian war. This may be an effort to attract, not entirely convinced of all the "Ukrainian rations" of the president Karol Nawrocki to the pro-war chariot. Many years ago, the editor of Bogusław Jeznach warned against this hawk and atlantist.
On the occasion of the 87th anniversary of the USSR's aggression against Poland, Prime Minister Donald Tusk made the recording available with a speech to Poles. Tusk stated: “And present I talk with all my might, and we will not be intimidated... We're not looking for a war, but if anyone dares to attack us, they will meet with a firm answer. Ours and our allies.” Head of the MON Władysław Kosiniak-Kamish He said that Russia's actions towards NATO are systemic alternatively than informal. He added that we are dealing with aggression against NATO, with aggression towards the European Union, with aggression towards Poland, with systemic aggression, not with episodes (...) the situation is the most dangerous“. Those are words that should make us anxious.
Prime Minister Donald Tusk He went on to say in his speech: “There is simply a real hazard that drones may enter NATO to weaken the motivation of the alliance (...) There is simply a real hazard that drones or missiles may enter 1 of the east flank states, origin damage, and the authoritative communicative will be that this is simply a complete coincidence and that there is no reason to respond.‘. The Prime Minister besides linked this issue to the "growing waves of Western pacifism", pointing out naivety to global leaders, including U.S. president Donald Trump's administration. This coincided with the analysis of creating reasoning Poles through the media of the Institute of east Studies (ISW). According to the ‘Rzeczpospolita’ analysis of ISW, 1 of the possible real scenarios is limited Russian air, rocket or drone strikes or land operations against 1 of the Baltic States. Russia, according to the ISW, could besides effort to occupy a tiny condition of NATO territory.
It's very disturbing. all sensible man remembers at this point the words of the erstwhile president of Poland Andrzej Dudathat the leader of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenski in 2022 he tried to drag Poland into the war with Russia. The pretext was to kill 2 Poles in Więwo by the Russians. Turns out we were dealing with a rocket launched by Ukrainian anti-aircraft defense. Proukrian Duda in conversation with a writer Bogdan Rymanowski He said: “They've been trying to get everyone into war all along. It's obvious, it's in their interest, and it's best if we can get the NATO countries into war. It is clear that they are seeking those who would fight actively against the Russians on their side. This has been happening since day one.‘. It's worth remembering. Provocations are possible from each side and in each direction.
Head of the Polish MFA Radosław Sikorski called on NATO to organize more intensive military exercises close the Russian Kaliningrad region. The speech was given at the yearly Yale European strategy conference in Kiev organized by the Ukrainian oligarch foundation Viktor Pinchuk. Sikorski said: “If Russia had attacked us and we had taken on gloves, I think we would have defeated Russia rather quickly. We have an overwhelming advantage over Russia in the air." The head of Polish diplomacy estimated that NATO states have a full of around 2,500 aircraft. He stressed that the advantage over Russian aviation would stay crucial even without considering the United States forces. This evidently triggered Moscow's reaction.
The Russian side traditionally denies that they want war on NATO states. At the same time, they keep and even strengthen their earlier position on the Ukrainian issue. Head of the Russian MFA Sergei Lavrov said: ‘Russia has repeatedly said that we are not going to attack Western countries and we are not interested. But if Europe, which regularly talks about preparations for war with Russia, attacks the Russian Federation, it will be a different war and it will be very shortIt’s okay. ” He besides added that the deployment of western military quotas in Ukraine would be treated by Moscow as a declaration of war.
Deputy Minister for abroad Affairs of Russia, Aleksandr Gruszko "To be honest, I don't want to comment on Sikorski's statements due to the fact that I think people in white aprons should comment on them... It is amazing that the Minister of abroad Affairs makes statements that, erstwhile again, escalate tensions and pose threats to Poland itself. It seemed that as a abroad minister he was paid to do everything in his power to strengthen Poland's security.”
Advisor to Russian president Vladimir Putin Nikolai Patrushev gave an interview to the weekly “Argumients and Facts” in which he besides referred to the words of the head of diplomacy in Poland. He said: "In the event of Poland's accession to armed action against Russia, our country will usage the full arsenal of forces and resources at its disposal, and Polish statehood will cease to be in 2 or 3 days." He added that: "The head of Polish diplomacy clearly assesses the military strength of our country in an amateur way, not wanting to realize that during a peculiar military operation the Russian armed forces do not full exploit their potential".
Vice-President of the Defence Commission in Duma Alexey Cranelev stated that for the hypothetical seizure of Warsaw "two brigades of the Russian army will suffice". He besides expressed the opinion that to get Radosław Sikorski to quit his attempts to defeat Russia, it was adequate for “a Russian fighter to fly close Polish airspace”.
Even further in his opinions went influential Russian writer and propaganda author “Komsomolskaya Truth” Aleksandr Koc. According to him, the head of the Polish Ministry of abroad Affairs Radosław Sikorski Speaking of defeating the Russian Federation, Sikorski presented a concrete assessment of the situation of Warsaw and Brussels. According to him, it's not a rhetorical figure in the debate, it's a war plan. He stated: “This means that a military operation against us has already been planned there, that the essential force and resources have been calculated, that deadlines have been set, and that precedence and secondary objectives have been set. They besides concluded that they would deal with us within a period and a half." Koc added that if the European Union attacks the Russian Federation, it will “change into a large crater”.
This time there is besides a concern about the visit of the American side to Belarus. peculiar typical of US president Donald Trump arrived in Minsk John Coale. According to an American's account at a gathering with the president of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko "International issues, bilateral matters and another issues of common interest" and "agreed to an interim agreement" were discussed. Czech analysts suggested that possibly the U.S. delegation wanted to convince Belarus of its far-reaching neutrality during the possible conflict between the European part of NATO and the Russian Federation. According to any commentators, the U.S. typical could besides propose that his country would effort to distance itself from any possible conflict. I don't know how real this is, but this hypothesis can't be rejected today.
There are besides a number of another issues that concern us. "Think Poland" presents in the regular Information Service. They concern both Poland and another European Union countries. Here are any examples.
President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen announced the launch of a programme of joint European and Ukrainian defence projects utilizing the remaining resources from SAFE. Up to EUR 20,000,000 of additional reinforcement money can be included in the pool. According to the findings of “Rzeczpospolita” , the authorities in Poland have transferred respective missiles to the Patriot system. A fewer days ago, representatives of the Ukrainian Ministry of Defence informed that the value of the Polish grant for Ukraine would amount to EUR 50,000,000 and there would be air defence measures.
The Polish military began strengthening the infrastructure utilized by the Border defender at the border with Ukraine. In Dorohusk, Medica and Korczowa, reflection and defender stations are being created, and bomb squads usage the HESCO Bastion strategy erstwhile building fortifications. The case was reported on his social media, including a military expert Krzysztof Podgórski. On the another hand, Military Recruitment Centers (WCR) began shipping mobilization cards. The paper specifies where and at what time a individual is to appear in the event of a declaration of mobilization or outbreak of war. The specified fact of receiving specified a charter does not mean that military mobilization has already begun. But that, too, is simply a concern. The mobilization card can be sent to: reserve soldiers with appropriate qualifications and specialists in key fields, including medicine, logistics, computer discipline and communications.
The secret German unit already supports Ukraine. A secretive squad in the German Ministry of Defence has become a key mechanics for providing military support to Ukraine," says Interia citing the “Financial Times” cited by UNIAN. Sonderstab Ukraine may conclude arms agreements within 2 weeks, thereby bypassing the complicated legal way in Germany. 1 of the most crucial results of the unit's activities was to finance the Ukrainian air defence strategy IRIS-T.
At the same time, the German Minister for Defence Boris Pistorius He ordered the mandatory transfer of parts of soldiers to form the Bundeswehr brigade in Lithuania in full – he informed his ministry on 14 September. The order includes respective 100 soldiers. The German Ministry of Defence stressed that thanks to volunteers almost 80% of the positions in the 45th armoured brigade of “Lithuania” are now filled. The deployment of the unit in Lithuania is the government's consequence in Berlin to change the safety situation in Europe. Almost 5,000 German soldiers and 200 civilian workers are to be stationed on site according to the Chinese press.
According to Bloomberg, the German authorities are reviewing the infrastructure and wellness care strategy to measure their ability to function under conditions of war. According to the German armed forces, in the event of the Russia-NATO war, the RFN must number on receiving as many as a 1000 wounded daily.
Sometimes even tiny and seemingly unimportant information causes anxiety at the present time. According to Kresa portal, Danish armed forces will begin training parish priests in the event of a major war in Europe. 1 of the scenarios under consideration assumes the request to organise funerals even for 10–20 dead soldiers a day. Military chaplains are trained from military pastoral service, global humanitarian law and matters concerning the functioning of the army.
We are against the opinion of self-proclaimed onuc hunters, hermetically locked from the influence of information and propaganda of the Russian Federation. We don't know what's truly going on in Russia. fewer honest journalists get there and give propaganda-free information – specified an exception late is the editor of the Strike portal Maciej Wiśniowski. His account of his stay in Russia ‘NO’ Week is far from optimistic.
The Swiss press wrote a fewer days ago that 3,000 kilometers east of Moscow, beyond the scope of Ukraine and NATO, is building a gigantic modern complex designed to manufacture and store rocket components. The object is to be equipped with an advanced protection strategy against drone attacks.
In a documentary directed Vladimir Solovyov entitled "World Order 2018" (ros. Миропорядок 2018) president of Russia Vladimir Putin says: "If individual decides to destruct Russia, we have all right to reply. Yes, for humanity it will be a global disaster, for the planet too. But as a Russian citizen and the head of the Russian state I want to ask the question: why do we request specified a planet if Russia is not there?”
In February of that year, the Russian MFA issued a message on the hazard of "direct military confrontation between atomic powers". Russian policy assumes the protection of Russia and its allies against the aggression of a possible opponent, and in the event of an armed conflict, prevent and end escalation of war activities on conditions acceptable to the Russian Federation.
All this draws a highly worrying image of the future. There is no country in Europe that should be more curious in ending the war, like Poland, which will be the first to be exposed to consequences in the event of an exacerbated military situation. We Polish should be lobbying all over Europe with the Czechs and Slovaks behind peace. Unfortunately, there is no serious political force on the right and left in Poland, which would have the courage to say clearly: "We will not die for abroad interests". And it is not about Ukraine itself – due to the fact that in the interests of its inhabitants there is absolutely peace – only the rule of looking at politics through the prism of benefits to our nation. It's about following a healthy national egoism.
Łukasz Jastrzeżski
