There are 7 of them and they will decide on the result of the November presidential election in the US. These states include Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. In the remaining 43 states, the destiny of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is decently settled, as it has been known for years that for example California belongs to democrats, and West Virginia or Wyoming, with large agrarian areas, will support Republicans by a large majority.
Each of the 50 states of America has a certain number of electorate votes that are part of the electoral system. And so, for example, California has as many as 54 electorate votes due to population density, and both Dakotas, where there are not besides many people, just three. Traditionally, each state allocates its electorate votes to 1 party, and all these votes together will decide who will become president. It takes 270 electorative votes to win.
Undecided states swing states) change over decades. A decade ago Virginia, for example, voted for Republicans, but the dense suburbs of the capital just beyond the river gradually gave power to the democrats. It is besides characteristic that while in California life is simply a average rhythm, in Pennsylvania or Wisconsin voters are bombarded with run ads, text messages and phones. organization representatives walk around the neighborhood, knock on houses and effort to convince the unconvinced personally. Postboxes break from political flyers.
For now, indecisive states show that Kamala and Trump are going head-to-head, which means that on election night on 5 November we will have large emotions as we decision from the East Coast to the West (three hours of difference). Each state announces a winner after closing the polling stations, which are open until 7 in the evening.
This year, as in 2016 and 2020, Pennsylvania will most likely decide the election result, which has as many as 18 electorate votes. any experts say that without Pennsylvania you can't win the White House. No wonder both candidates visit this state about erstwhile a week, holding rallies and talking to the local press.
This large and populous state, like America itself, is divided into large cities specified as Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, where the large electoral block is African American, and into agrarian and mountain regions where white Republicans dominate and everyone has guns at home. At the same time, Pennsylvania is 1 of the states where inflation hit people the hardest in the pocket; the prices of articles in stores are truly advanced today. This year, both parties have already spent $350 million agitating voters in Pennsylvania. Let us besides remember that it was in this state that 1 of Trump’s 2 assassinations occurred, which surely impressed voters.
But there's besides a road that Pennsylvania doesn't lead. For example, if Trump had won in Michigan and Wisconsin and took Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina, Kamili Harris would not aid Pennsylvania and Nevada together. Of course, it's just 1 possible scenario.
As past shows, Pennsylvania, Michigan (15 electoral votes) and Wisconsin (10 votes) usually vote for the same candidate. Residents of these states have a akin cultural composition and a akin level of education. At the same time, in the north, the Democrats are besides fighting the Green Party, whose candidate is again Jill Stein, arguing that "The Stein vote is actually the Trump vote". In these states, the fact that Democrats inactive have a problem drawing the working class to themselves will besides play a role.
Michigan is besides a key condition due to the large arabian population (including Palestinians and Lebanese), which is skeptical of the democrats and their submissive policy towards Israel. These are not, of course, Republican environments, but many of these voters can just stay home. This is the second state in which parties spent the most money this year.
As far as Wisconsin is concerned, the Democratic Convention 2024 and the anointing of Kamala Harris took place in Milwaukee, where parties compete not only with Jill Stein, but besides with Robert F. Kennedy Juniorwho, despite his resignation, is inactive on any electoral lists.
In the last 2 presidential elections, the difference of vote between parties was within the limits of a percent point, so Democrats and Republicans are fighting for all voter. The circumstantial feature of Wisconsin is the deficiency of large cities; instead, towns dominate. That means you gotta agitate decently in all county. After the 2016 election, the Democrats concluded that Hillary Clinton might have won if she had gone to Wisconsin, which she had not done in fresh weeks of the campaign. Hence, for almost 10 years, Democrats have been building a dense political infrastructure, which Republicans do not have in that state. In addition, Wisconsin allows you to registry to vote and vote on the same day; consequently, it is impossible to foretell who will appear at the polling stations until the end.
We inactive have states in the southeast, which is North Carolina and Georgia. The key here is the voice of the black population, which is 1 3rd of Georgia's population. As far as the white population is concerned, these are slavish states – inactive conservative.
Finally, we scope the states of the south-west: Arizona and Nevada, in which the problem of immigration from across the confederate border is important. Arizona borders Mexico directly, and Nevada is the state that is slow gathering after the pandemic. An abortion will play a major function in Arizona. The current authorities are fighting the expanding movement of citizens demanding that the right to abortion be guaranteed in the state constitution.
Speculations who win in which indecisive condition, are of course mostly based on polls and polls – and these very failed democrats in 2016, erstwhile it seemed that Hillary Clinton had a guaranteed victory.
These past weeks, Harris. He besides fights for Republican votesThat is, those conservatives who disagree with Trump's policy. Even erstwhile Vice president Dick Cheney, who is mostly liable for the war in Afghanistan and Iraq after the September 11, 2001 attacks, besides announced that he would vote for Kamala – besides due to the fact that he would not give Ukraine back to Russia.
Candidates hotel to desperate moves; Harris, for example, bypasses football matches in indecisive states and attacks the subcastosphere. To the delight of the media appeared among others in podcast Call Her Daddy, Where girls talk about men and dating.
It's 3 weeks until the election.
