Reaching success that went far beyond most predictions, gaining not only an advantage in electorate voices, but besides majority support among the full nation, Donald Trump crushed Kamala Harris, and this 1 move... He put an end to any possible riots or political brawls. Permanently or temporarily? Well, it's been a week, and it's inactive amazingly peaceful. Is this simply due to the amazing scale of victory, or is it more than that?
On the eve of the election, considering their possible results, I wrote I can't tell you who's going to win, but at the current tension level, we'll only have certainty about the winner at the minute of swearing in. Writing these words, I was convinced, on the basis of available information and analysis, that the results were very uncertain, and would alternatively be on the blade. That Kamala Harris, if he wins, won't gain a immense advantage, and similarly, if Trump wins, there's besides small chance of large success. What a lot to say – I was very incorrect in predictions, and small consolation in that that the overwhelming majority of analyses likewise guessed the results of elections and their possible consequences. Anyway, the results weren't on the blade. Trump's triumph was crushing, as he won not only a large majority of electorate votes, but besides a general majority of voters' votes, which in the United States is not conclusive. And here I must confess that before the election, yes, I saw a fewer reasons and polls to fishy Trump could accomplish specified a large victory. I saw – and I put aside, as possible, but besides improbable to insist on it. I considered it apparent that the Democrats would decision heaven and earth to defeat Trump, reaching virtually all possible means, legal or not, just like in 2020. Hence, the conclusion that if Trump wins, it will be a very hard victory, and that even after the win, Democrats will have the strength to actively and aggressively effort to force a change of situation – due to the fact that that is precisely what the Democrats' "war games" treated before the 2020 elections.
Meanwhile, Trump's success actually met these few, highly optimistic predictions for Trump. This in turn made the post-election situation much calmer than I expected. Besides, I guess that's not the only reason. It seems to me that by observing a political conflict in the United States for years, I did not consider 1 origin which has now proved critical – the exhaustion of 1 of the parties. But first things first.
Total Failure and its Effects
The fact is that the moods after the election are drastically different than expected. How the knife ended up talking about Trump-fascist. Democrats – whether it's Kamala Harris, or Joe Biden or Nancy Pelosi, go consecutive in the races to guarantee that although they don't like Trump, they politely hand over power due to the fact that that's what democracy orders – and not a word that dictator should be stopped! Similarly, riots in the streets simply did not materialize. There is no (still) on the streets of Antifa. Liberal students who were almost avant-garde Democrats did not fall out into the streets angry at the planet and determined to fight – only the despaired locked themselves in their homes, and cried on TikToki. The colleges have given them time off, and in any places... cookies, to calm their nerves. The media despairs, Hollywood despairs, but barely hear voices calling for a fierce fight. The decision is only among... tictoque astrologers who have massively predicted Harris' victory, and as for the charlatans, present they say Trump must have "stealed" the election, due to the fact that their luck tellers could not be wrong. In short, the anti-Trump movement is only ridiculous today.
This is partially due to Trump’s victory. His lead is about 3 million votes, his large majority in the electorate college, plus a clear Republican triumph in the Senate, and a smaller but nevertheless a triumph in the home of Representatives, it all throws weapons out of the hands of the Democrats. How can we blame everything on any Russian agents or alleged Fox News lies erstwhile the nation so clearly indicated the winner? All the more so – how do you do it erstwhile you gotta recover from shock? due to the fact that let's know that optimistic predictions of a large triumph were not just for Republicans – I saw a number of analyses, any completely ridiculous, but any based on rational reasons that bode for a immense win Harris. Forget present the reasons they gave, and why they did not materialize – the fact is simply that many Democrats have set themselves up to eventually, with the moles defeat the hated Trump. I hope it didn't end with a heart attack or a stroke in the brain, but this is the level of shock we're talking about. Democrats threw everything against Trump, accusing him of everything possible not only in the media, but besides in the courts, and yet he achieved a ridiculously shocking victory. So what could be done? Nothing, just swallow a frog and at least pretend to accept an election verdict.
Trump so avoided the first threat of simply refusing to admit the rightfulness of the result, or taking any illegal action to change the result – and remember that the Americans were carefully prepared before the election. The station behind the station, the paper behind the newspaper, everywhere was warned that for any reason it would not be easy to number the votes that possibly it would be weeks before we met the final winner. It is hard not to suspect, at least, that behind these warnings there was no desire to prepare the ground for a possible "wonderful" change of outcome, especially as commentators on this occasion repeatedly reminded that a completely average thing is the alleged "red mirage", namely that first it seems that the Republicans are winning, but then, after counting the correspondence votes, it turns out that the Democrats went ahead. Only that the erstwhile Democrats truly made certain that there was specified a large surplus of correspondence votes in the system. This time, however, it was not the case: the Republicans managed to reduce the abuse to any degree in this respect, but besides to mobilise their own voters to vote by correspondence where possible. Consequently, it was not necessary, as was announced, to wait many days for the result of the election – the verdict was known after a fewer hours of closing the premises, and nothing could be done about it.
Will the “resistance movement” truly win?
It is besides crucial that, by gaining an advantage in the legislature and in the House, Republicans have full over the final stages of the election of the President. For this already in the fresh word legislature will approve the vote of electors. It is worth noting that Democrats – including at least 1 associate of legislature – said rather openly in interviews that if Trump wins, then in legislature you should simply reject his appointment, announcing him as a rebel, to whom in the light of the Constitution you can deny power. Yeah, that was the plan. Was it real? Under certain circumstances, yes – in a situation where power, and so the military and police, are inactive wielding Democrats, if Trump had won the presidency by a hair and Democrats had won Congress, of course it would have been real. What's more, even among Republicans, there would be a fistful who would rebel against Trump under specified circumstances. Now it's impossible. With this scale of victory, no "never-Trumper" of Republicans dares to bow to the blast. So no of this – no hope of overturning the election result.
Does all this mean Democrats gotta give up? Not at all. Although the full verchushka recognized the electoral verdict, but in 2016, Hillary Clinton besides congratulated Trump, she besides recognised his triumph on election day – after which he repeats to this day on all occasion that Trump was never decently elected, that he owes his position to Russia. This will surely be the case now. As the Democrats begin to shake off the shock, they will begin to increase their voices to effort something – something, something, anything to halt this terrible dictator.
And so, for example, we'll definitely see any media run targeting the electors. It is not the president, but the electors are elected by the Americans, and although the electors declare for whom the candidate will vote, the very heart of the American system, the last fuse against the "tyranny of the masses", is the freedom of the elector to change his mind. This has never happened before, but in fact – in 2016, attempts were made to persuade electors to refuse Trump's support for "save democracy". This time it'll be similar. However, it is hard to imagine that specified actions could be successful, especially since more than 40 electors would should be "rebellioned", each of whom would know that if his rebellion were to come out, it would be hell.
One might wonder what the Biden administration will come up with. Of course, the government declared a smooth transfer of power and openness to cooperation – but this was besides the case with Obama's administration in 2016, erstwhile behind the facade of polite words were besides engaged in sabotaging Trump from the state administration, and collecting "proofs" until Trump was recalled from office. At the time, any of Trump's men were "shot off" thanks to fake FBI charges. Is that how it's gonna be this time? Of course, if there's any possibility, Biden's men will work. Even at the level of insignificant malice, if that's all they're left with, but if they can make it harder, then so be it. Remember, this is not just a cynical power game. Even though the Democrat's verse secretly thinks Trump's regulation is nothing, the lower echeloned for over 8 years have been fed propaganda that Trump is Hitler, Mussolini, and Stalin together in 1 hidden ally of Putin, and so on, and so on. These people will act against Trump, imagining that they must service as a “resistance movement” even though an order of ruthless surrender came from above. This applies not only to Biden's immediate environment, most of which will vanish at the time of the transfer of power, but besides to a large part of the staff of all government departments. Many of them have already had considerable experience sabotaging Trump's activities for his first term.
They will fight – but do they have what?
However, here we come to a origin which, I admit, I did not take into account in erstwhile analyses. Well, the Democratic organization and its media and cultural facilities have virtually devoted 8 years exclusively to fighting Trump. The vast resources were devoted to this, any irreparable – for the demolition of Trump, for example, the main tv networks sacrificed their credibility, openly lying, manipulating, and twisting to confirm the hard core of Democratic supporters. In this way media ratings and trust in them among both Republicans and independent voters have fallen to the lowest levels. No luck. Similarly, Hollywood – this 1 has reacted so hysterically to Trump over the years, that today, erstwhile the Harris run spent crucial amounts to safe the support of various stars, it turned out that the effect of this support was zero.
They besides have a polling problem. We do not know what actually happens there, to what degree they are biased, and to what degree helpless, but alternatively everything points to the second – due to the fact that polls are always ordered for circumstantial media, the deficiency of assurance in the media makes many people simply not talking to pollers. The establishment is getting worse even with probing moods among the nation, let alone talking about influencing these moods.
We can keep going on like this. Universities where the left-wing majority of the staff were massively supporting the Democrats have tightened their course so much that they have become completely indigestible, they have lost their leftover authority. Partial pits that tried to keep from ignoring economical issues, before concentrating on utmost leftist and unpopular ideological positions, have not been heard, and have been destroyed – do you not support our agenda? Then get out, you vile crypto-trumpist! And the Justice Department, the FBI, and various another three-letter agencies? Mobilized for years to fight Trump, if they could find anything at him, if they could charge him, they had already done so – and nothing.
It is these facts that, while I inactive anticipate the home situation in the United States to be inflamed, and I am inactive afraid about how it can encourage another countries, especially China, to take specified or another measures as long as Trump has not yet taken office, but a week after the election I look at the full situation much more calmly. utilizing a war analogy – possibly rather appropriate, given the level of emotion – after 8 years of fierce fighting, after immense usage of ammunition and equipment and human force, 1 side has just achieved a crucial victory. The front's been broken. There's nothing to collect. Will it proceed to resist? Yes, of course. Will it be effective? I don't think so, due to the fact that if the Democrats had any weapons left behind, they would have utilized them by now.
This does not mean, of course, that Trump will prove to be an effective president – it is simply a subject for another occasion. Neither does this mean that Trump will physically last this word – I guess present no 1 doubts that further assassination attempts may occur, and that they may have camouflaged strategy support. But that would only make Trump's successor the more powerful mandate to deal with political adversaries.
So to conclude this long analysis: Trump's triumph is groundbreaking on a scale, and his political opponents have exhausted their strength so much that present they are incapable to surprise anything. I truly took a breath of relief – well, it's good to be incorrect about pessimistic predictions. What does Trump’s triumph for the future mean? Forgive me, dear readers, but unless something truly large happens, let me leave this subject alone for at least a month. Now is not the time for vain speculation. Now it is essential to wait calmly until the future administration is clear, until the election process is completed – and above all, to take a break at least for a while from the constant “hearing” and physically rest. And I just hope Xi Jinping's going to wait.
Jakub Majewski
