How revealed “The Economist”, the problems of the Ukrainian army are not only accidental desertion. In fresh times, they are a real scourge that cannot be swept under the carpet. According to the calculations of the British weekly, weapon transportation problems and fatal morale on the worst episodes of combat, led to a desert as many as 2/5 soldiers.
20% of Ukrainian soldiers have already deserted. “The return of Donald Trump to the White home may be Ukraine’s worst nightmare”, says The Economist. The fresh US president has consistently avoided condemning Putin's invasion and expresses his opinion that he will press for ceasefire, on the basis of the current position quo, and so Ukrainian territorial losses.
The change of power in the US besides comes at a very hard minute for Ukraine. Ukraine has late suffered the largest territorial losses since 2022, losing 620 sq km. Russia accelerates the offensive, acting on many fronts. It is likely that in a few/several days Ukraine will be forced to retreat from strategical areas around Kurachowe city in the Donetsk Oblast, which will open the way for the Russians to the Djepropetrovsk Oblast.
Ukrainian losses in humans and equipment have increased dramatically, in proportion to the losses of the best soldiers, replaced by poorly trained and undermotivated recruits. That is not all – on the horizon there is already a serious energy crisis associated with winter season. As the Economist writes, trust between society, the military and the political leadership of Ukraine is rapidly breaking, making it hard to replenish the losses on the front through conscription.
The Ukrainian military has late received only 2 thirds of the planned additions. This means that most individuals conflict with mediocre individual states, and much more work and work falls on a single soldier. The rotation of troops is decreasing, and in any episodes, it is not at all. Russia complements its losses with contracts without the request for mass mobilisation.
The commanders admit that in the heaviest sections of the Ukrainian troops' morale front breaks down. The origin of the weekly in the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine admitted that 1 5th of the soldiers had already left their positions. U.S. arms are inactive expected to be delivered, which will let Ukraine to proceed its resistance. The question, however, is whether there are inactive so many people, and with the right skills and morale, to handle this equipment properly.
At the beginning of the war, Ukrainian units lost equipment erstwhile it was completely used, damaged or destroyed by a direct hit. It's been different for months. More and more efficient equipment is abandoned and its operators are fleeing. Half the poorness if they go back to their units. For a large number of them do not return to the army at all; they break through forests and side roads to the rear and lay down in household or relatives.
All this indicates that for Kiev, the coming winter will be decisive. It may besides be the last winter of this war.
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